NBA · resolved market
Cade Cunningham: Points O/U 26.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5ebeb49382301976b39b0d5db78890205cde6417950b996e24ba16326b9a27c8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,526
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,420
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,526 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xedf7…8f79backed No | 45c | 1,105$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$608.81 | 1,393 | 48.3%673 W · 720 L | +19.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe768…b331backed No | 54c | 963.68$523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.69 | 398 | 64.3%256 W · 142 L | +33.7wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8a26…937ebacked Yes | 56c | 887.01$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 115 | 58.3%67 W · 48 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +88.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x906b…9805backed Yes | 55c | 717.37$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.1 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -22%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed No | 41c | 688.48$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.05 | 796 | 50.9%405 W · 391 L | +63.2wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x373a…f4c1backed No | 45c | 528.05$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.71 | 908 | 63.9%580 W · 328 L | +80.6wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9b66…336abacked Yes | 46c | 499.48$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 277 | 46.6%129 W · 148 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x556c…93cebacked Yes | 46c | 444$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.24 | 249 | 49%122 W · 127 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27ee…b517backed Yes | 55c | 362.94$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 74 | 41.9%31 W · 43 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x689c…6b1ebacked No | 51c | 355.38$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.46 | 124 | 51.6%64 W · 60 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0fd…a91ebacked Yes | 55c | 342.9$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187 | 93 | 53.8%50 W · 43 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed No | 44c | 308.33$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.67 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd38…99d4backed Yes | 49c | 299.99$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148 | 256 | 57%146 W · 110 L | +9.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb56…2492backed No | 54c | 293.82$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.91 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +4.4wins | +0.19per pick | 46cpaid | +58.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x91dd…2730backed Yes | 22c | 291.84$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.2 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53cd…11b3backed No | 46c | 249.99$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 91 | 39.6%36 W · 55 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13a9…e573backed No | 45c | 241.03$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.8 | 123 | 47.2%58 W · 65 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe65b…271bbacked Yes | 55c | 199.98$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.99 | 68 | 47.1%32 W · 36 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe7cd…7db3backed Yes | 54c | 192.25$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.34 | 83 | 54.2%45 W · 38 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Yes | 46c | 186.51$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.71 | 854 | 49.4%422 W · 432 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2baf…8023backed No | 46c | 130$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.6 | 437 | 52.6%230 W · 207 L | +18.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0c…5292backed Yes | 55c | 127.97$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 78 | 21.8%17 W · 61 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x085b…ab9fbacked Yes | 44c | 113.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.95 | 99 | 41.4%41 W · 58 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52f2…5a5dbacked Yes | 54c | 111.81$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.38 | 175 | 47.4%83 W · 92 L | -13.3wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d3…4b1fbacked Yes | 47c | 110$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.7 | 77 | 51.9%40 W · 37 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1646…2f81backed Yes | 56c | 101.33$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.74 | 109 | 54.1%59 W · 50 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed No | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 560 | 43.9%246 W · 314 L | -31.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Yes | 54c | 98$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.92 | 267 | 55.1%147 W · 120 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbbc…3122backed No | 54c | 92.45$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.45 | 79 | 53.2%42 W · 37 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0366…a001backed Yes | 44c | 80$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.2 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c94…f9f4backed No | 53c | 75.93$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.69 | 80 | 43.8%35 W · 45 L | -9.9wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -23%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb1…0073backed Yes | 47c | 72.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 149 | 53%79 W · 70 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26eb…c940backed Yes | 23c | 70.07$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.12 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -2.4wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe962…663abacked Yes | 50c | 63.07$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.36 | 843 | 42.9%362 W · 481 L | -39.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed No | 45c | 60$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 335 | 56.7%190 W · 145 L | +26.4wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed No | 45c | 55.56$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.56 | 660 | 46.8%309 W · 351 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b09…3be1backed No | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.56 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a7…40f7backed Yes | 44c | 55.36$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.36 | 37 | 70.3%26 W · 11 L | +7.0wins | +0.19per pick | 51cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1732…1c15backed Yes | 55c | 54.13$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.77 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.23per pick | 53cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x72f8…cf5dbacked No | 48c | 50.69$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.13 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4388…9ce4backed Yes | 56c | 48.5$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.94 | 199 | 52.3%104 W · 95 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4651…8da8backed No | 44c | 48.5$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.94 | 72 | 30.6%22 W · 50 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1382…7820backed Yes | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.9wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x623a…5144backed Yes | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked No | 47c | 30.5$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.22 | 760 | 54.6%415 W · 345 L | +56.7wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5aeb…42d4backed Yes | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 275 | 39.6%109 W · 166 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb581…0308backed Yes | 52c | 24.25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.61 | 560 | 50.4%282 W · 278 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed No | 54c | 18.62$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 410 | 50.7%208 W · 202 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 38 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cade Cunningham: Points O/U 26.5this page
- 1H Spread: Cavaliers (-1.5)Pistons won
- 1H Spread: Cavaliers (-2.5)Pistons won
- Ausar Thompson: Rebounds O/U 1.5Yes won
- Donovan Mitchell: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Donovan Mitchell: Points O/U 26.5No won
- Evan Mobley: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Jalen Duren: Points O/U 10.5Yes won
- Jalen Duren: Rebounds O/U 8.5Yes won
- James Harden: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- James Harden: Points O/U 19.5Yes won
- Pistons vs. CavaliersPistons won
- Pistons vs. Cavaliers: 1H MoneylinePistons won
- Pistons vs. Cavaliers: 1H O/U 107.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 201.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 204.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 206.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 207.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 208.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 209.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 210.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 211.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 212.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 213.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 215.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 216.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 219.5Under won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-1.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-11.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-14.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-2.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-5.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-6.5)Pistons won
- Tobias Harris: Points O/U 18.5No won
- Tobias Harris: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.