TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Cavaliers (-2.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Pistonsof Cavaliers, Pistons
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$55,143
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$55,580

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $55,143 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 94 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x39d3…9ef0backed Pistons44c12,863$5,660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,203.2831644.6%141 W · 175 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Cavaliers49c8,148$4,014 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,014.0955251.3%283 W · 269 L+17.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Cavaliers52c6,741$3,503 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,503.0369848.6%339 W · 359 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Pistons61c3,813$2,316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,497.282,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Cavaliers38c3,009$1,145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,145.278,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Cavaliers55c2,713$1,495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,495.2664948.2%313 W · 336 L-3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf0de…8048backed Cavaliers57c2,141$1,221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,220.65240.4%21 W · 31 L-8.6wins-0.17per pick57cpaid-28.5%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x5f08…5afbbacked Pistons43c1,904$819 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,08516743.7%73 W · 94 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x476d…0c42backed Pistons45c1,672$744 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$927.878848.9%43 W · 45 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6804…29e2backed Pistons63c1,597$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$597.1336051.7%186 W · 174 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6303…9556backed Cavaliers57c1,404$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80018853.2%100 W · 88 L-9.9wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-11.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4946…4004backed Cavaliers56c1,330$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75021957.1%125 W · 94 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Cavaliers31c1,328$414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$413.511,34129.9%401 W · 940 L-53.8wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6815…9edbbacked Pistons59c1,271$748 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$523.520946.9%98 W · 111 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93ac…2761backed Pistons62c1,209$748 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$460.7752861.9%327 W · 201 L+32.3wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Pistons66c1,129$742 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$386.930551.5%157 W · 148 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4259…77c1backed Pistons59c1,011$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$411.0346959.1%277 W · 192 L+28.6wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+11.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Cavaliers55c945.27$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$519.96,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0eb7…1f17backed Cavaliers57c882.67$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50042348%203 W · 220 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-15%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Cavaliers57c790.75$451 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$450.734,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeddf…a953backed Cavaliers45c701.71$316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$315.7736143.5%157 W · 204 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Cavaliers40c630.46$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.7953842%226 W · 312 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Pistons59c572.38$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.171,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf9c…3648backed Pistons59c505.02$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.1825150.6%127 W · 124 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Cavaliers56c500$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2804,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Cavaliers57c500$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28576653.5%410 W · 356 L+65.5wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+15.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Cavaliers30c478.4$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.5242842.5%182 W · 246 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Pistons62c472$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.31,04851.7%542 W · 506 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Cavaliers56c419.91$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.1562051.1%317 W · 303 L+14.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe2df…ca29backed Cavaliers56c390.91$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.9117247.7%82 W · 90 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Pistons43c319.88$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.3352150.9%265 W · 256 L+18.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Cavaliers43c300$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1301,75240.6%712 W · 1,040 L-3.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Pistons50c294$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.0289850.9%457 W · 441 L+19.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Pistons47c289.61$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.191,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Pistons58c287.93$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.931,19448.8%583 W · 611 L-22.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2de8…1121backed Cavaliers57c263.16$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15090957.6%524 W · 385 L-1.9wins0.00per pick58cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6c16…66cebacked Pistons63c225.04$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.8221953.4%117 W · 102 L+0.8wins0.00per pick53cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed Cavaliers56c200.2$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.111,32249.9%660 W · 662 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Cavaliers57c200$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11425352.6%133 W · 120 L+7.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc7f3…73e6backed Cavaliers15c200$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305016%8 W · 42 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick21cpaid-39%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x12b4…a662backed Pistons62c185.32$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.2659255.4%328 W · 264 L+23.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb79f…88e8backed Cavaliers57c175.44$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003148.4%15 W · 16 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d82…5681backed Cavaliers57c169.58$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.66850%4 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+14%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Cavaliers41c165.53$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.752,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8b02…f3d9backed Cavaliers33c163$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.286839.7%27 W · 41 L-3.7wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc978…706bbacked Cavaliers52c150.94$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.231953%169 W · 150 L+11.5wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Cavaliers35c135$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.7930842.9%132 W · 176 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f56…348abacked Cavaliers35c125.26$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.683756.8%21 W · 16 L+5.1wins+0.14per pick43cpaid+14.