TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 207.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$81,356
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$92,017

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $81,356 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 131 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5268…135dbacked Under43c16,646$7,088 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,087.9655251.3%283 W · 269 L+17.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf559…f462backed Over58c10,108$5,854 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,253.6111654.3%63 W · 53 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over59c7,383$4,324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,059.344,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under24c6,164$1,489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,488.631,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe7a2…ae70backed Over77c5,901$4,544 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,357.2321549.8%107 W · 108 L-0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under42c3,334$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,400.282,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x23c8…f293backed Under43c3,169$1,363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,362.5128643%123 W · 163 L-1.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over57c2,403$1,370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,033.964948.2%313 W · 336 L-3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe4ad…795cbacked Over58c2,087$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$886.8752461.6%323 W · 201 L-0.3wins0.00per pick62cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2efa…8a01backed Over63c1,937$1,220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$716.56352.4%33 W · 30 L+3.9wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+12.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x895d…11d5backed Under51c1,563$797 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$796.953557.1%20 W · 15 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2003…af6fbacked Over56c1,550$863 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$686.95829.3%17 W · 41 L-3.9wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-18.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under43c1,380$591 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$590.694,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbd52…df69backed Under37c1,215$449 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$449.376636.4%24 W · 42 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-13.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under42c1,203$509 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508.932045.3%145 W · 175 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe2df…ca29backed Under43c1,200$512 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51217247.7%82 W · 90 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under39c1,191$468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$467.892,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under42c1,172$492 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$492.4166352.6%349 W · 314 L+30.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over59c1,069$627 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$441.741,34129.9%401 W · 940 L-53.8wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under42c1,062$442 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$442.371,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Over57c1,053$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$452.6395452.3%499 W · 455 L-17.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under44c1,000$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$440.013,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6340…1bd0backed Over56c999.98$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$439.9913128.2%37 W · 94 L-5.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-7.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Over59c976.98$575 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$402.391,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x255a…3435backed Under49c967.28$474 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$473.9761638.5%237 W · 379 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b7a…bc22backed Under22c862.68$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19226131%81 W · 180 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick30cpaid+2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked Under49c842.86$413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41317052.4%89 W · 81 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Over55c756$417 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338.6893148.4%451 W · 480 L+34.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under47c724.28$338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$338.189850.9%457 W · 441 L+19.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa66d…6daabacked Over58c689.66$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.662356.5%13 W · 10 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x04ec…232abacked Over50c599.99$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3033050%15 W · 15 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Over75c585.7$439 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.319548.2%94 W · 101 L+12.4wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+9.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4259…77c1backed Under40c577.12$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.646959.1%277 W · 192 L+28.6wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+11.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd473…3febbacked Over57c553$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.7924955.8%139 W · 110 L+0.7wins0.00per pick56cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over70c549.07$384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.871,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4d3…4b1fbacked Under42c534.32$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.417751.9%40 W · 37 L+4.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under44c508$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.712,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Over58c495.47$287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.1789444.4%397 W · 497 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Under43c420$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.662051.1%317 W · 303 L+14.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over53c402.54$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.7142842.5%182 W · 246 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Over51c396.22$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.1769848.6%339 W · 359 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Over56c379.48$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.4960250.5%304 W · 298 L+14.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over58c369$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.0245445.2%205 W · 249 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0797…48fdbacked Over57c350$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.5450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over57c347.08$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.598,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Over58c345.61$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.624159.8%144 W · 97 L+9.8wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x08be…bea8backed Over58c344.83$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.8310861.1%66 W · 42 L-6.0wins-0.06per pick67cpaid-8.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5f56…a330backed Over65c308.35$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.353844.7%17 W · 21 L-5.8wins-0.15per pick60cpaid-28%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x98bd…8a55backed Over65c307.82$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.824560%27 W · 18 L+3.0wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+25.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xeb97…7ae1backed Under44c306.32$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.782231.8%7 W · 15 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x39f8…badabacked Over56c300$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1324652.2%24 W · 22 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0af5…154cbacked Over58c258.62$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.623164.5%20 W · 11 L+5.3wins+0.17per pick47cpaid+27.