TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 201.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$112,992
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$133,308

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $112,992 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 172 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x23c8…f293backed Under28c9,375$2,628 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,627.9128643%123 W · 163 L-1.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over72c9,212$6,637 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,575.0264948.2%313 W · 336 L-3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Under33c7,724$2,543 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,543.22,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x224a…d4bfbacked Over72c5,553$3,998 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,555.459100%9 W · 0 L+3.5wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+76.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x9034…f7dfbacked Over79c5,100$4,041 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,05936243.9%159 W · 203 L-9.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-28.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1af3…b3b4backed Under27c4,763$1,303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,303.013740.5%15 W · 22 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-13.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc974…b33bbacked Under28c4,756$1,332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,331.6224942.2%105 W · 144 L-9.6wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbf12…afb8backed Over77c3,919$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$918.77580%4 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.18per pick62cpaid+49.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over74c3,586$2,653 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$932.58,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa2f7…4899backed Over74c2,700$1,998 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$701.931471.4%10 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick69cpaid+9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b5a…7070backed Over73c2,688$1,968 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$719.962250%11 W · 11 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-20.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under22c2,274$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$495.0953842%226 W · 312 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xedf7…8f79backed Under28c2,106$598 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$598.051,39348.3%673 W · 720 L+19.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Under40c2,053$821 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$821.330551.5%157 W · 148 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde56…c2f9backed Under26c1,855$483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$483.323633.3%12 W · 24 L-5.2wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-39.4%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Under23c1,850$427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$427.131,34129.9%401 W · 940 L-53.8wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6804…29e2backed Under35c1,654$584 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$584.3336051.7%186 W · 174 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4259…77c1backed Under37c1,622$595 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$595.4346959.1%277 W · 192 L+28.6wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+11.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Over67c1,371$914 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$456.341,17050.3%588 W · 582 L+46.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9762…73fbbacked Over77c1,293$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.531172.7%8 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick70cpaid+5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3cea…03d4backed Under28c1,185$337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$336.773545.7%16 W · 19 L+4.3wins+0.12per pick33cpaid+11.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Under38c944$355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$354.591,04851.7%542 W · 506 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa5dc…ec43backed Over76c925.2$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.269049.4%341 W · 349 L-30.0wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-9.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under29c841.15$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.53,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over71c834.68$595 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.021,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0182…301cbacked Over76c819.68$622 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.534057.5%23 W · 17 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b67…f13cbacked Over73c799.99$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2205457.4%31 W · 23 L+4.2wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+16.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under27c797.94$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.531,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f56…348abacked Over72c769.66$551 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.323756.8%21 W · 16 L+5.1wins+0.14per pick43cpaid+14.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xbd52…df69backed Under23c764.75$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.226636.4%24 W · 42 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-13.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Under27c753$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.0295651.5%492 W · 464 L+23.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under8c747.76$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.891,20051.6%619 W · 581 L+66.5wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+4.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x39f8…badabacked Over67c700$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2304652.2%24 W · 22 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcc5b…5443backed Over72c694.44$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.4412542.4%53 W · 72 L-11.1wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-18.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5339…9da3backed Over75c682.78$514 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.5833258.7%195 W · 137 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under28c679$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.7445445.2%205 W · 249 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x64d4…f056backed Under2c663$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.4720558.5%120 W · 85 L+19.6wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+26.3%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Under18c644$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.622,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Under32c640.2$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.171,19448.8%583 W · 611 L-22.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0710…06bebacked Over78c638.86$499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.24475%3 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick75cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3066…98d9backed Over72c621.29$447 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.965251.9%27 W · 25 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe583…95ebbacked Over75c601$452 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.591060%6 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick70cpaid-18.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked Under27c591.67$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.1371449.3%352 W · 362 L+2.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a70…76b5backed Over69c579.94$403 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.385971.2%42 W · 17 L+10.3wins+0.17per pick54cpaid+37.3%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x32e0…a295backed Over71c559.9$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.911261.6%69 W · 43 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e47…3d20backed Over71c533.78$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.73658.3%21 W · 15 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcebf…832ebacked Over71c500$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1451283.3%10 W · 2 L+2.1wins+0.18per pick65cpaid+30.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb113…8bc6backed Under26c443.99$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.4422656.6%128 W · 98 L+13.0wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+16.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7619…2c5abacked Over76c441.8$338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.08250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-34.