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Pistons43c115.48$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.821,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb9b4…3824backed Cavaliers57c105.26$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6015149.7%75 W · 76 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x13f9…7368backed Pistons45c104.91$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.73447.1%16 W · 18 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-8.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked Pistons47c100$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5317052.4%89 W · 81 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Pistons63c94.04$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.9660250.5%304 W · 298 L+14.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfc4b…c865backed Pistons44c86.36$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.368350.6%42 W · 41 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Pistons60c86.2$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.4889048.8%434 W · 456 L-1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e1c…a9a5backed Cavaliers36c82.44$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.444344.2%19 W · 24 L-2.8wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-15.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb07e…0df5backed Cavaliers57c78$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.4610941.3%45 W · 64 L-5.7wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-10.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Pistons43c74.98$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.7466143.4%287 W · 374 L-32.6wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd424…bf7bbacked Pistons44c68.18$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.185750.9%29 W · 28 L+3.2wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+14.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe944…650cbacked Pistons68c64.4$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.331735.3%6 W · 11 L-2.0wins-0.12per pick47cpaid-36%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9d77…cf31backed Cavaliers21c62.67$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.164719.1%9 W · 38 L+4.8wins+0.10per pick9cpaid+66.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x4be6…b010backed Pistons44c56.82$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.8215846.8%74 W · 84 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Cavaliers34c54.97$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.5233556.7%190 W · 145 L+26.4wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+12.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1496…e155backed Pistons62c53.39$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.136369.8%44 W · 19 L+9.1wins+0.14per pick55cpaid+26.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xc392…595dbacked Cavaliers56c53.07$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.7240548.4%196 W · 209 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3048…057fbacked Cavaliers50c50.36$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2511850.8%60 W · 58 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x58e4…a515backed Cavaliers40c50$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207153.5%38 W · 33 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Pistons43c50$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.518653.2%99 W · 87 L+9.5wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+16.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Pistons44c49$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.4439552.2%206 W · 189 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2bcf…c678backed Pistons60c48.87$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.5510761.7%66 W · 41 L+8.7wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x146d…f09abacked Pistons62c48.53$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.582161.9%13 W · 8 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Pistons56c46$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.3193148.4%451 W · 480 L+34.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa820…2dcebacked Pistons44c45.45$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.458544.7%38 W · 47 L-3.9wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5635…c508backed Pistons44c45.4$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.4250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+13.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3563…a0a2backed Pistons67c44.35$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.4910152.5%53 W · 48 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b44…6e8dbacked Pistons69c43.48$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.487561.3%46 W · 29 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick64cpaid-0.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Cavaliers53c42.58$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.5725554.5%139 W · 116 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x41d8…7233backed Cavaliers57c42.51$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.236344.4%28 W · 35 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-15.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb66c…a0f5backed Pistons44c42.05$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.558247.6%39 W · 43 L-4.8wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Pistons64c36$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.8245251.1%231 W · 221 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee11…19a9backed Cavaliers57c35.21$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.077949.4%39 W · 40 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf129…1edcbacked Cavaliers57c35.09$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202161.9%13 W · 8 L+1.8wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7f1c…390dbacked Pistons44c34.59$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.372040%8 W · 12 L-1.5wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-25.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8b0b…12ffbacked Cavaliers50c32.82$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.418852.3%46 W · 42 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3704…5487backed Cavaliers57c32.4$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.4710847.2%51 W · 57 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5cb4…4576backed Pistons43c30.38$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.3220240.1%81 W · 121 L-12.4wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-18.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xde25…c0a5backed Pistons44c28.82$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.144639.1%18 W · 28 L-5.6wins-0.12per pick51cpaid-28.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xcf07…4ec9backed Cavaliers55c27.13$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.9210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6a7…e5d4backed Pistons63c25.42$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.4318853.7%101 W · 87 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdda1…7b5ebacked Pistons63c24.58$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.045572.7%40 W · 15 L+9.2wins+0.17per pick56cpaid+28.2%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Cavaliers56c24.02$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.451,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaf58…2bf4backed Cavaliers54c20.4$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.9319445.9%89 W · 105 L-6.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc47d…feeebacked Cavaliers50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103537.1%13 W · 22 L-4.8wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-28.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x059d…10e3backed Pistons53c18.87$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.878037.5%30 W · 50 L-10.0wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-27.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 38 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.