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over59c254.22$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.2384443%363 W · 481 L-40.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under42c248.84$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.621,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over64c233$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.092,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0e45…39dabacked Under44c226.06$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.710746.7%50 W · 57 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8532…738bbacked Over57c200$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8632450.3%163 W · 161 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb8b9…2444backed Over58c172.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.411127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.2wins-0.20per pick48cpaid-51%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb5b3…4756backed Under43c168.1$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.4610743.9%47 W · 60 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-11%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x389d…995fbacked Under44c168.1$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.468843.2%38 W · 50 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Over58c163.68$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.7530448.4%147 W · 157 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over58c161.82$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.2453842%226 W · 312 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a88…3dadbacked Under42c145.98$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.312454.2%13 W · 11 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdebb…eedbbacked Under46c145$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.713638.2%52 W · 84 L-8.5wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-18.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Over57c143.05$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.881,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf5e…95e3backed Under48c125.69$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.3321046.2%97 W · 113 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid+2.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd3c2…5509backed Under48c125.69$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.3318444.6%82 W · 102 L-11.9wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-19.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7fc6…97b7backed Over57c125$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.752166.7%14 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+16.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb6fc…b24ebacked Under43c120.93$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5245445.4%206 W · 248 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa11f…1252backed Under52c117.12$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.8820247.5%96 W · 106 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+3.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x782c…38c2backed Over60c116.67$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.676555.4%36 W · 29 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x93ac…2761backed Over66c111$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.7452861.9%327 W · 201 L+32.3wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd2b0…cfa1backed Over58c101.72$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.721258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+31%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc308…7b09backed Over50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5031222.1%69 W · 243 L+14.9wins+0.05per pick17cpaid+79.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x198c…7328backed Over58c100$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$426100%6 W · 0 L+2.1wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+56.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5d2f…0f76backed Over57c100$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$433537.1%13 W · 22 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+10.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5339…9da3backed Over58c98.97$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.5733258.7%195 W · 137 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x75dc…4f82backed Under50c98.88$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.4455751.9%289 W · 268 L+1.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x101c…543dbacked Over59c89.31$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.662263.6%14 W · 8 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+11.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a67…52edbacked Over59c84.75$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.7512149.6%60 W · 61 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7f39…28dabacked Over62c80.65$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.6511347.8%54 W · 59 L-5.0wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7970…eccabacked Over59c80.26$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.912560%15 W · 10 L+3.5wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+38.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb768…37dabacked Over59c79.66$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.661855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b7a…52c9backed Under44c75$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331428.6%4 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick35cpaid+11.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x97ff…d970backed Over68c73.65$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.6510843.5%47 W · 61 L-7.0wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-17.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5f56…348abacked Under52c71.99$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.183756.8%21 W · 16 L+5.1wins+0.14per pick43cpaid+14.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed Under42c71.43$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303259.4%19 W · 13 L+2.8wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+17.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1b44…6e8dbacked Over57c70.18$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.187561.3%46 W · 29 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick64cpaid-0.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Over53c69.67$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.8261151.4%314 W · 297 L+17.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Over56c69.48$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.2366143.4%287 W · 374 L-32.6wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed Under38c60.53$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2327138.7%105 W · 166 L+0.6wins0.00per pick39cpaid+4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x614b…ca37backed Over54c59.26$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.263043.3%13 W · 17 L-4.1wins-0.14per pick57cpaid-17.8%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xd053…307abacked Over55c54.55$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.558252.4%43 W · 39 L+7.0wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+17.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xc392…595dbacked Over57c52.15$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.4340548.4%196 W · 209 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee84…becbbacked Under48c52.08$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253735.1%13 W · 24 L-2.7wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-2.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x499c…2f8ebacked Over68c51.2$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.25251.9%27 W · 25 L-6.2wins-0.12per pick64cpaid-21.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under42c50.17$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.1217043.5%74 W · 96 L-8.5wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-11.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x623a…5144backed Under43c46.51$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203938.5%15 W · 24 L-2.8wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-13.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed Under42c42.78$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.971,32249.9%660 W · 662 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbda3…ef65backed Over57c40$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.237253.5%199 W · 173 L+9.5wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 38 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.