NBA · resolved market
Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5a32214cb5f026c39882c46fed3b6fde46fdfb1793ef178c8ff2402a3d374b23
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pistonsof Cavaliers, Pistons
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $578,273
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $593,374
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $578,273 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 183 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Cavaliers | 48c | 369,174$178,666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178,665.7 | 698 | 48.6%339 W · 359 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9c7…aadebacked Pistons | 52c | 206,555$107,408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99,146.28 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Pistons | 51c | 150,567$76,789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73,777.77 | 431 | 48.7%210 W · 221 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0549…c052backed Cavaliers | 48c | 52,000$24,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,959.98 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9770…0ff5backed Pistons | 52c | 44,586$23,184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,401.04 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Cavaliers | 50c | 35,000$17,389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,389.39 | 145 | 38.6%56 W · 89 L | -12.9wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x418d…88a3backed Cavaliers | 49c | 20,500$10,045 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,045 | 102 | 48%49 W · 53 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a4c…1f30backed Pistons | 52c | 20,000$10,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,600 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Pistons | 51c | 12,905$6,582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,323.42 | 593 | 47%279 W · 314 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe16e…c3c7backed Cavaliers | 48c | 10,000$4,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,800.17 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -3.2wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf284…b9f9backed Pistons | 51c | 9,999$5,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,899.75 | 186 | 51.1%95 W · 91 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Pistons | 52c | 9,343$4,832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,510.55 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe169…4653backed Cavaliers | 49c | 7,098$3,478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,477.85 | 124 | 50.8%63 W · 61 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cab2backed Pistons | 50c | 7,080$3,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,540.24 | 566 | 46.5%263 W · 303 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x791e…9bdabacked Pistons | 52c | 6,000$3,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,880 | 172 | 47.7%82 W · 90 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Pistons | 50c | 5,315$2,670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,644.92 | 650 | 45.1%293 W · 357 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Pistons | 51c | 5,149$2,608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,540.47 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Pistons | 51c | 3,874$1,989 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,884.4 | 552 | 51.3%283 W · 269 L | +17.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x089f…fe64backed Cavaliers | 49c | 3,765$1,845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,845 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Cavaliers | 49c | 3,514$1,706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,705.63 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Pistons | 52c | 3,500$1,820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,680 | 170 | 52.4%89 W · 81 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5aa…4464backed Pistons | 52c | 3,433$1,785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,647.97 | 201 | 54.2%109 W · 92 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Pistons | 51c | 3,281$1,673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,607.8 | 824 | 42.2%348 W · 476 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Pistons | 52c | 3,162$1,644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,517.63 | 649 | 48.2%313 W · 336 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e4…bf9dbacked Pistons | 52c | 3,000$1,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,440 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Cavaliers | 49c | 2,886$1,414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,413.91 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa62a…f05bbacked Pistons | 60c | 2,853$1,704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,148.52 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 68cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Cavaliers | 49c | 2,500$1,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,225 | 568 | 43.8%249 W · 319 L | -25.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Pistons | 50c | 2,098$1,049 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,049.25 | 726 | 48.3%351 W · 375 L | +30.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf20f…3b33backed Pistons | 51c | 2,020$1,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$989.61 | 183 | 43.7%80 W · 103 L | -11.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1420…9daabacked Cavaliers | 49c | 1,990$975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$975.09 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2003…af6fbacked Pistons | 50c | 1,830$915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$915 | 58 | 29.3%17 W · 41 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Pistons | 51c | 1,720$880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$839.78 | 620 | 51.1%317 W · 303 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea48…c596backed Cavaliers | 49c | 1,431$701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$701.19 | 184 | 44.6%82 W · 102 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1895…efd2backed Cavaliers | 57c | 1,316$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 93 | 46.2%43 W · 50 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Pistons | 50c | 1,270$635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$635 | 1,200 | 51.6%619 W · 581 L | +66.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32f1…c96ebacked Pistons | 51c | 1,200$612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588 | 117 | 57.3%67 W · 50 L | +9.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Pistons | 51c | 1,194$609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585.21 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb17e…22bebacked Pistons | 46c | 1,111$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$603.89 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed Cavaliers | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | -8.7wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Pistons | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 663 | 52.6%349 W · 314 L | +30.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Pistons | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc5b…5443backed Cavaliers | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 125 | 42.4%53 W · 72 L | -11.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Pistons | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 350 | 49.4%173 W · 177 L | +17.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8180…f4dabacked Cavaliers | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 433 | 52.2%226 W · 207 L | +19.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72a6…cfefbacked Cavaliers | 49c | 878.45$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.44 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | -5.1wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Cavaliers | 29c | 804.84$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.44 | 688 | 38.5%265 W · 423 L | -26.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Cavaliers | 48c | 798.81$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.64 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Cavaliers | 48c | 750$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 766 | 53.5%410 W · 356 L | +65.5wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2123…8d70backed Pistons | 51c | 700$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345 | 175 | 51.4%90 W · 85 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe73b…8f0abacked Cavaliers | 49c | 691.59$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.88 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 40cpaid | -71%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b01…dee1backed Pistons | 52c | 667.31$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.31 | 94 | 54.3%51 W · 43 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Pistons | 66c | 606.06$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.06 | 469 | 59.1%277 W · 192 L | +28.