NBA · resolved market

Pistons vs. Cavaliers

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7b461ba0d582c03577966cfdf0da2a5cb9696a26b954b5ed1890f82d6f2a3c88

Rebuilt 6 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Pistonsof Pistons, Cavaliers
Resolved: May 15, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $6,536,084
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $7,041,724

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,536,084 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 2,268 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x9f2f…2ca8backed Pistons	39c	675,000$263,250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$411,749.98	97	45.4%44 W · 53 L	+4.7wins	+0.05per pick	41cpaid	+9.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6211…b89ebacked Cavaliers	61c	598,326$364,979 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$364,979.15	81	48.1%39 W · 42 L	-3.1wins	-0.04per pick	52cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc807…c12bbacked Cavaliers	61c	468,094$285,537 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$285,537.06	205	45.9%94 W · 111 L	-12.8wins	-0.06per pick	52cpaid	-12%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8f8c…e275backed Cavaliers	62c	324,812$201,383 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$201,383.3	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.7wins	-0.55per pick	55cpaid	-100%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Pistons	40c	245,006$98,882 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$146,124.59	649	48.2%313 W · 336 L	-3.2wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xbddf…c684backed Pistons	38c	237,347$90,192 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$147,155.06	726	48.3%351 W · 375 L	+30.5wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	+11%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Cavaliers	48c	185,202$89,162 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89,161.73	698	48.6%339 W · 359 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Pistons	42c	175,989$74,027 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$101,962.4	857	42.6%365 W · 492 L	-15.6wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd65…ee96backed Cavaliers	61c	135,246$82,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82,500	97	25.8%25 W · 72 L	-9.5wins	-0.10per pick	36cpaid	-34.6%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2580…1d56backed Pistons	40c	132,533$53,275 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$79,257.54	117	37.6%44 W · 73 L	+3.3wins	+0.03per pick	35cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa5ea…d96abacked Pistons	38c	123,274$46,844 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$76,430.16	168	41.1%69 W · 99 L	-4.7wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf11…8399backed Pistons	42c	119,269$50,255 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$69,014.17	375	39.5%148 W · 227 L	-1.2wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Cavaliers	61c	100,000$61,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61,000	1,556	52.8%822 W · 734 L	+40.9wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+10.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf284…b9f9backed Pistons	50c	98,308$49,417 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48,890.45	186	51.1%95 W · 91 L	+3.2wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0159…db47backed Cavaliers	0c	91,183$167 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$167.26	61	4.9%3 W · 58 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	7cpaid	-76.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xff12…09f9backed Pistons	68c	83,221$56,973 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26,248.28	193	88.1%170 W · 23 L	+48.6wins	+0.25per pick	63cpaid	+46.2%equal weight	75+0.22 edge/pick
0x9b1e…82c9backed Pistons	39c	82,051$32,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50,051.28	62	43.5%27 W · 35 L	+3.0wins	+0.05per pick	39cpaid	+15.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Cavaliers	35c	78,646$27,463 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27,462.76	1,003	34.7%348 W · 655 L	-44.7wins	-0.04per pick	39cpaid	-35.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe5b7…5ee3backed Pistons	38c	70,457$26,771 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43,686.44	113	33.6%38 W · 75 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	35cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Cavaliers	61c	65,000$39,650 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39,649.85	1,024	50.8%520 W · 504 L	+18.6wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x94d7…bef5backed Cavaliers	33c	59,320$19,392 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19,391.81	259	25.9%67 W · 192 L	+6.5wins	+0.03per pick	23cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3ef7…b7bbbacked Cavaliers	62c	54,199$33,603 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33,603.38	6	50%3 W · 3 L	-0.7wins	-0.11per pick	61cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf4ec…c574backed Pistons	39c	51,282$20,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31,282.05	148	57.4%85 W · 63 L	+3.8wins	+0.03per pick	55cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfa58…31d6backed Cavaliers	0c	50,000$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.4wins	+0.21per pick	29cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4bff…fc26backed Pistons	39c	48,259$18,821 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29,438.07	32	40.6%13 W · 19 L	-1.9wins	-0.06per pick	46cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x29b7…4108backed Cavaliers	5c	47,661$2,241 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,240.76	17	58.8%10 W · 7 L	+3.0wins	+0.17per pick	41cpaid	+94.6%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x41f4…3eacbacked Pistons	39c	45,266$17,854 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27,412.28	10	50%5 W · 5 L	+0.9wins	+0.09per pick	41cpaid	+14.