TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Suns vs. Pistons: O/U 223.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$39,363
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$39,467

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,363 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 97 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x56be…57eebacked Over51c4,885$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,50021143.1%91 W · 120 L-6.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-11.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf993…2b59backed Under52c4,262$2,216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,045.76580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.30per pick50cpaid+61.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x03af…6298backed Under52c4,068$2,115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,952.64560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+24.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Under54c3,492$1,894 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,598.242,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x15df…ff29backed Under52c3,265$1,698 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,567.2560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+22.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6605…88a3backed Under52c3,075$1,599 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,476683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.33per pick50cpaid+68.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x10d4…d953backed Under54c3,000$1,620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,38016550.9%84 W · 81 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid+4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under48c2,870$1,378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,492.424,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Over49c2,369$1,158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,157.533,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over47c2,349$1,104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,104.089,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x07d3…f5dcbacked Over48c1,995$958 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$957.6580%4 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.31per pick49cpaid+63.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfe61…34b8backed Over48c1,914$919 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$918.72560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+26%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under51c1,727$881 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$846.353,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa122…2b8abacked Over48c1,275$612 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$612540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-18.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa386…4785backed Over48c1,268$609 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$608.64520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.29per pick49cpaid-57.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Under52c1,238$644 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$594.3469149.1%339 W · 352 L-8.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x18e4…d9e4backed Over48c1,207$579 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$579.36540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-20.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Over49c1,174$575 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$575.092,36148.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L-41.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaee0…3045backed Over48c1,169$561 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$561.12540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-18.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x81a5…10c3backed Over48c1,109$532 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$532.32520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.30per pick50cpaid-59.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over48c1,108$532 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$531.846,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa704…1fbbbacked Over48c1,080$518 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$518.4540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-19.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8538…e020backed Over48c1,059$508 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508.32450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Under49c969.76$477 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$492.442,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b07…9d4cbacked Over48c881$423 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$422.88683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.1wins+0.34per pick49cpaid+69%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x3192…f9e3backed Over48c866$416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$415.68520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.29per pick49cpaid-56.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa09f…d026backed Over48c847$407 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406.56520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.30per pick50cpaid-59.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe962…663abacked Over50c800$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40084342.9%362 W · 481 L-39.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6a40…c93fbacked Under49c600$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3062142.9%9 W · 12 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-13.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed Under49c600$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30621858.7%128 W · 90 L+17.1wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+17.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over46c599.99$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2794,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Over50c591$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.51,29448.1%623 W · 671 L+0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed Over45c500$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2251,91145.4%868 W · 1,043 L+22.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7669…f58cbacked Under53c436.17$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20552052.3%272 W · 248 L+31.4wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+19%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x50b0…b1efbacked Under58c344.82$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.821315.4%2 W · 11 L-2.1wins-0.16per pick31cpaid-69.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc60f…9ea3backed Over56c335.37$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.244872.9%35 W · 13 L+8.8wins+0.18per pick54cpaid+102.5%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x8f3e…e4a3backed Under53c307.54$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.1541052%213 W · 197 L-1.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf87b…180abacked Over45c300$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13516539.4%65 W · 100 L-11.6wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-15%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under53c293.35$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.748,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf332…3c89backed Under50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10065649.2%323 W · 333 L+9.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc6c…fe22backed Under60c167$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.87454.1%40 W · 34 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc091…3d42backed Over52c161$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.7254351.6%280 W · 263 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee20…5b37backed Under35c150$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.550347.9%241 W · 262 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Over39c127.87$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.653,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xef2e…8d89backed Over48c125$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6033442.8%143 W · 191 L-17.9wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-13%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc210…39fcbacked Over45c111$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.9523153.2%123 W · 108 L+6.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Over45c100$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451,47551.3%756 W · 719 L+35.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe47b…1b4bbacked Over40c100$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4035739.8%142 W · 215 L-25.0wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-18.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Under49c84$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.8471747.6%341 W · 376 L+18.7wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x47e5…9b73backed Under53c81.51$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.3142551.3%218 W · 207 L-7.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd44d…389dbacked Under54c80$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.841354%223 W · 190 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6460…84efbacked Over47c74.1$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.984736.2%17 W · 30 L-6.4wins-0.14per pick50cpaid-32.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Under49c66$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.6634053.8%183 W · 157 L+16.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+10.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed Under49c66$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.6634254.1%185 W · 157 L+16.5wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x785f…e3d9backed Over50c65.37$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.691,02947.7%491 W · 538 L-13.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Over45c60$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2773445.5%334 W · 400 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed Under49c60$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.633147.4%157 W · 174 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x329c…18dfbacked Under49c60$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.66453.1%34 W · 30 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked Under49c58.86$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.9526034.6%90 W · 170 L-20.6wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-22.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x725f…cea7backed Over47c58.29$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.49642.7%41 W · 55 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under60c56.22$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.492,60250.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L-20.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed Over45c50$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.531551.1%161 W · 154 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed Under49c44$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.4436651.4%188 W · 178 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7cc7…265ebacked Over57c43.86$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+14.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d61…d43cbacked Under49c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.428852.8%152 W · 136 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed Over45c40$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1823348.9%114 W · 119 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x46af…1f6abacked Over45c40$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187142.3%30 W · 41 L-6.1wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-17.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7cb8…7529backed Under50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202544%11 W · 14 L-2.4wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-18.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Under49c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.447948%230 W · 249 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa7b5…798cbacked Over45c40$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184139%16 W · 25 L-4.2wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-24.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa97e…7753backed Under49c38$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.3820456.4%115 W · 89 L+10.6wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed Under49c36$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.3645251.1%231 W · 221 L+20.2wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+12.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd2dc…b3c5backed Under49c36$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.3615051.3%77 W · 73 L+0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4865…904dbacked Under58c34.4$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.4524363.8%155 W · 88 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick66cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7398…f4b6backed Over45c34$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.323753.6%127 W · 110 L+8.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f1f…f56bbacked Over45c34$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.327350.9%139 W · 134 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf79e…9a84backed Over45c34$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.322048.6%107 W · 113 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x864c…735fbacked Over45c34$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.332649.7%162 W · 164 L-1.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0fad…aa0fbacked Over45c34$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.323850.8%121 W · 117 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa48d…b023backed Over45c34$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.327251.1%139 W · 133 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa620…ca56backed Over45c34$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.331852.2%166 W · 152 L+7.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over38c32.27$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.31,78653.2%950 W · 836 L+52.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa800…cc71backed Over45c30$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.525250.8%128 W · 124 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfc8f…3782backed Over41c30$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.339736.3%144 W · 253 L-27.0wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-23.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0ee5…96c2backed Under49c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.327353.8%147 W · 126 L+11.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1db3…ada1backed Over45c30$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.568940.2%277 W · 412 L-54.9wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-17.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc101…98edbacked Under65c30$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.54148.8%20 W · 21 L-5.7wins-0.14per pick63cpaid-23.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Over47c28.52$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.42,51249.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Over49c25.78$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.632,20846.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed Over45c25.29$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.3827150.2%136 W · 135 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7081…2d9cbacked Over75c24.39$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.4110857.4%62 W · 46 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x31ce…88cdbacked Under49c24$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.2424552.7%129 W · 116 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84fc…9db4backed Under49c24$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.2414648.6%71 W · 75 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7cae…bf8abacked Over45c24$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.815352.3%80 W · 73 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdcf7…bcbebacked Under49c24$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.2415854.4%86 W · 72 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b82…2d2abacked Under49c24$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.2415953.5%85 W · 74 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd2a2…004abacked Over45c24$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.826648.5%129 W · 137 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.