TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Pistons (-6.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Pistonsof Pistons, Cavaliers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$48,318
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$56,988

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,318 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 94 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb45a…192cbacked Pistons21c8,769$1,865 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,903.9854539.6%216 W · 329 L-28.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-11.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Cavaliers79c8,271$6,512 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,512.3764948.2%313 W · 336 L-3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xfec8…50f7backed Pistons69c2,887$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$886.95567.3%37 W · 18 L+6.2wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+24.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Cavaliers34c2,032$690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$689.688,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6982…a165backed Cavaliers63c1,962$1,231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,231.061471.4%10 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.09per pick63cpaid+16.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Cavaliers35c1,552$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$550.451,17050.3%588 W · 582 L+46.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe403…3d50backed Cavaliers77c1,429$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,100.2154747.5%260 W · 287 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a7e…b805backed Pistons44c1,359$597 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$761.989958.6%58 W · 41 L+9.5wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+15.2%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Cavaliers76c1,277$971 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$970.7650346.5%234 W · 269 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b7a…bc22backed Cavaliers37c1,047$387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$387.2826131%81 W · 180 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick30cpaid+2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Cavaliers20c1,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001,75848.7%856 W · 902 L+28.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Pistons43c987.16$422 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$565.2169848.6%339 W · 359 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeea8…0412backed Cavaliers54c900$486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48616251.9%84 W · 78 L+0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Pistons48c758.6$367 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$391.1855251.3%283 W · 269 L+17.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf332…3c89backed Cavaliers50c740$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37065649.2%323 W · 333 L+9.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6cbb…8a37backed Pistons24c735.96$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$559.334148.8%20 W · 21 L+2.9wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+26.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Pistons42c692.11$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$398.9553842%226 W · 312 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf284…b9f9backed Pistons43c661.03$284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$377.2918651.1%95 W · 91 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa62a…f05bbacked Cavaliers79c632.91$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5003158.1%18 W · 13 L-3.2wins-0.10per pick68cpaid-14.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x598a…1bdfbacked Pistons43c584.28$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$334.281546.7%7 W · 8 L+1.3wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+25.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4259…77c1backed Pistons72c555.54$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.5546959.1%277 W · 192 L+28.6wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+11.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Pistons63c548$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.945445.2%205 W · 249 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Pistons23c438.47$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$337.6262051.1%317 W · 303 L+14.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x86ee…511fbacked Pistons23c434.78$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$334.786145.9%28 W · 33 L-4.2wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-13.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Pistons48c420$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.22,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Cavaliers28c414.63$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.8893148.4%451 W · 480 L+34.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Pistons35c389$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.8568838.5%265 W · 423 L-26.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Pistons71c382.37$271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.392,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0fce…c02abacked Cavaliers28c378.9$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.095540%22 W · 33 L+5.3wins+0.10per pick30cpaid+54.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Cavaliers31c373.55$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.611,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f56…348abacked Cavaliers56c360.6$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.663756.8%21 W · 16 L+5.1wins+0.14per pick43cpaid+14.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5012…4d3ebacked Cavaliers60c358.44$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2143644.4%16 W · 20 L-3.7wins-0.10per pick55cpaid-20.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Pistons23c327.75$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.571,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Pistons39c282.54$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.3590650.2%455 W · 451 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec2d…896cbacked Cavaliers37c270.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007944.3%35 W · 44 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc214…105dbacked Cavaliers33c252.18$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.224768.1%32 W · 15 L+8.3wins+0.18per pick50cpaid+39.8%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x93ab…9723backed Pistons67c242.18$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.9260351.4%310 W · 293 L+16.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7eee…b4b2backed Cavaliers60c222.93$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.814562.8%91 W · 54 L-0.2wins0.00per pick63cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f56…a330backed Cavaliers68c221.62$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1503844.7%17 W · 21 L-5.8wins-0.15per pick60cpaid-28%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xfe1e…7ee3backed Cavaliers80c212$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.249654.2%52 W · 44 L-6.7wins-0.07per pick61cpaid-15.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Cavaliers9c203$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.2719548.2%94 W · 101 L+12.4wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+9.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Cavaliers51c200$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10263746.6%297 W · 340 L-16.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9034…f7dfbacked Cavaliers35c200$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7036243.9%159 W · 203 L-9.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-28.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Cavaliers30c189.9$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.9732045.3%145 W · 175 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfa8e…cdcbbacked Pistons24c152.04$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.55944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid+19.