Premier League · resolved market
Will Liverpool FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa5f437e833b097b6e1b05a600a1e10ff1e18b4271611f8cacd91135cc06fe9be
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $339,606
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $341,663
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $339,606 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 369 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 61c | 38,552$23,385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,166.32 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56c9…0d9ebacked Yes | 68c | 28,896$19,531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,530.87 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 72cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed No | 67c | 15,009$10,056 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,952.91 | 277 | 50.9%141 W · 136 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8566…c626backed No | 70c | 14,192$10,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,191.53 | 22 | 81.8%18 W · 4 L | +5.8wins | +0.26per pick | 55cpaid | +55%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x07eb…95a8backed Yes | 25c | 11,239$2,810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,809.75 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae2b…90eabacked Yes | 33c | 9,091$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 176 | 34.1%60 W · 116 L | -13.2wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 73c | 9,059$6,582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,476.31 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 25c | 8,882$2,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,220.44 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08c5…43edbacked No | 75c | 5,860$4,395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,465 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…9e66backed No | 75c | 5,660$4,229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,431 | 148 | 45.9%68 W · 80 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e75…0f8dbacked No | 75c | 5,177$3,908 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,268.31 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +58.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x954e…927fbacked Yes | 25c | 5,000$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…6ccfbacked Yes | 25c | 4,853$1,222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,222 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -3.0wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -32%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x06a2…8015backed Yes | 71c | 4,228$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 75cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x762e…4bf0backed Yes | 33c | 4,047$1,336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,335.51 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Yes | 60c | 3,500$2,085 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,085 | 263 | 19.8%52 W · 211 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe348…a303backed Yes | 49c | 3,197$1,582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,581.72 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.5wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x164f…deb3backed Yes | 25c | 3,000$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.99 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67e7…52cabacked No | 68c | 2,952$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$952.15 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 21c | 2,933$609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$608.87 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc270…a462backed Yes | 36c | 2,743$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 36cpaid | +90.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 47c | 2,637$1,238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,398.81 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc16d…39a2backed Yes | 41c | 2,448$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 50cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37e6…b6a5backed Yes | 25c | 2,420$605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$605 | 106 | 26.4%28 W · 78 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3fe…4ef4backed Yes | 4c | 2,366$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2575…bf1ebacked Yes | 26c | 2,333$607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$606.66 | 73 | 32.9%24 W · 49 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7690…74e1backed Yes | 26c | 2,231$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad5…37b9backed Yes | 4c | 2,038$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.53 | 74 | 29.7%22 W · 52 L | +12.1wins | +0.16per pick | 13cpaid | +125%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3a…64b7backed Yes | 25c | 2,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked No | 32c | 2,000$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,359.98 | 506 | 44.3%224 W · 282 L | -14.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf209…97e1backed Yes | 25c | 1,995$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.69 | 70 | 28.6%20 W · 50 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 73c | 1,936$1,413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.77 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +27.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe706…89bcbacked Yes | 21c | 1,935$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 59 | 35.6%21 W · 38 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ca…d535backed Yes | 26c | 1,923$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6f18…2d79backed Yes | 28c | 1,857$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 58c | 1,821$1,052 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$768.98 | 966 | 45.4%439 W · 527 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd66f…a19bbacked No | 45c | 1,724$772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$952.04 | 420 | 43.8%184 W · 236 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 74c | 1,612$1,193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.11 | 1,220 | 49.8%607 W · 613 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7250…f52fbacked Yes | 23c | 1,600$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.1 | 68 | 29.4%20 W · 48 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x212b…92c3backed Yes | 26c | 1,350$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.97 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -3.1wins | -0.19per pick | 50cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9be4…0156backed Yes | 1c | 1,302$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8429…8e64backed Yes | 9c | 1,283$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.92 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0b5e…61b4backed Yes | 71c | 1,261$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -6.0wins | -0.19per pick | 63cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc1…e318backed Yes | 33c | 1,210$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 64 | 56.3%36 W · 28 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xace6…e599backed Yes | 74c | 1,163$861 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$860.87 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 77cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb5…7349backed Yes | 26c | 1,154$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.08 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Yes | 24c | 1,132$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.58 | 607 | 28%170 W · 437 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc17f…50aabacked No | 76c | 1,125$855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 72cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa445…6711backed No | 61c | 1,113$679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.18 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb31e…c120backed No | 75c | 1,100$825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275 | 39 | 71.8%28 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Yes | 39c | 1,090$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.72 | 165 | 48.5%80 W · 85 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 68c | 1,078$732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$732.37 | 697 | 72.6%506 W · 191 L | +83.8wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 15c | 1,052$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.81 | 423 | 24.3%103 W · 320 L | -36.4wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -47%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfbfd…46f8backed Yes | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed No | 27c | 999.99$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$730 | 258 | 36%93 W · 165 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c38…de5abacked No | 74c | 999.92$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.98 | 93 | 58.1%54 W · 39 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b57…71d6backed Yes | 21c | 952.38$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 23cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd599…bf55backed Yes | 20c | 946.31$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 30cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74e0…af4bbacked Yes | 33c | 887.88$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293 | 194 | 26.3%51 W · 143 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x135a…5315backed Yes | 17c | 843.82$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.4 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd094…271bbacked Yes | 26c | 806.35$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.65 | 200 | 27%54 W · 146 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dea…3792backed Yes | 74c | 800$592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$592 | 167 | 53.3%89 W · 78 L | -13.3wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…5cb0backed Yes | 25c | 800$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 74 | 33.8%25 W · 49 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe574…22f9backed Yes | 25c | 800$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed No | 75c | 790$593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.5 | 722 | 49.9%360 W · 362 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc23d…82c8backed Yes | 67c | 770.37$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516.15 | 73 | 53.4%39 W · 34 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7061…816ebacked Yes | 68c | 740$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8479…37f8backed Yes | 15c | 666.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 23cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x561d…94bebacked Yes | 32c | 625$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Yes | 25c | 624.23$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.15 | 524 | 54.2%284 W · 240 L | +14.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed No | 60c | 603.73$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.96 | 77 | 40.3%31 W · 46 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed Yes | 74c | 600$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444 | 107 | 51.4%55 W · 52 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 26c | 580.13$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.01 | 382 | 33.2%127 W · 255 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff81…44c9backed Yes | 25c | 580$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 114 | 43.9%50 W · 64 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ca…3748backed Yes | 21c | 578.52$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.49 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -3.1wins | -0.16per pick | 48cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa0dc…586cbacked Yes | 22c | 545.45$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdf7…824ebacked Yes | 32c | 519.64$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.5 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -3.4wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Yes | 37c | 511$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.15 | 250 | 52%130 W · 120 L | +8.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xceb7…391ebacked Yes | 54c | 500$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.51 | 70 | 82.9%58 W · 12 L | +14.5wins | +0.21per pick | 62cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x3f45…180bbacked Yes | 21c | 500$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 52 | 26.9%14 W · 38 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbddd…ad74backed Yes | 31c | 500$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes | 67c | 500$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335 | 200 | 40.5%81 W · 119 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x227c…ee3fbacked Yes | 11c | 500$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 110 | 47.3%52 W · 58 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2d1…84a2backed Yes | 25c | 500$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x88ea…f0d2backed Yes | 25c | 493.08$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.27 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd43…88d7backed Yes | 21c | 486.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 38 | 23.7%9 W · 29 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x476b…30a0backed Yes | 26c | 465$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.9 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…5fbbbacked Yes | 26c | 461.54$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbb…fd36backed Yes | 66c | 446.03$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.18 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -3.4wins | -0.16per pick | 59cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa266…67f7backed Yes | 11c | 439.03$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 198 | 26.3%52 W · 146 L | -14.0wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed No | 43c | 436$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.7 | 70 | 48.6%34 W · 36 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x864a…7cacbacked Yes | 25c | 430.12$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.53 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed No | 45c | 426$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.74 | 162 | 38.3%62 W · 100 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6adf…4f5bbacked Yes | 70c | 411.66$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.16 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -3.9wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8812…bfcdbacked Yes | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…5104backed Yes | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1a…7ddebacked Yes | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Yes | 14c | 400$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.7 | 157 | 35.7%56 W · 101 L | +15.5wins | +0.10per pick | 26cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…9874backed Yes | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 197 | 32.5%64 W · 133 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x019a…7df0backed Yes | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -3.1wins | -0.24per pick | 32cpaid | -72%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Liverpool FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-02-08?No won
- Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-08?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.