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Pistons | 53c | 600$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.12 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f36…2819backed Cavaliers | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…e607backed Cavaliers | 25c | 599.99$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 529 | 51.2%271 W · 258 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed Cavaliers | 49c | 589.4$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.5 | 1,322 | 49.9%660 W · 662 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2df…ca29backed Pistons | 52c | 580.08$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.44 | 172 | 47.7%82 W · 90 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7677…37c0backed Pistons | 52c | 576.92$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.92 | 141 | 48.2%68 W · 73 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Cavaliers | 48c | 572$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.22 | 348 | 50.9%177 W · 171 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x007b…adc6backed Cavaliers | 52c | 548.94$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.45 | 147 | 27.9%41 W · 106 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Pistons | 52c | 544.04$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.14 | 131 | 61.8%81 W · 50 L | +13.4wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcd1b…b9c4backed Cavaliers | 50c | 501.68$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.84 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Pistons | 52c | 500$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ff…abd0backed Cavaliers | 49c | 499.98$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.99 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Cavaliers | 47c | 489.35$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c2e…f1c7backed Cavaliers | 48c | 459.28$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.72 | 83 | 54.2%45 W · 38 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd155…8250backed Cavaliers | 48c | 425.47$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.96 | 488 | 52%254 W · 234 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…d984backed Pistons | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.62 | 364 | 50.8%185 W · 179 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe944…650cbacked Pistons | 61c | 379.9$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.11 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -36%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…b805backed Cavaliers | 50c | 378$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189 | 99 | 58.6%58 W · 41 L | +9.5wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Pistons | 51c | 373.12$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.83 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x432d…bda6backed Cavaliers | 49c | 362.08$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.42 | 109 | 58.7%64 W · 45 L | +7.1wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc37e…9e64backed Cavaliers | 49c | 357.03$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.89 | 114 | 46.5%53 W · 61 L | -7.2wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Pistons | 50c | 319$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.5 | 452 | 51.1%231 W · 221 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Cavaliers | 49c | 300$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 560 | 43.9%246 W · 314 L | -31.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfbaa…c8ffbacked Pistons | 52c | 300$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 216 | 53.7%116 W · 100 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb575…d35bbacked Pistons | 51c | 294.12$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.12 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.15per pick | 39cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Pistons | 53c | 289$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.75 | 898 | 50.9%457 W · 441 L | +19.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69e4…9bacbacked Pistons | 53c | 256.92$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.75 | 67 | 49.3%33 W · 34 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd306…463dbacked Pistons | 52c | 244.23$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.23 | 93 | 55.9%52 W · 41 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Cavaliers | 48c | 227.25$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.99 | 1,277 | 47.2%603 W · 674 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9310…5e55backed Cavaliers | 49c | 220.41$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 625 | 46.9%293 W · 332 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x521e…8aa2backed Pistons | 51c | 215.69$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.69 | 52 | 63.5%33 W · 19 L | +6.7wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Pistons | 68c | 205.98$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.23 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83f0…4209backed Cavaliers | 49c | 205.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Cavaliers | 35c | 202.47$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.47 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd420…df90backed Pistons | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 514 | 51.9%267 W · 247 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cbf…70a1backed Pistons | 51c | 199.49$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.75 | 66 | 34.8%23 W · 43 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…b23ebacked Pistons | 52c | 195.73$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.73 | 159 | 61%97 W · 62 L | +8.1wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5322…a5dcbacked Pistons | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Pistons | 53c | 188.66$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.67 | 844 | 43%363 W · 481 L | -40.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Pistons | 45c | 188$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.4 | 1,715 | 44.5%764 W · 951 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb052…7adabacked Cavaliers | 49c | 173.47$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 290 | 46.9%136 W · 154 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2639…a9b6backed Cavaliers | 49c | 150.14$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.57 | 241 | 47.7%115 W · 126 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Pistons | 52c | 150$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.75 | 304 | 48.4%147 W · 157 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa313…eb44backed Cavaliers | 52c | 149$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.48 | 83 | 53%44 W · 39 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Pistons | 50c | 144$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 272 | 45.6%124 W · 148 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1b4…1fc5backed Cavaliers | 48c | 139.42$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.5 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -3.6wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x38c4…7c65backed Cavaliers | 49c | 139$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.11 | 295 | 56.6%167 W · 128 L | +10.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 38 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Cavaliers (-1.5)Pistons won
- 1H Spread: Cavaliers (-2.5)Pistons won
- Ausar Thompson: Rebounds O/U 1.5Yes won
- Cade Cunningham: Points O/U 26.5No won
- Donovan Mitchell: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Donovan Mitchell: Points O/U 26.5No won
- Evan Mobley: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Jalen Duren: Points O/U 10.5Yes won
- Jalen Duren: Rebounds O/U 8.5Yes won
- James Harden: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- James Harden: Points O/U 19.5Yes won
- Pistons vs. CavaliersPistons won
- Pistons vs. Cavaliers: 1H MoneylinePistons won
- Pistons vs. Cavaliers: 1H O/U 107.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 201.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 204.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 206.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 207.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 208.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 209.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 210.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 211.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 212.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 213.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 215.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 216.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 219.5Under won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-1.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-11.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-14.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-2.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-5.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-6.5)Pistons won
- Tobias Harris: Points O/U 18.5No won
- Tobias Harris: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.