Premier League · resolved market
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-08?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc80b69671374420b2a0728058435d3e6f0680c1e08b9c6df8f605e4ccaef32c8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,255,930
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,405,886
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,255,930 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 864 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdd22…9ef1backed No | 0c | 526,053$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$526.05 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed No | 68c | 321,734$219,619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219,619.08 | 192 | 53.1%102 W · 90 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Yes | 32c | 161,630$52,105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109,524.7 | 145 | 44.8%65 W · 80 L | -11.4wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4d…e246backed Yes | 31c | 66,486$20,538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45,947.86 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed No | 68c | 60,011$40,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40,700.19 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae2b…90eabacked Yes | 26c | 59,738$15,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44,437.78 | 176 | 34.1%60 W · 116 L | -13.2wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x08e6…5448backed No | 69c | 52,016$36,017 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36,016.6 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 33c | 48,070$16,054 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,053.7 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 33c | 45,469$15,023 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,446.06 | 1,146 | 42.8%490 W · 656 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 33c | 44,330$14,577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,752.76 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed No | 1c | 41,074$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.59 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73c5…2f80backed No | 19c | 39,995$7,795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,794.82 | 100 | 42%42 W · 58 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 24c | 34,304$8,112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,111.64 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d16…d24dbacked No | 67c | 31,578$21,157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,157.09 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 68c | 30,141$20,416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,416.03 | 1,220 | 49.8%607 W · 613 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed No | 67c | 30,000$20,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,099.87 | 205 | 45.4%93 W · 112 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 34c | 25,346$8,506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,506.02 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +27.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 31c | 18,949$5,941 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,007.66 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8813…47e6backed No | 67c | 17,333$11,528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,527.91 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4eae…5095backed Yes | 31c | 16,129$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,129.03 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48fe…b2b6backed Yes | 32c | 15,000$4,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,200 | 98 | 45.9%45 W · 53 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa0b…9672backed Yes | 32c | 14,952$4,785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,167.52 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c74…bd4ebacked No | 70c | 14,300$10,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,009.99 | 113 | 49.6%56 W · 57 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd8…f306backed Yes | 33c | 10,294$3,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,894.12 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd178…6703backed No | 69c | 10,250$7,072 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,072.46 | 189 | 48.7%92 W · 97 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x681d…3fa1backed No | 1c | 10,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 69c | 10,000$6,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,899.98 | 356 | 52.8%188 W · 168 L | +15.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x163e…dc5bbacked No | 71c | 10,000$7,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,099.93 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +58.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed No | 67c | 9,500$6,365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,364.94 | 134 | 44.8%60 W · 74 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe06c…62aebacked Yes | 39c | 9,351$3,607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,744.38 | 93 | 55.9%52 W · 41 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Yes | 33c | 9,000$2,970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,030 | 201 | 40.8%82 W · 119 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe482…638bbacked Yes | 31c | 8,713$2,701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,011.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +222.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 68c | 8,569$5,822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,821.7 | 1,006 | 46.6%469 W · 537 L | -20.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed No | 67c | 8,000$5,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,359.96 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07c…11a0backed Yes | 28c | 7,080$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,079.75 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3257…2f3bbacked Yes | 33c | 7,000$2,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,709.98 | 206 | 46.1%95 W · 111 L | -12.6wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x447e…9710backed Yes | 31c | 6,973$2,129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,844.33 | 113 | 46%52 W · 61 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 32c | 6,900$2,208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,692 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 65c | 6,324$4,129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,129.1 | 1,004 | 46.3%465 W · 539 L | +25.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ca…3748backed Yes | 27c | 6,210$1,682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,527.81 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -3.1wins | -0.16per pick | 48cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed No | 67c | 6,000$4,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,019.98 | 142 | 58.5%83 W · 59 L | +11.0wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x585c…f0a7backed Yes | 31c | 6,000$1,860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,139.97 | 159 | 44.7%71 W · 88 L | +9.7wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56fc…733ebacked No | 69c | 5,806$4,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,006 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 67c | 5,716$3,808 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,807.5 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd599…bf55backed Yes | 36c | 5,367$1,958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,409.03 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 30cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Yes | 34c | 5,211$1,784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,426.59 | 250 | 52%130 W · 120 L | +8.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49fa…f904backed Yes | 37c | 5,118$1,916 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,202.13 | 92 | 46.7%43 W · 49 L | +9.1wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x005c…a987backed Yes | 31c | 5,025$1,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,474.82 | 255 | 44.7%114 W · 141 L | -12.