NBA · resolved market
Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 219.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x76ff1ddd21527b991a437a7404f2c1b617c340407688bc5ceaf185b064f88b97
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,163
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,011
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,163 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 19c | 2,239$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.95 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6303…9556backed Under | 73c | 1,361$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.14 | 188 | 53.2%100 W · 88 L | -9.9wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 21c | 1,242$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.8 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 26c | 777.2$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.15 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe85d…ad4bbacked Over | 31c | 772.21$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x987b…3d00backed Under | 71c | 705.13$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.13 | 165 | 55.8%92 W · 73 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Over | 30c | 618$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.84 | 766 | 53.5%410 W · 356 L | +65.5wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…a330backed Under | 74c | 407.02$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.02 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -5.8wins | -0.15per pick | 60cpaid | -28%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3a61…bbb2backed Over | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +4.3wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe4c9…8803backed Over | 32c | 276.26$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +8.2wins | +0.26per pick | 40cpaid | +109.4%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Over | 21c | 265.1$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.88 | 1,048 | 51.7%542 W · 506 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Over | 16c | 251.16$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.17 | 251 | 50.6%127 W · 124 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Over | 20c | 215.51$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.87 | 890 | 48.8%434 W · 456 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x312c…0f42backed Under | 71c | 211.38$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e7…8a71backed Under | 74c | 204.05$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.05 | 178 | 48.3%86 W · 92 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Over | 22c | 180$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 305 | 51.5%157 W · 148 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd57d…590ebacked Under | 75c | 165.66$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.66 | 135 | 60%81 W · 54 L | +9.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e60…449abacked Over | 23c | 149.98$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.6 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 31c | 140.78$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.98 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Over | 16c | 139.35$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.9 | 931 | 48.4%451 W · 480 L | +34.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Over | 26c | 132.97$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.97 | 234 | 45.7%107 W · 127 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 29c | 130.01$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.3 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 77c | 129.11$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.21 | 538 | 42%226 W · 312 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa03f…fa16backed Over | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Over | 26c | 123.28$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.05 | 611 | 51.4%314 W · 297 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c16…66cebacked Over | 20c | 106.47$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 219 | 53.4%117 W · 102 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Over | 26c | 104.05$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.05 | 663 | 52.6%349 W · 314 L | +30.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc978…706bbacked Under | 75c | 97.34$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.33 | 319 | 53%169 W · 150 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12b4…a662backed Over | 23c | 90.52$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.53 | 592 | 55.4%328 W · 264 L | +23.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbc1…6e52backed Under | 76c | 66.18$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.18 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 77cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb502…9d8bbacked Under | 77c | 64.94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 300 | 55.7%167 W · 133 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6e…9bc5backed Under | 74c | 60.86$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.12 | 83 | 54.2%45 W · 38 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc392…595dbacked Over | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 405 | 48.4%196 W · 209 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0881…356abacked Over | 31c | 50.87$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +2.5wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0df7…1ec1backed Under | 80c | 50.63$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.13 | 90 | 61.1%55 W · 35 L | +7.9wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc545…8c39backed Over | 32c | 46.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3f5…e0c9backed Over | 31c | 44.68$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.06 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.18per pick | 44cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Under | 67c | 41.21$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.6 | 796 | 50.9%405 W · 391 L | +63.2wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa516…235cbacked Over | 31c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Under | 80c | 38$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 804 | 40.3%324 W · 480 L | +27.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked Under | 73c | 37.98$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.26 | 786 | 39.2%308 W · 478 L | +27.5wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12c5…6dd1backed Under | 74c | 37.95$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.95 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xede5…5300backed Over | 33c | 35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.49 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed40…ef57backed Under | 78c | 31.16$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.91 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a8…9c50backed Under | 71c | 29.99$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 187 | 35.8%67 W · 120 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 71c | 28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.12 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 71c | 25.79$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.57 | 1,399 | 46.4%649 W · 750 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6f2…8c62backed Under | 72c | 24.15$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f18…d8f5backed Under | 73c | 21.92$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.92 | 92 | 71.7%66 W · 26 L | +11.0wins | +0.12per pick | 60cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc6…0f52backed Under | 72c | 20.83$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.83 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | -6.4wins | -0.10per pick | 61cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb6e…6dc3backed Under | 77c | 20.78$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.78 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x086c…4932backed Under | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…0a38backed Under | 71c | 19.46$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 166 | 40.4%67 W · 99 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e73…3f4ebacked Under | 74c | 18.85$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.88 | 193 | 60.1%116 W · 77 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83c4…4c57backed Under | 76c | 16.42$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.94 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked Under | 73c | 16.39$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.37 | 163 | 69.9%114 W · 49 L | +18.6wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9be6…b8b2backed Under | 71c | 14$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 38 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 219.5this page
- 1H Spread: Cavaliers (-1.5)Pistons won
- 1H Spread: Cavaliers (-2.5)Pistons won
- Ausar Thompson: Rebounds O/U 1.5Yes won
- Cade Cunningham: Points O/U 26.5No won
- Donovan Mitchell: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Donovan Mitchell: Points O/U 26.5No won
- Evan Mobley: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Jalen Duren: Points O/U 10.5Yes won
- Jalen Duren: Rebounds O/U 8.5Yes won
- James Harden: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- James Harden: Points O/U 19.5Yes won
- Pistons vs. CavaliersPistons won
- Pistons vs. Cavaliers: 1H MoneylinePistons won
- Pistons vs. Cavaliers: 1H O/U 107.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 201.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 204.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 206.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 207.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 208.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 209.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 210.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 211.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 212.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 213.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 215.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 216.5Under won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-1.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-11.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-14.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-2.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-5.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-6.5)Pistons won
- Tobias Harris: Points O/U 18.5No won
- Tobias Harris: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.