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Cavaliers	42c	44,402$18,462 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18,461.63	360	23.1%83 W · 277 L	-15.6wins	-0.04per pick	27cpaid	-49.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1bc0…4429backed Pistons	40c	41,000$16,400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24,599.96	483	43.7%211 W · 272 L	+9.2wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde7b…5f4bbacked Cavaliers	27c	39,448$10,581 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,580.54	48	25%12 W · 36 L	-2.4wins	-0.05per pick	30cpaid	-33.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4900…4a72backed Pistons	76c	39,425$30,021 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,404.71	59	40.7%24 W · 35 L	-12.5wins	-0.21per pick	62cpaid	-41.1%equal weight	33-0.15 edge/pick
0x418d…88a3backed Cavaliers	58c	35,200$20,422 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20,421.97	102	48%49 W · 53 L	-1.9wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x52e3…3337backed Pistons	39c	31,586$12,319 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19,267.6	41	39%16 W · 25 L	-3.9wins	-0.09per pick	49cpaid	-14%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8b9a…5f69backed Cavaliers	0c	31,573$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$86.23	521	3.8%20 W · 501 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	4cpaid	-36.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6815…9edbbacked Pistons	40c	31,250$12,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18,750	209	46.9%98 W · 111 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa21…1438backed Cavaliers	54c	31,111$16,863 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16,862.91	168	48.2%81 W · 87 L	-4.5wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x67bb…b6efbacked Pistons	39c	28,000$10,920 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17,080	344	56.7%195 W · 149 L	+9.2wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5234…4c4fbacked Pistons	39c	27,500$10,725 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16,775	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1de3…a1fabacked Cavaliers	38c	26,164$10,034 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,034.32	12	33.3%4 W · 8 L	+1.2wins	+0.10per pick	24cpaid	+22%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe5ef…9e7abacked Pistons	39c	25,251$9,848 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15,403.09	252	48.4%122 W · 130 L	+5.7wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xef27…381bbacked Pistons	40c	21,250$8,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12,750	84	52.4%44 W · 40 L	+5.9wins	+0.07per pick	45cpaid	+9.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7a88…41ccbacked Cavaliers	52c	21,111$10,978 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,977.72	47	34%16 W · 31 L	-6.9wins	-0.15per pick	49cpaid	-30.1%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0xacb2…b989backed Cavaliers	28c	20,791$5,811 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,811.25	492	44.3%218 W · 274 L	+11.8wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e6e…be00backed Cavaliers	61c	20,600$12,566 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12,565.94	458	50.4%231 W · 227 L	+11.4wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe4d3…c2f0backed Cavaliers	61c	20,500$12,505 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12,505	51	60.8%31 W · 20 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	60cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaca2…b9a1backed Pistons	37c	19,716$7,309 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12,406.78	328	46.6%153 W · 175 L	-7.6wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x27cb…169ebacked Pistons	38c	19,515$7,416 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12,099.03	274	24.5%67 W · 207 L	-10.0wins	-0.04per pick	28cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x92b5…fec6backed Pistons	51c	18,763$9,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,263.43	107	47.7%51 W · 56 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcf60…a6f5backed Pistons	39c	17,500$6,825 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,675	175	53.7%94 W · 81 L	+7.1wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+9.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Cavaliers	59c	16,829$10,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,999.97	637	46.6%297 W · 340 L	-16.1wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Cavaliers	51c	15,874$8,019 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,019.41	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9438…ad81backed Cavaliers	14c	15,631$2,110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,110.47	317	9.5%30 W · 287 L	-4.0wins	-0.01per pick	11cpaid	-59.