NBA · resolved market
Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 209.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa2eb5eaa526a8958a6c65cb669507cbaa5a12a6ce349322508a50895cf10dc13
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $618,011
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $623,910
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $618,011 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 231 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa2cc…0cbcbacked Over | 50c | 219,662$109,831 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109,831.12 | 155 | 45.8%71 W · 84 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d7b…e2cebacked Under | 49c | 212,932$104,691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108,240.98 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Under | 50c | 201,079$100,537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100,542.55 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9770…0ff5backed Over | 51c | 69,000$35,190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,190 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Over | 50c | 56,676$28,598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,597.79 | 698 | 48.6%339 W · 359 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 47c | 23,107$10,745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,361.73 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Over | 50c | 22,000$11,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,089.99 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a2…14b8backed Over | 51c | 21,997$11,218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,218.47 | 109 | 49.5%54 W · 55 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd52…df69backed Over | 51c | 19,998$10,199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,198.98 | 66 | 36.4%24 W · 42 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Over | 51c | 15,943$8,197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,196.89 | 637 | 46.6%297 W · 340 L | -16.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Over | 51c | 11,287$5,771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,771 | 906 | 50.2%455 W · 451 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd10c…0645backed Over | 56c | 10,681$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,000 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Over | 52c | 10,332$5,343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,342.58 | 931 | 48.4%451 W · 480 L | +34.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa080…234fbacked Under | 49c | 10,000$4,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,100 | 148 | 42.6%63 W · 85 L | -7.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaca2…b9a1backed Under | 51c | 8,000$4,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,960 | 328 | 46.6%153 W · 175 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 50c | 7,029$3,495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,494.68 | 552 | 51.3%283 W · 269 L | +17.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Over | 49c | 6,153$3,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,029.27 | 616 | 38.5%237 W · 379 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Under | 50c | 6,000$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,000 | 795 | 49.7%395 W · 400 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1dfb…0b3dbacked Under | 50c | 5,800$2,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,900 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4244…03a6backed Under | 50c | 5,800$2,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,900 | 183 | 49.2%90 W · 93 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Over | 56c | 5,440$3,046 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,046.49 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c12…487dbacked Under | 49c | 4,484$2,205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,279.06 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 53cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb17e…22bebacked Under | 71c | 4,444$3,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,268.71 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cab2backed Over | 51c | 4,360$2,224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,223.57 | 566 | 46.5%263 W · 303 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 50c | 4,155$2,078 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,077.55 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 51c | 4,103$2,084 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,083.58 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fc3…5827backed Over | 51c | 3,922$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0979…8d9bbacked Over | 51c | 3,922$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 203 | 52.7%107 W · 96 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa742…68c5backed Over | 52c | 3,841$1,997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,997.49 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Over | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500.3 | 650 | 45.1%293 W · 357 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c0…24eebacked Under | 49c | 3,000$1,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,530 | 84 | 51.2%43 W · 41 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31c1…7047backed Over | 53c | 2,785$1,476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,476 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +4.4wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x09f4…dac0backed Under | 48c | 2,771$1,334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,437.16 | 169 | 46.7%79 W · 90 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Under | 50c | 2,500$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,250 | 568 | 43.8%249 W · 319 L | -25.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 45c | 2,487$1,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,376.12 | 521 | 50.9%265 W · 256 L | +18.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 52c | 2,292$1,203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,202.65 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb2…a656backed Under | 49c | 2,041$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040.91 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x379a…5122backed Under | 49c | 2,041$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040.82 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -5.6wins | -0.19per pick | 49cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfb56…2492backed Under | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +4.4wins | +0.19per pick | 46cpaid | +58.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x476d…0c42backed Over | 50c | 1,873$936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$936.26 | 88 | 48.9%43 W · 45 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1360…2b50backed Under | 48c | 1,842$884 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$957.89 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -37%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ad…795cbacked Over | 53c | 1,521$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 524 | 61.6%323 W · 201 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 48c | 1,294$621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$672.88 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2df…ca29backed Under | 49c | 1,283$625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$658.38 | 172 | 47.7%82 W · 90 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066e…6ba5backed Under | 55c | 1,240$682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$558 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Over | 52c | 1,200$624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$624 | 329 | 57.4%189 W · 140 L | +18.5wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Over | 51c | 1,176$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 954 | 52.3%499 W · 455 L | -17.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bf8…03b2backed Over | 52c | 1,053$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 275 | 49.5%136 W · 139 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Over | 50c | 1,011$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.64 | 663 | 52.6%349 W · 314 L | +30.