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa645…0be6backed Yes | 30c | 5,024$1,507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,516.81 | 72 | 30.6%22 W · 50 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd146…9bf0backed Yes | 32c | 5,000$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,399.92 | 459 | 36.2%166 W · 293 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed No | 67c | 4,478$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,999.97 | 93 | 50.5%47 W · 46 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b73…7421backed Yes | 35c | 4,286$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,785.71 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -24%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa5…7cc9backed No | 66c | 4,243$2,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,800.43 | 58 | 62.1%36 W · 22 L | +6.8wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +62%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8790…010bbacked Yes | 62c | 4,230$2,637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,593.39 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 33c | 4,100$1,373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,726.99 | 680 | 26.3%179 W · 501 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Yes | 34c | 4,018$1,351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,667.08 | 165 | 48.5%80 W · 85 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd05f…8777backed Yes | 31c | 4,000$1,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,779.95 | 157 | 48.4%76 W · 81 L | +13.8wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +24%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2727…eef4backed Yes | 26c | 3,890$1,021 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,869.29 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed No | 68c | 3,676$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 63 | 54%34 W · 29 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd78d…81e0backed Yes | 28c | 3,571$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,571.43 | 85 | 37.6%32 W · 53 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 29c | 3,519$1,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,513.09 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf975…4354backed Yes | 39c | 3,500$1,372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,127.69 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Yes | 33c | 3,358$1,104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,254.15 | 301 | 43.9%132 W · 169 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc270…a462backed Yes | 30c | 3,333$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,333.33 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 36cpaid | +90.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd86…0287backed Yes | 32c | 3,300$1,056 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,244 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85ef…9f9bbacked Yes | 31c | 3,225$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,224.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +222.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Yes | 31c | 3,224$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,224.69 | 145 | 44.1%64 W · 81 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3665…0212backed Yes | 32c | 3,200$1,024 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,176 | 114 | 44.7%51 W · 63 L | +10.1wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Yes | 66c | 3,031$2,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,023.09 | 263 | 19.8%52 W · 211 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d21…abc5backed Yes | 31c | 3,025$950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,075.42 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe59e…29babacked Yes | 32c | 3,019$966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,052.75 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x769c…5c05backed Yes | 31c | 3,000$930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,070 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab75…cce0backed Yes | 31c | 3,000$930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,070 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 40c | 3,000$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,800 | 721 | 42.7%308 W · 413 L | +15.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc949…fa93backed No | 69c | 3,000$2,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,069.99 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked No | 67c | 3,000$2,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,009.99 | 183 | 62.3%114 W · 69 L | +17.5wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2809…b26abacked Yes | 31c | 3,000$930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,069.98 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +4.2wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed No | 66c | 3,000$1,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,979.97 | 204 | 48.5%99 W · 105 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50ec…c1f5backed Yes | 34c | 2,941$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,941.18 | 77 | 59.7%46 W · 31 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 39c | 2,909$1,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,129.99 | 966 | 45.4%439 W · 527 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe02c…5d08backed No | 70c | 2,727$1,909 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,908.9 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -5.5wins | -0.19per pick | 47cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe348…a303backed Yes | 59c | 2,724$1,597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,127 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.5wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 33c | 2,600$868 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,732.08 | 382 | 33.2%127 W · 255 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa42…2ff3backed Yes | 4c | 2,500$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,410 | 42 | 16.7%7 W · 35 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 10cpaid | +80.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b62…2e59backed No | 67c | 2,500$1,675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,674.99 | 48 | 62.5%30 W · 18 L | +6.4wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xda50…2a41backed Yes | 13c | 2,467$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,153.59 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | -3.6wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfec2…08afbacked Yes | 31c | 2,288$709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,578.99 | 77 | 42.9%33 W · 44 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7690…74e1backed Yes | 36c | 2,222$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,422.22 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed No | 68c | 2,212$1,501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500.63 | 524 | 54.2%284 W · 240 L | +14.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc1…e318backed No | 68c | 2,168$1,482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,481.63 | 64 | 56.3%36 W · 28 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed No | 69c | 2,150$1,484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,483.5 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | -5.4wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x94d8…8835backed Yes | 33c | 2,000$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,340 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5732…9030backed Yes | 33c | 2,000$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,350 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbbca…9863backed Yes | 33c | 2,000$655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,345 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a9c…c9aebacked No | 67c | 2,000$1,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,339.99 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +64.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a32…0188backed Yes | 33c | 2,000$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,349.97 | 97 | 56.7%55 W · 42 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd66f…a19bbacked No | 36c | 1,979$719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$718.76 | 420 | 43.8%184 W · 236 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21a3…8278backed Yes | 33c | 1,832$605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,227.42 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfbb…55b0backed Yes | 33c | 1,817$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,217.55 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…22d9backed Yes | 36c | 1,800$648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,152 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-08?this page
- Will Liverpool FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-02-08?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.