TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 213.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$95,531
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$98,975

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $95,531 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 128 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x84cf…2f63backed Over43c27,312$11,776 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,775.6264948.2%313 W · 336 L-3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Under57c10,049$5,695 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,354.3664651.7%334 W · 312 L-14.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa080…234fbacked Under57c10,000$5,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,299.9914842.6%63 W · 85 L-7.8wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-12.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Under57c7,500$4,275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,224.991,33251.2%682 W · 650 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xae82…faf0backed Under56c5,000$2,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,20015849.4%78 W · 80 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ca9…ea67backed Over45c3,308$1,489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,488.823636.1%13 W · 23 L-3.9wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-25.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Over44c3,131$1,372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,372.1355251.3%283 W · 269 L+17.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over44c2,741$1,208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,208.288,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Under57c2,587$1,474 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,112.366250.8%336 W · 326 L+15.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a26…937ebacked Under61c2,243$1,367 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$875.911558.3%67 W · 48 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+88.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Over43c2,100$903 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90318445.7%84 W · 100 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over42c1,732$723 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$722.521,20051.6%619 W · 581 L+66.5wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+4.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2114…84c5backed Under55c1,610$886 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$723.585935.6%21 W · 38 L-8.3wins-0.14per pick50cpaid-28.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Over50c1,379$687 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$686.9469848.6%339 W · 359 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Over45c1,376$623 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$622.6593148.4%451 W · 480 L+34.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2efa…8a01backed Under55c1,182$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$531.86352.4%33 W · 30 L+3.9wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+12.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over44c1,161$511 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$510.921,34129.9%401 W · 940 L-53.8wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x339a…1eaebacked Under56c1,068$598 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$469.81,75961.7%1,085 W · 674 L+127.5wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over44c1,040$462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$461.646,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe4ad…795cbacked Over49c1,029$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50052461.6%323 W · 201 L-0.3wins0.00per pick62cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under49c1,016$499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$516.3432045.3%145 W · 175 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbc5b…3f6abacked Under44c1,008$444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$564.4811946.2%55 W · 64 L-6.0wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0fce…c02abacked Under45c999$454 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$544.835540%22 W · 33 L+5.3wins+0.10per pick30cpaid+54.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Under56c875.33$494 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$381.391,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under56c855.78$483 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$372.31,63341.2%672 W · 961 L+26.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over57c767$436 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$436.4345445.2%205 W · 249 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32f9…9725backed Over43c697.67$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30012753.5%68 W · 59 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x276b…add4backed Over43c697.67$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30012451.6%64 W · 60 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b62…728abacked Under58c690.89$398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.911556.5%65 W · 50 L+5.6wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over46c651.55$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.0753842%226 W · 312 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x45d5…a7a0backed Over44c649.99$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28710545.7%48 W · 57 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-10.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6bc0…af1abacked Over44c643.39$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2816233.9%21 W · 41 L-7.5wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-20.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Over44c636.32$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282.176653.5%410 W · 356 L+65.5wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+15.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xae8f…1cc3backed Over42c619.22$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2605446.3%25 W · 29 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Over49c607.4$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30095452.3%499 W · 455 L-17.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under56c600$338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261.691,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x882a…cde2backed Under56c536.38$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.0122948.5%111 W · 118 L+0.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x135d…56c0backed Over43c465.12$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2006544.6%29 W · 36 L+0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe2df…ca29backed Over44c407.99$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.5117247.7%82 W · 90 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7353…4b0dbacked Under57c405.48$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.485453.7%29 W · 25 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Over42c340.56$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.5466352.6%349 W · 314 L+30.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under54c332.14$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.31,17050.3%588 W · 582 L+46.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Over45c327.62$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.9260250.5%304 W · 298 L+14.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Under57c319.99$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.662051.1%317 W · 303 L+14.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under52c319.6$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.542,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb3da…b638backed Over43c304.52$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.9810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x683a…274ebacked Under48c300$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15618536.8%68 W · 117 L-11.8wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-16.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4259…77c1backed Over44c297.32$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.8246959.1%277 W · 192 L+28.6wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+11.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8ee9…1362backed Under60c291.81$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.8112248.4%59 W · 63 L-7.8wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x255a…3435backed Under51c271$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.7961638.5%237 W · 379 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa2c6…d14dbacked Under56c263$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.7210645.3%48 W · 58 L-8.1wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-17.