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd501…b86ebacked Under | 18c | 970.27$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$795.62 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161b…acc2backed Under | 48c | 929.35$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483.26 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Under | 49c | 911.84$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.9 | 304 | 48.4%147 W · 157 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Over | 48c | 833.15$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.36 | 469 | 59.1%277 W · 192 L | +28.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Under | 49c | 785.73$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.18 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Over | 51c | 760$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.1 | 620 | 51.1%317 W · 303 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 50c | 759.36$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.09 | 898 | 50.9%457 W · 441 L | +19.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa54d…deb8backed Under | 49c | 730$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.3 | 112 | 42%47 W · 65 L | -13.8wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x156e…cf6fbacked Over | 73c | 689.14$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.86 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed Over | 52c | 684.99$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.19 | 176 | 37.5%66 W · 110 L | -16.3wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked Over | 16c | 618$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.84 | 786 | 39.2%308 W · 478 L | +27.5wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e1…06bbbacked Under | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 137 | 57.7%79 W · 58 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 51c | 594.88$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.82 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Over | 51c | 554.91$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283 | 131 | 61.8%81 W · 50 L | +13.4wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x004e…c650backed Over | 52c | 547.31$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.6 | 186 | 50%93 W · 93 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2195…d708backed Over | 77c | 514.43$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.84 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1252…e6e0backed Over | 50c | 510$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…06acbacked Over | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dd…7af9backed Over | 53c | 500$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265 | 272 | 46.7%127 W · 145 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Over | 51c | 497.02$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.51 | 786 | 48.7%383 W · 403 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 50c | 481.46$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.48 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed Under | 47c | 446.09$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.46 | 105 | 45.7%48 W · 57 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45b5…2d74backed Over | 51c | 407.84$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf5aa…4464backed Under | 52c | 405.79$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.78 | 201 | 54.2%109 W · 92 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Over | 53c | 403.28$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.3 | 766 | 53.5%410 W · 356 L | +65.5wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6a99…8210backed Under | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72be…c534backed Over | 50c | 396.68$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 384 | 32.6%125 W · 259 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2728…4f96backed Over | 51c | 396.08$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202 | 130 | 37.7%49 W · 81 L | -14.4wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8d93…b34dbacked Over | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | -6.0wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa66d…6daabacked Over | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce26…8e06backed Over | 53c | 375.56$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.05 | 910 | 50.9%463 W · 447 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc20…8c98backed Over | 57c | 351.02$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc789…7972backed Over | 53c | 320.75$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 161 | 46.6%75 W · 86 L | +8.0wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 73c | 310.82$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.42 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e5e…6845backed Over | 50c | 310$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21db…2a42backed Over | 49c | 306.55$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 188 | 50.5%95 W · 93 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…bb92backed Over | 52c | 304$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.08 | 255 | 59.2%151 W · 104 L | +13.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7e…cbbdbacked Over | 51c | 303.92$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Under | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 498 | 52.6%262 W · 236 L | +15.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac7…3ef9backed Over | 50c | 272.56$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.28 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d56…e09ebacked Under | 49c | 264.05$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.05 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41a4…6f49backed Over | 51c | 260.33$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fbd…b8d3backed Under | 50c | 254.28$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.14 | 672 | 48.8%328 W · 344 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4d…0486backed Over | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 76 | 46.1%35 W · 41 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9b…ebe7backed Over | 50c | 202$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Over | 52c | 201.08$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.95 | 688 | 38.5%265 W · 423 L | -26.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 786 | 52.4%412 W · 374 L | +14.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8532…738bbacked Over | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 324 | 50.3%163 W · 161 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa5…fa07backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf429…969ebacked Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 338 | 37.3%126 W · 212 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5016…ada1backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 293 | 52.9%155 W · 138 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 38 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 209.5this page
- 1H Spread: Cavaliers (-1.5)Pistons won
- 1H Spread: Cavaliers (-2.5)Pistons won
- Ausar Thompson: Rebounds O/U 1.5Yes won
- Cade Cunningham: Points O/U 26.5No won
- Donovan Mitchell: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Donovan Mitchell: Points O/U 26.5No won
- Evan Mobley: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Jalen Duren: Points O/U 10.5Yes won
- Jalen Duren: Rebounds O/U 8.5Yes won
- James Harden: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- James Harden: Points O/U 19.5Yes won
- Pistons vs. CavaliersPistons won
- Pistons vs. Cavaliers: 1H MoneylinePistons won
- Pistons vs. Cavaliers: 1H O/U 107.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 201.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 204.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 206.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 207.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 208.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 210.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 211.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 212.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 213.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 215.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 216.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 219.5Under won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-1.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-11.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-14.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-2.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-5.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-6.5)Pistons won
- Tobias Harris: Points O/U 18.5No won
- Tobias Harris: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.