NBA · resolved market
Spread: Pistons (-7.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc75812ef316c31bf3b313ced4865ea5ed4df80a1c6c72c8460ee00bf22f23317
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sunsof Pistons, Suns
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $600,879
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $603,484
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $600,879 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 128 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Pistons | 49c | 358,738$175,782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175,781.63 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Suns | 51c | 344,480$175,685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168,795.7 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Suns | 51c | 69,700$35,547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,153 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Pistons | 49c | 44,444$21,778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,777.55 | 478 | 48.1%230 W · 248 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Pistons | 50c | 32,503$16,167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,166.7 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Suns | 50c | 30,000$15,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,000 | 596 | 53.4%318 W · 278 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Suns | 51c | 30,000$15,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,699.96 | 513 | 50.1%257 W · 256 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Pistons | 48c | 28,810$13,842 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,842.18 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Pistons | 48c | 24,624$11,765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,765.31 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Pistons | 49c | 18,888$9,322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,321.77 | 375 | 57.6%216 W · 159 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Suns | 50c | 11,307$5,654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,653.52 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5227…f9bdbacked Suns | 55c | 10,574$5,830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,743.87 | 102 | 52.9%54 W · 48 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Pistons | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Suns | 51c | 8,070$4,115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,954.22 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe948…ff23backed Suns | 52c | 8,000$4,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,880 | 172 | 50%86 W · 86 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Pistons | 49c | 5,761$2,823 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,822.71 | 593 | 47%279 W · 314 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Suns | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,450 | 773 | 48.5%375 W · 398 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Pistons | 50c | 4,999$2,508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,508.43 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc35…62debacked Suns | 52c | 4,807$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,307.46 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Pistons | 48c | 3,466$1,664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,663.55 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5752…b57cbacked Suns | 53c | 3,277$1,737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,540.19 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e50…8b05backed Suns | 53c | 3,071$1,628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,443.37 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Suns | 51c | 2,955$1,507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,448.07 | 433 | 48.5%210 W · 223 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Suns | 51c | 2,500$1,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,225 | 851 | 47.5%404 W · 447 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Suns | 51c | 2,500$1,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,225 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…1b96backed Suns | 51c | 2,384$1,216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,168.31 | 240 | 51.3%123 W · 117 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Pistons | 49c | 2,101$1,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,029.46 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Pistons | 44c | 2,033$905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$904.67 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd56d…bd7dbacked Suns | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 86 | 47.7%41 W · 45 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1e0…8913backed Pistons | 49c | 1,929$945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$945 | 59 | 71.2%42 W · 17 L | +5.9wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +17%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Pistons | 45c | 1,618$728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$727.9 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Suns | 51c | 1,500$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$730 | 1,911 | 45.4%868 W · 1,043 L | +22.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Suns | 47c | 1,500$705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$795 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Pistons | 41c | 1,314$544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$543.72 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5661…54b0backed Pistons | 47c | 1,274$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598.78 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -60%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Suns | 56c | 1,227$687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.88 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e24…0097backed Pistons | 47c | 1,192$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560.24 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Pistons | 45c | 1,110$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.51 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa37b…d9f5backed Pistons | 47c | 1,105$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.35 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f7…8355backed Pistons | 47c | 1,018$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.46 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed Suns | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 320 | 51.9%166 W · 154 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bd5…26ccbacked Suns | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 516 | 51%263 W · 253 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Suns | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 807 | 37.7%304 W · 503 L | -33.