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe72b…3c9cbacked Over73c400$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1083565.7%23 W · 12 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+15.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Over72c371.27$267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.9666352.6%349 W · 314 L+30.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under24c368.64$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.0652150.9%265 W · 256 L+18.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6c16…66cebacked Under36c352.85$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.5721953.4%117 W · 102 L+0.8wins0.00per pick53cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12b4…a662backed Under36c348.68$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.5159255.4%328 W · 264 L+23.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7268…78abbacked Under35c328.52$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.071553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Over66c306$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.0427245.6%124 W · 148 L+7.5wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb48…6ad1backed Over71c300$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$871752.9%9 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.10per pick63cpaid-12.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7805…1baebacked Over74c299.97$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.993767.6%25 W · 12 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick65cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd3c2…5509backed Under18c291.17$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.3318444.6%82 W · 102 L-11.9wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-19.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xdb88…41b0backed Over75c280$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$703568.6%24 W · 11 L+2.3wins+0.07per pick62cpaid+4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked Over66c278$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.8552053.3%277 W · 243 L+29.6wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8d93…b34dbacked Over72c277.78$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.787146.5%33 W · 38 L-6.0wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-16.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x718d…2b46backed Over75c261.68$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.6846346.4%215 W · 248 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-11.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d4c…2e02backed Over76c261.59$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.599660.4%58 W · 38 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-0.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f56…a330backed Over79c253.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.163844.7%17 W · 21 L-5.8wins-0.15per pick60cpaid-28%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x033f…618ebacked Under26c237.36$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.7176054.6%415 W · 345 L+56.7wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+33.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x24f1…6a07backed Over72c229.17$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.171080%8 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.15per pick65cpaid+24.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcf5e…95e3backed Under26c218.67$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.8821046.2%97 W · 113 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid+2.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5635…c508backed Under27c218.34$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+13.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4589…5ea9backed Over73c217.54$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.546051.7%31 W · 29 L-3.5wins-0.06per pick58cpaid-7.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x48cf…c7dfbacked Over70c214.29$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.2936453%193 W · 171 L-17.0wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-8.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbc1…6e52backed Over77c208.17$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.57366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick77cpaid-12.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x085b…ab9fbacked Under26c192.12$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.959941.4%41 W · 58 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked Under27c188.6$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.9285449.4%422 W · 432 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x61d3…189abacked Under18c185.72$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.4321849.5%108 W · 110 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b8d…6d3bbacked Over75c173$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.251060%6 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+16.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd77d…b01cbacked Under30c166.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5026956.1%151 W · 118 L+8.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcce5…7eb2backed Under30c166.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5014156.7%80 W · 61 L+7.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd0c7…4459backed Over79c151.62$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.6211753.8%63 W · 54 L-8.1wins-0.07per pick61cpaid-15.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x53f1…35f8backed Over69c150$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.55763.2%36 W · 21 L+4.8wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+19.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe05f…1fe3backed Under27c148.15$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4020040%80 W · 120 L-15.3wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-18.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Under40c146.41$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.5689048.8%434 W · 456 L-1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0310…4745backed Under26c142$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.925147.1%24 W · 27 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-8.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xde25…c0a5backed Under26c141.84$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.944639.1%18 W · 28 L-5.6wins-0.12per pick51cpaid-28.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1a67…52edbacked Over71c140.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.8512149.6%60 W · 61 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x940c…b006backed Under24c140$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.62147.6%10 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x23bc…5487backed Under26c139.99$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.2714851.4%76 W · 72 L+0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf9ef…7ee6backed Over72c138.89$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.891457.1%8 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.10per pick68cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe6a5…e95dbacked Over73c136.99$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.9931249.4%154 W · 158 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x987b…3d00backed Over76c132.23$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.2316555.8%92 W · 73 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under26c119$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.52,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1812…c143backed Over77c115.77$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.223871.1%27 W · 11 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick69cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb768…37dabacked Over75c113.51$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.911855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e73…3f4ebacked Over77c113.19$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.5419360.1%116 W · 77 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf13e…de1abacked Over77c111.49$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.833100%3 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x901d…b6dbbacked Over77c107.79$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.79850%4 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd73b…6b37backed Under23c100$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233435.3%12 W · 22 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x198c…7328backed Over74c100$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266100%6 W · 0 L+2.1wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+56.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xb3a1…ebcabacked Over73c100$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick51cpaid+81.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5440…c640backed Over69c99.99$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$315843.1%25 W · 33 L-5.0wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-23.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 38 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.