TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc47d…feee

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
93
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: MLB, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 54 out of 100; worst NBA at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT3537.1%13 W · 22 L-4.8wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-28.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
NBA — the 35 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Spurs (-4.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.5
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.9
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+68.5%+$12.2
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.9
Spread: Cavaliers (-2.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Spread: Pistons (-4.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+90.5%+$9.5
Spread: Grizzlies (-1.5)backed Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+88.7%+$9.4
Pacers vs. Wizardsbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Spread: Spurs (-8.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$10.5
Spread: Suns (-2.5)backed Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+92.3%+$9.6
Pelicans vs. Hornetsbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Spread: Hawks (-4.5)backed Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$14.4
Pacers vs. Hawksbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$10.5
Celtics vs. Pistonsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$13.5
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+81.8%+$13.5
Celtics vs. Pistons: O/U 224.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$14.1
Spread: Suns (-9.5)backed Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+96.1%+$14.7
Spread: 76ers (-7.5)backed Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$15.9
Spread: Lakers (-4.5)backed Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+85.2%+$23
Hornets vs. Lakersbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+143.9%+$35.4
Spread: Pistons (-7.5)backed Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+96.1%+$49
Spread: Nuggets (-2.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+100%+$10
Nuggets vs. Pelicansbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+76.5%+$26
Warriors vs. Clippersbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$11.4
Spread: Raptors (-3.5)backed Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Showing 25 of 35 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2026, EDT1266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+23.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
MLB — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Diego Padresbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+97.4%+$14.8
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.2
Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.19
Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$9.8
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$8.2
Los Angeles Angels vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+65.7%+$11.9
Houston Astros vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$7.8
Cleveland Guardians vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$9.6
New York Mets vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 10.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.8
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+117.4%+$58.7
Dodgers vs. Blue Jaysbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+75.4%+$37.72
All 12 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 23, 2025, EST1154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
College Football — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Fresno State (-2.5)backed Fresno State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Spread: Missouri (-6.5)backed Missouri · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+78.6%+$11.79
Spread: Old Dominion (-10.5)backed Troy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Troy vs. Old Dominion: O/U 52.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Ohio vs. Western Michiganbacked Western Michigan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST+96.1%+$19.22
O/U 57.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Oregon vs. Iowa: O/U 40.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+104.1%+$20.82
Spread: Louisiana Tech (-5.5)backed Delaware Blue Hens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+96.1%+$19.22
Spread: Indiana (-14.5)backed Penn State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+76.3%+$38.16
Spread: Memphis (-3.5)backed Tulane · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+81.8%+$40.91
Spread: USC (-14.5)backed Northwestern · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$50
All 11 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.29per pick46cpaid-73.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Premier League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 21, 2026, EST520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.31per pick51cpaid-60.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+44.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+37.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick54cpaid-41.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-45.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Broncos (-1.5)backed Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$10.2
Spread: Eagles (-2.5)backed Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Eagles vs. Packersbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+64.3%+$19.29
All 3 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Dec 31, 2025, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick38cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will KRC Genk win on 2026-02-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$11.1
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-02-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+163.2%+$24.8
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 9, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+19%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SS Lazio win on 2026-03-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$17.4
Will Udinese Calcio vs. AS Roma end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$10.8
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 8, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 8, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick52cpaid+94.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-05-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+94.2%+$9.7
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.