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27ae…bf54backed Pistons | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 160 | 53.1%85 W · 75 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Suns | 53c | 900$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7f…f024backed Pistons | 47c | 898$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.06 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c4c…d745backed Pistons | 47c | 861$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.67 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Suns | 55c | 700$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.77 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Suns | 51c | 627.45$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.45 | 672 | 52.7%354 W · 318 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb9…3783backed Pistons | 49c | 600$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294 | 641 | 39%250 W · 391 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Pistons | 48c | 567.7$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.69 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Suns | 58c | 529$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.18 | 1,294 | 48.1%623 W · 671 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x236a…1a3ebacked Suns | 52c | 520.37$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.78 | 83 | 41%34 W · 49 L | -5.3wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8da5…25edbacked Suns | 52c | 482.29$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.5 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3766…a0e4backed Suns | 51c | 471.25$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.91 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Pistons | 49c | 467.84$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.97 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2407…7dcabacked Suns | 64c | 415.44$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.33 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Pistons | 49c | 400.19$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.09 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa61f…7993backed Suns | 54c | 399.99$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.99 | 617 | 47.8%295 W · 322 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Suns | 51c | 396.4$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.31 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedc6…314abacked Suns | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.62 | 107 | 44.9%48 W · 59 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Pistons | 44c | 323.33$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.26 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Suns | 55c | 304.25$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.96 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Pistons | 48c | 303.01$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.54 | 689 | 40.2%277 W · 412 L | -54.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xee20…5b37backed Pistons | 18c | 300$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 503 | 47.9%241 W · 262 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a33…2534backed Pistons | 49c | 299.8$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.9 | 100 | 42%42 W · 58 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf87b…180abacked Suns | 52c | 263$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.24 | 165 | 39.4%65 W · 100 L | -11.6wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe025…102fbacked Pistons | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 156 | 49.4%77 W · 79 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed Pistons | 48c | 210$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 221 | 38%84 W · 137 L | -11.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed Pistons | 49c | 204$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.96 | 473 | 49%232 W · 241 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Suns | 65c | 203.1$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.32 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…dd09backed Pistons | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 283 | 48.8%138 W · 145 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…5685backed Suns | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 58 | 36.2%21 W · 37 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13ed…91dabacked Pistons | 49c | 199.51$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82ed…a870backed Suns | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 56 | 41.1%23 W · 33 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4243…35d1backed Pistons | 49c | 176.78$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.62 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.8wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Pistons | 26c | 134.62$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.46 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04b4…8d0bbacked Suns | 52c | 109.61$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.94 | 572 | 50%286 W · 286 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70b1…73b2backed Suns | 44c | 105.8$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.25 | 179 | 49.2%88 W · 91 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc6f…5d6fbacked Suns | 52c | 101.35$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.65 | 231 | 44.2%102 W · 129 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc47d…feeebacked Suns | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -4.8wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xac98…7281backed Pistons | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 421 | 43.7%184 W · 237 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3da1…c13bbacked Pistons | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 421 | 46.1%194 W · 227 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef25…c969backed Pistons | 51c | 98.87$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Pistons | 44c | 98.72$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.38 | 1,029 | 47.7%491 W · 538 L | -13.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbec4…637fbacked Pistons | 51c | 98.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.15 | 531 | 49.3%262 W · 269 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65b6…2108backed Suns | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 358 | 44.1%158 W · 200 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9aea…5590backed Suns | 52c | 90.44$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.46 | 180 | 51.1%92 W · 88 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…91bbbacked Suns | 50c | 88$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 354 | 44.6%158 W · 196 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Pistons | 50c | 87.12$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.56 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d85…2560backed Suns | 52c | 85.23$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.16 | 244 | 54.1%132 W · 112 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81a4…da1fbacked Suns | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 114 | 43%49 W · 65 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8490…ecfabacked Suns | 52c | 74.33$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.68 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x243c…9ae0backed Pistons | 51c | 71.76$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.6 | 383 | 47%180 W · 203 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6238…0523backed Pistons | 50c | 64.61$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.3 | 158 | 49.4%78 W · 80 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x756d…04a9backed Suns | 57c | 57.89$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.89 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9277…2aedbacked Suns | 49c | 55.1$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.1 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27db…7bc9backed Suns | 52c | 55$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.27per pick | 57cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d58…8accbacked Suns | 44c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 358 | 51.7%185 W · 173 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0c7…5861backed Suns | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.02 | 516 | 51.2%264 W · 252 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Pistons (-7.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Pistons (-4.5)Suns won
- Cade Cunningham: Points Over 26.5No won
- Devin Booker: Assists Over 6.5No won
- Devin Booker: Points Over 24.5No won
- Spread: Pistons (-5.5)Suns won
- Spread: Pistons (-6.5)Suns won
- Suns vs. PistonsPistons won
- Suns vs. Pistons: 1H MoneylineSuns won
- Suns vs. Pistons: 1H O/U 112.5Over won
- Suns vs. Pistons: 1H O/U 113.5Over won
- Suns vs. Pistons: 1H O/U 114.5Over won
- Suns vs. Pistons: 1H O/U 115.5Over won
- Suns vs. Pistons: O/U 219.5Under won
- Suns vs. Pistons: O/U 221.5Under won
- Suns vs. Pistons: O/U 222.5Under won
- Suns vs. Pistons: O/U 223.5Under won
- Suns vs. Pistons: O/U 224.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.