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeaca…23d7backed Pistons24c125$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$953333.3%11 W · 22 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93ac…2761backed Pistons72c123.35$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.5452861.9%327 W · 201 L+32.3wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0180…b8cdbacked Pistons43c113.95$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.9526545.3%120 W · 145 L-1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Pistons19c113.58$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9227245.6%124 W · 148 L+7.5wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6e83…a620backed Cavaliers48c100.42$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.21136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-31.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Cavaliers79c100$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7925352.6%133 W · 120 L+7.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x15ba…f30dbacked Cavaliers46c100$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$467150.7%36 W · 35 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x255a…3435backed Pistons40c94$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.6861638.5%237 W · 379 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a4c…1940backed Cavaliers79c91.06$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.6640%0 W · 4 L-2.9wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x8bd4…5aaebacked Cavaliers60c83.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501947.4%9 W · 10 L-2.2wins-0.12per pick59cpaid-22.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8956…755fbacked Pistons37c80.67$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.6720951.7%108 W · 101 L-9.1wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-7.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x48cf…c7dfbacked Cavaliers73c75.34$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5536453%193 W · 171 L-17.0wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-8.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1641…a37fbacked Pistons23c73.84$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.862240.9%9 W · 13 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe1cc…28a0backed Cavaliers54c73.7$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4029665.5%194 W · 102 L+9.8wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc74d…8acabacked Cavaliers28c71.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2014344.1%63 W · 80 L+9.8wins+0.07per pick37cpaid+28.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Pistons75c69$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.551,04851.7%542 W · 506 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Cavaliers30c68.97$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.7860250.5%304 W · 298 L+14.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Pistons22c62$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.6218653.2%99 W · 87 L+9.5wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+16.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0b79…6a80backed Cavaliers25c61$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.114740.8%60 W · 87 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-23.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x11ff…4447backed Pistons22c56.73$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.2515838.6%61 W · 97 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+11.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Pistons39c50$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.51,34129.9%401 W · 940 L-53.8wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Cavaliers77c49.78$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.291,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x54b0…b1eebacked Cavaliers66c45.45$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3020%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9ba6…cd3ebacked Pistons46c43.44$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.646274.2%46 W · 16 L+11.3wins+0.18per pick56cpaid+27.5%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xd73b…6b37backed Cavaliers38c40$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.23435.3%12 W · 22 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xede5…5300backed Cavaliers60c39.1$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.461942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-20.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1853…888fbacked Pistons27c38.52$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.121758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.6wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+23.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x67d2…a008backed Cavaliers78c38.46$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3012961.2%79 W · 50 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick63cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x70fc…ab12backed Pistons48c38.46$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2022143.4%96 W · 125 L-12.5wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-11.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1812…c143backed Cavaliers79c37.93$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.963871.1%27 W · 11 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick69cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Cavaliers60c37.5$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.561151.4%314 W · 297 L+17.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Cavaliers43c36.46$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.6830842.9%132 W · 176 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Pistons48c34$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.6889850.9%457 W · 441 L+19.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7c83…b625backed Cavaliers60c33.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Cavaliers54c32.71$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.7325554.5%139 W · 116 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0599…3c6abacked Pistons68c32.35$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.3523546.8%110 W · 125 L-18.7wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-16.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7b8d…f1e3backed Cavaliers79c30$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.7666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick75cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Cavaliers52c26.5$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.7323445.7%107 W · 127 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc1e5…c5dfbacked Pistons49c25.33$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.834942.9%21 W · 28 L-0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid+32.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2bcf…c678backed Pistons73c24.01$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.4810761.7%66 W · 41 L+8.7wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x059d…10e3backed Pistons43c23.26$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.268037.5%30 W · 50 L-10.0wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-27.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Pistons75c21.89$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.4789048.8%434 W · 456 L-1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x086c…4932backed Cavaliers77c20$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.45056%28 W · 22 L0.0wins0.00per pick56cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5339…9da3backed Cavaliers77c19.99$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.3933258.7%195 W · 137 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeda9…f624backed Cavaliers77c19.06$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.587353.4%39 W · 34 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Cavaliers73c18.52$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.5242842.5%182 W · 246 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x12b4…a662backed Pistons76c18.15$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.3359255.4%328 W · 264 L+23.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6c16…66cebacked Pistons74c17.26$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.4921953.4%117 W · 102 L+0.8wins0.00per pick53cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Cavaliers77c14.8$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.433356.2%187 W · 146 L+9.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 38 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.