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf348…e543backed Under55c262$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.142450%12 W · 12 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-7.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over52c243.55$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.651,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over52c222.4$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.6542842.5%182 W · 246 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb8c…6a99backed Over50c219.65$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.725743.9%25 W · 32 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe071…2d1abacked Under60c216.67$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.6748957.5%281 W · 208 L+2.4wins0.00per pick57cpaid+2.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Over39c208.34$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.9227463.5%174 W · 100 L+34.8wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+19.1%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Under56c200$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8856043.9%246 W · 314 L-31.2wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-9.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe962…663abacked Over43c197.02$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.7284342.9%362 W · 481 L-39.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4f9b…cdeebacked Over30c183$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.7378639.2%308 W · 478 L+27.5wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-4.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d56…e09ebacked Under55c181.82$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.82450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Over47c168$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.1434255.6%190 W · 152 L+28.2wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+36%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6de9…a8e5backed Under57c153.19$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.8736247.5%172 W · 190 L-0.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under66c147.7$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.2252150.9%265 W · 256 L+18.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2728…4f96backed Under69c146.38$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.3813037.7%49 W · 81 L-14.4wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-24.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under49c141.1$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.2689850.9%457 W · 441 L+19.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9cd2…1d66backed Over43c140$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.21457.1%8 W · 6 L+2.6wins+0.18per pick39cpaid+42.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x1015…c873backed Over43c138$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.3462744.5%279 W · 348 L-12.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over41c136.5$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.062,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under69c130.32$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.3230842.9%132 W · 176 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Under61c122$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.2261151.4%314 W · 297 L+17.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Over38c121.39$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.8330551.5%157 W · 148 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd053…307abacked Over44c113.64$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508252.4%43 W · 39 L+7.0wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+17.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x4bf2…d280backed Under55c112.73$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.7322945.9%105 W · 124 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid+6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x22a4…63ebbacked Under56c111.31$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.9892058%534 W · 386 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd52c…6c59backed Under45c111.11$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.115139.2%20 W · 31 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc06…d3b7backed Under56c106$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.64757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe619…6342backed Under57c105.26$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.2622844.7%102 W · 126 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c13…99b7backed Over44c102.27$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4547738.2%182 W · 295 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-4.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3921…db37backed Over43c100$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$436643.9%29 W · 37 L+8.1wins+0.12per pick32cpaid+40.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked Under55c100$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4585449.4%422 W · 432 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Under60c95.22$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.3833556.7%190 W · 145 L+26.4wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+12.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x20bf…2be9backed Over43c93.02$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403948.7%19 W · 20 L+2.6wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+20.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9c9b…7349backed Under71c84.36$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.3621574.4%160 W · 55 L+8.5wins+0.04per pick70cpaid+5.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x016c…df21backed Under52c80.77$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.775246.2%24 W · 28 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0df7…1ec1backed Over41c78.29$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.079061.1%55 W · 35 L+7.9wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+7.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb502…9d8bbacked Under64c78.25$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.2530055.7%167 W · 133 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f43…3a74backed Under57c75$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.3610148.5%49 W · 52 L+0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid+6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Over43c74.96$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.8666143.4%287 W · 374 L-32.6wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6b1e…65c1backed Under44c74.93$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.9620856.7%118 W · 90 L+13.7wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+12.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5f56…348abacked Under59c74.5$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.193756.8%21 W · 16 L+5.1wins+0.14per pick43cpaid+14.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6553…aa3cbacked Under56c71.21$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.219046.7%42 W · 48 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc392…595dbacked Over44c68.97$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.3540548.4%196 W · 209 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb3c…a471backed Under56c66.82$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.42850%14 W · 14 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc882…4e6bbacked Under70c66.69$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.072360.9%14 W · 9 L+4.2wins+0.18per pick43cpaid+60.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x0271…156bbacked Over56c66$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.961136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-31.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8dd4…7401backed Under57c64.44$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2824936.9%92 W · 157 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfad4…379bbacked Under61c60$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.410347.6%49 W · 54 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Over43c58.4$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.1630448.4%147 W · 157 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde56…c2f9backed Over45c55.67$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.053633.3%12 W · 24 L-5.2wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-39.4%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 38 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.