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7fc6…5d88backed Pistons	61c	15,425$9,409 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,015.59	7	71.4%5 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	73cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x84b8…1193backed Cavaliers	28c	15,008$4,135 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,135.16	349	42.7%149 W · 200 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4658…4131backed Cavaliers	61c	15,000$9,150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,150	211	47.4%100 W · 111 L	+3.1wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x03f8…d85abacked Pistons	79c	14,385$11,300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,085.14	13	84.6%11 W · 2 L	+3.2wins	+0.25per pick	60cpaid	+52.8%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7120…7c4ebacked Cavaliers	2c	13,983$219 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$219.26	89	23.6%21 W · 68 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	25cpaid	-34.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdaef…54e9backed Cavaliers	17c	13,179$2,245 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,245.22	199	37.2%74 W · 125 L	-5.2wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	-15%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa497…7891backed Pistons	40c	13,155$5,261 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,894.69	46	58.7%27 W · 19 L	+2.4wins	+0.05per pick	54cpaid	+8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Pistons	55c	13,043$7,230 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,812.81	1,282	43.4%557 W · 725 L	-51.2wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x75b1…323cbacked Cavaliers	41c	12,985$5,360 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,360.1	12	50%6 W · 6 L	+0.6wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	+15.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Pistons	40c	12,500$5,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,500	906	50.2%455 W · 451 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9981…dec4backed Pistons	77c	11,860$9,076 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,784.37	53	69.8%37 W · 16 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	69cpaid	-1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd568…a35abacked Cavaliers	62c	11,783$7,305 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,305.22	77	58.4%45 W · 32 L	+4.5wins	+0.06per pick	53cpaid	+9.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Cavaliers	38c	10,743$4,125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,124.51	98	51%50 W · 48 L	+6.5wins	+0.07per pick	44cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb9e5…1809backed Pistons	63c	10,500$6,590 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,910	44	59.1%26 W · 18 L	-1.5wins	-0.03per pick	62cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Pistons	69c	10,302$7,105 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,196.87	249	37.3%93 W · 156 L	-3.2wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-35%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf472…a262backed Cavaliers	23c	10,166$2,291 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,291.2	141	7.8%11 W · 130 L	-7.8wins	-0.06per pick	13cpaid	-46.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3dfb…abafbacked Cavaliers	44c	10,000$4,400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,400	145	38.6%56 W · 89 L	-12.9wins	-0.09per pick	47cpaid	-22.1%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0xf90c…732cbacked Pistons	46c	9,913$4,560 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,353.09	12	25%3 W · 9 L	-3.3wins	-0.27per pick	52cpaid	-56.9%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Pistons	44c	9,629$4,239 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,389.17	1,271	38.3%487 W · 784 L	-13.4wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6853…5846backed Cavaliers	61c	9,614$5,865 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,864.54	16	50%8 W · 8 L	+0.4wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+33.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x558f…1a56backed Pistons	73c	9,558$6,978 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,580.76	108	60.2%65 W · 43 L	+8.6wins	+0.08per pick	52cpaid	+109.6%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x26f8…3452backed Pistons	63c	9,059$5,670 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,389.38	99	38.4%38 W · 61 L	-8.4wins	-0.09per pick	47cpaid	-26%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1543…baafbacked Pistons	65c	9,000$5,850 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,150	127	41.7%53 W · 74 L	+4.8wins	+0.04per pick	38cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4718…e2e8backed Cavaliers	42c	8,296$3,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,500	14	57.1%8 W · 6 L	+2.8wins	+0.20per pick	37cpaid	+126.6%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5f0e…7397backed Cavaliers	46c	8,139$3,728 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,727.64	118	43.2%51 W · 67 L	-3.5wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0eb7…1f17backed Cavaliers	55c	8,100$4,460 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,459.83	423	48%203 W · 220 L	-5.5wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-15%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc947…3462backed Cavaliers	62c	8,065$5,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,000	18	61.1%11 W · 7 L	+0.3wins	+0.02per pick	59cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf559…f462backed Cavaliers	62c	8,065$5,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,000	116	54.3%63 W · 53 L	-1.9wins	-0.02per pick	56cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x67b6…00bcbacked Pistons	38c	8,000$3,040 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,960	242	52.5%127 W · 115 L	+18.7wins	+0.08per pick	45cpaid	+13.6%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe1a2…14b8backed Cavaliers	40c	8,000$3,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,200	109	49.5%54 W · 55 L	+2.7wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3ff9…bb89backed Cavaliers	38c	8,000$3,040 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,039.99	64	51.6%33 W · 31 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-19.