TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xbddd…ad74

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
372
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 53 out of 100; worst La Liga at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT24952.6%131 W · 118 L-10.5wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-8.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 249 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.7
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$378Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$378
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$371Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$279.85
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$131Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$131.35
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$8.75
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$275Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$274.99
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$124.2
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$694Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$326.4
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$677Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$333.3
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$31
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$352Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$747.99
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$198Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$198.4
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$89.99
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$146.6
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$183Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$183
Timberwolves vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$296Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$83.6
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.58
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$195
Knicks vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$92
Thunder vs. Lakersbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$31.2
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$44.16
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$66
Timberwolves vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$29.28
76ers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$27.3
Showing 25 of 249 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT6854.4%37 W · 31 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 68 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$973Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$972.54
Will France win on 2026-07-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$704Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$704
Will England win on 2026-07-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$882Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$881.83
Will France win on 2026-07-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$915Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$914.57
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$466Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$466.01
Will Norway vs. England end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$226Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+281%+$635.56
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$216Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+69.9%+$151.21
Will France win on 2026-07-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,274Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$748.3
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.81
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$427Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$427.43
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$82.27
Will United States win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.34
Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$518Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$497.31
Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$310Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$310
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$317Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$292.2
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$293Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$131.42
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$297Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+105.1%+$312.3
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+71.7%+$63.42
Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+38.4%+$92.31
Will United States win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$33.88
Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.91
Will England win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$129Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$40.8
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$142.39
Will France win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$25.47
Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$115.26
Showing 25 of 68 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT2948.3%14 W · 15 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$144.55
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$81.6
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$143Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$137.2
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$195.3
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$78.88
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$35
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$132Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+51.5%+$68
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$201Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$200.6
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-02-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$134Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$134.4
Will Liverpool FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$155Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$155
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+61.3%+$60.8
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$135
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+56.3%+$54
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-01-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+65.5%+$41.55
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+61.3%+$38
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$34.1
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+88.7%+$94
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$71.4
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$49
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$111
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2025-12-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+112.8%+$84.8
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-12-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$80
Will Manchester United FC win on 2025-12-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$99.9
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+81.8%+$23.4
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-12-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+75.4%+$75.25
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1560%9 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+28.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.4
Will FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+488.2%+$91.3
Will Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+150%+$60
Will FC Barcelona vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.27
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$50
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.92
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$42
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+72.4%+$71.4
FIFA Club World Cup: Fluminense vs. Chelsea (To Advance) backed Chelsea · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$6.72
FIFA Club World Cup: PSG vs. Bayern (To Advance) backed PSG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$8.4
FIFA Club World Cup: Fluminense vs. Al Hilal (To Advance)backed Al Hilal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$11
FIFA Club World Cup: Real Madrid vs. Juventus (To Advance) backed Real Madrid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$5.6
FIFA Club World Cup: Inter Milan vs. Fluminense (To Advance)backed Inter Milan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$37
FIFA Club World Cup: Flamengo vs. Bayern Munich (To Advance)backed Bayern Munich · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$9.88
All 15 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Sep 16, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.33per pick66cpaid-38.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
WNBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dream vs. Feverbacked Dream · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.8
Valkyries vs Feverbacked Fever · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.8
Storm vs Dreambacked Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$9.2
All 3 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.9wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Olympics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Men's Group C - Denmark vs. Latviabacked Denmark · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+88.7%+$47
Men's Group B - Finland vs. Swedenbacked Sweden · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$163Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$162.5
All 2 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Canadiens vs. Sabresbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+100%+$35
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+47.1%+$32
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Ahli Saudi Club win on 2026-02-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$67.2
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.