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x762e…4bf0backed Cavaliers	61c	7,951$4,850 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,850	50	50%25 W · 25 L	-3.4wins	-0.07per pick	57cpaid	-13.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8b52…568ebacked Cavaliers	39c	7,725$3,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,000	49	63.3%31 W · 18 L	+1.7wins	+0.03per pick	60cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed Pistons	39c	7,695$3,001 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,693.95	316	44.6%141 W · 175 L	-7.1wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Pistons	57c	7,596$4,293 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,302.16	931	48.4%451 W · 480 L	+34.1wins	+0.04per pick	45cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3da8…80c3backed Cavaliers	68c	7,353$5,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,000	59	54.2%32 W · 27 L	+3.0wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+19.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcec1…9c0cbacked Pistons	43c	7,103$3,054 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,048.48	196	50.5%99 W · 97 L	+8.5wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x26b4…b8a9backed Cavaliers	62c	7,019$4,352 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,351.92	64	59.4%38 W · 26 L	+5.1wins	+0.08per pick	51cpaid	+11%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5482…b6eebacked Cavaliers	0c	6,797$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.99	550	2.5%14 W · 536 L	+2.2wins	0.00per pick	2cpaid	-28.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Pistons	62c	6,667$4,163 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,504.54	2,949	51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L	+119.4wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3e59…2a66backed Cavaliers	62c	6,608$4,097 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,097.23	15	33.3%5 W · 10 L	-3.1wins	-0.21per pick	54cpaid	-42.1%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Pistons	45c	6,491$2,897 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,594.48	151	40.4%61 W · 90 L	-2.5wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-14%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x895d…11d5backed Cavaliers	64c	6,370$4,045 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,045.21	35	57.1%20 W · 15 L	+0.6wins	+0.02per pick	55cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked Cavaliers	42c	6,305$2,622 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,621.69	50	76%38 W · 12 L	+8.5wins	+0.17per pick	59cpaid	+21.7%equal weight	63+0.11 edge/pick
0xd105…7b2cbacked Pistons	39c	6,297$2,456 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,841.09	23	82.6%19 W · 4 L	+8.7wins	+0.38per pick	45cpaid	+97%equal weight	70+0.18 edge/pick
0xcd13…5228backed Pistons	39c	6,229$2,429 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,799.69	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-1.0wins	-0.19per pick	39cpaid	-48.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe504…600ebacked Pistons	50c	6,045$3,031 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,014.81	60	43.3%26 W · 34 L	-2.2wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Pistons	39c	6,000$2,340 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,660	795	49.7%395 W · 400 L	-0.8wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 38 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Pistons vs. Cavaliersthis page
1H Spread: Cavaliers (-1.5)Pistons won
1H Spread: Cavaliers (-2.5)Pistons won
Ausar Thompson: Rebounds O/U 1.5Yes won
Cade Cunningham: Points O/U 26.5No won
Donovan Mitchell: Assists O/U 3.5No won
Donovan Mitchell: Points O/U 26.5No won
Evan Mobley: Assists O/U 3.5No won
Jalen Duren: Points O/U 10.5Yes won
Jalen Duren: Rebounds O/U 8.5Yes won
James Harden: Assists O/U 6.5No won
James Harden: Points O/U 19.5Yes won
Pistons vs. Cavaliers: 1H MoneylinePistons won
Pistons vs. Cavaliers: 1H O/U 107.5Under won
Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 201.5Over won
Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 204.5Over won
Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 206.5Over won
Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 207.5Over won
Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 208.5Over won
Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 209.5Under won
Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 210.5Under won
Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 211.5Under won
Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 212.5Under won
Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 213.5Under won
Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 215.5Under won
Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 216.5Under won
Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 219.5Under won
Spread: Cavaliers (-1.5)Pistons won
Spread: Cavaliers (-11.5)Pistons won
Spread: Cavaliers (-14.5)Pistons won
Spread: Cavaliers (-2.5)Pistons won
Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)Pistons won
Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5)Pistons won
Spread: Cavaliers (-5.5)Pistons won
Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5)Pistons won
Spread: Pistons (-6.5)Pistons won
Tobias Harris: Points O/U 18.5No won
Tobias Harris: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Pistons vs. Cavaliers

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event