NBA · resolved market
Spread: Pistons (-6.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6cba182071881b4d3696d38f4bbbb274bcfbd3f22493f1def4633e5d98e7110a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sunsof Pistons, Suns
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $788,079
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $807,578
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $788,079 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 311 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Suns | 47c | 421,368$198,482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222,885.95 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Pistons | 53c | 168,948$90,037 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90,036.82 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Pistons | 53c | 161,069$85,366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85,366.43 | 478 | 48.1%230 W · 248 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Pistons | 52c | 48,605$25,085 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,084.97 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Pistons | 52c | 29,803$15,447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,447.08 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf668…5c69backed Pistons | 48c | 20,408$9,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,709.71 | 363 | 59.8%217 W · 146 L | +23.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Pistons | 53c | 20,348$10,784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,784.5 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb784…61d0backed Suns | 47c | 20,275$9,529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,745.75 | 293 | 51.5%151 W · 142 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Pistons | 53c | 19,988$10,605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,604.53 | 747 | 48.5%362 W · 385 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7a5…7c26backed Suns | 47c | 19,000$8,930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,070.15 | 116 | 53.4%62 W · 54 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Pistons | 51c | 16,564$8,491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,490.7 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Pistons | 52c | 14,187$7,405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,404.74 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Pistons | 53c | 13,091$6,944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,944.07 | 375 | 57.6%216 W · 159 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Suns | 47c | 11,970$5,606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,363.76 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Suns | 55c | 10,711$5,890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,820.25 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5227…f9bdbacked Suns | 50c | 10,237$5,136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,100.48 | 102 | 52.9%54 W · 48 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Pistons | 52c | 10,162$5,304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,303.65 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Suns | 47c | 10,000$4,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,300 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Pistons | 50c | 9,591$4,805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,805.2 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Suns | 54c | 9,574$5,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,434.11 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Pistons | 45c | 9,130$4,146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,146.48 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Suns | 51c | 8,761$4,453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,307.3 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb177…1914backed Pistons | 53c | 8,389$4,446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,446 | 248 | 47.6%118 W · 130 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Suns | 47c | 7,777$3,655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,121.81 | 245 | 54.7%134 W · 111 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x011c…31dfbacked Pistons | 53c | 7,547$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 334 | 47.9%160 W · 174 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Pistons | 49c | 6,168$3,022 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,022.17 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39fb…fb9dbacked Suns | 48c | 6,108$2,934 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,174.07 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -58.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a41…9a7dbacked Suns | 48c | 6,041$2,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,141.32 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b32…164abacked Suns | 48c | 6,020$2,890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,129.99 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb5…1754backed Suns | 48c | 5,886$2,825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,060.72 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fb4…9ca2backed Suns | 48c | 5,654$2,714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,940.08 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ac…5759backed Suns | 48c | 5,523$2,651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,871.91 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Pistons | 47c | 5,275$2,479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,479.25 | 477 | 51.8%247 W · 230 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed Suns | 48c | 5,000$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,600 | 354 | 50.8%180 W · 174 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Suns | 47c | 5,000$2,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,649.99 | 773 | 48.5%375 W · 398 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc617…a854backed Pistons | 53c | 4,614$2,445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,445.26 | 426 | 48.1%205 W · 221 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb48f…d015backed Pistons | 53c | 4,396$2,330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,330 | 124 | 54.8%68 W · 56 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Pistons | 51c | 3,967$2,024 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,023.72 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Pistons | 51c | 3,864$1,972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,971.59 | 1,163 | 52.8%614 W · 549 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Suns | 52c | 3,799$1,969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,829.67 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47a6…69e0backed Pistons | 46c | 3,478$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 387 | 50.4%195 W · 192 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Suns | 48c | 3,405$1,635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,770.72 | 657 | 50.1%329 W · 328 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Suns | 47c | 3,198$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,698.06 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Pistons | 47c | 3,006$1,425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,425.45 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Suns | 47c | 3,000$1,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,590 | 433 | 48.5%210 W · 223 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x936f…d171backed Suns | 48c | 3,000$1,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,550 | 117 | 53%62 W · 55 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa45d…b413backed Pistons | 53c | 2,800$1,484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,484 | 116 | 53.4%62 W · 54 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Suns | 57c | 2,768$1,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,187.95 | 830 | 39.4%327 W · 503 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Suns | 47c | 2,500$1,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,325 | 851 | 47.5%404 W · 447 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Suns | 47c | 2,500$1,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,325 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b8d…854cbacked Suns | 71c | 2,196$1,553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$642.66 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed Suns | 47c | 2,177$1,023 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,153.68 | 346 | 54%187 W · 159 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Pistons | 53c | 2,130$1,129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,128.9 | 303 | 51.8%157 W · 146 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04a7…4925backed Pistons | 52c | 2,123$1,104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,103.96 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3e6…b7c2backed Pistons | 52c | 2,122$1,103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,103.44 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e4…397fbacked Pistons | 52c | 2,122$1,103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,103.44 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -60%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xccbd…0855backed Pistons | 52c | 2,020$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050.4 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb86d…7727backed Pistons | 52c | 2,018$1,049 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,049.36 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6be2…a92fbacked Pistons | 52c | 2,015$1,048 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,047.8 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x48fc…2262backed Pistons | 52c | 2,015$1,048 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,047.8 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +59.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3fd…da4bbacked Pistons | 52c | 2,012$1,046 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,046.24 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6114…7e24backed Pistons | 52c | 2,011$1,046 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,045.72 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.6wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Suns | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940 | 795 | 49.7%395 W · 400 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e4…bf9dbacked Suns | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5952…f3c8backed Pistons | 52c | 1,999$1,039 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,039.48 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x79f5…10d4backed Pistons | 52c | 1,945$1,011 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,011.4 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf14d…71a6backed Pistons | 52c | 1,942$1,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,009.84 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea61…de67backed Pistons | 52c | 1,939$1,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,008.28 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -60%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdeee…bc77backed Pistons | 52c | 1,888$982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$981.76 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -60%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfbba…f469backed Pistons | 52c | 1,878$977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$976.56 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -60.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf73d…80e7backed Suns | 54c | 1,847$997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$849.72 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Suns | 49c | 1,800$882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$918 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42f2…065bbacked Pistons | 52c | 1,758$914 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$914.16 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea5e…48afbacked Pistons | 52c | 1,686$877 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$876.72 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Pistons | 54c | 1,665$899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$899.1 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Pistons | 53c | 1,657$878 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$878.2 | 715 | 47.7%341 W · 374 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6873…a17ebacked Pistons | 52c | 1,600$832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$832 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…4bf7backed Suns | 48c | 1,596$766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$829.92 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda52…ff26backed Suns | 48c | 1,584$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$823.68 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0070…7495backed Pistons | 52c | 1,555$809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$808.6 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.33per pick | 53cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x010f…b12abacked Suns | 48c | 1,547$743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$804.44 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9e6…b13fbacked Pistons | 52c | 1,544$803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$802.88 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +56.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0b…04cfbacked Pistons | 52c | 1,543$802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$802.36 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab4e…3ebabacked Pistons | 52c | 1,542$802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$801.84 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe500…7800backed Suns | 48c | 1,537$738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$799.24 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7bf…1e64backed Pistons | 52c | 1,536$799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$798.72 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.31per pick | 49cpaid | +65.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x160d…739ebacked Suns | 48c | 1,536$737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$798.72 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8049…d769backed Suns | 48c | 1,536$737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$798.72 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14fa…7cbabacked Pistons | 52c | 1,536$799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$798.72 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +25%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e36…69f5backed Suns | 48c | 1,524$732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$792.48 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3781…95a5backed Pistons | 52c | 1,523$792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$791.96 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Suns | 47c | 1,500$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$790 | 1,911 | 45.4%868 W · 1,043 L | +22.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4874…7123backed Pistons | 44c | 1,484$653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$652.93 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3d…4ab1backed Suns | 56c | 1,484$831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$652.93 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -3.4wins | -0.26per pick | 50cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6a…86bbbacked Pistons | 40c | 1,456$589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$589.23 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5993…33a2backed Suns | 71c | 1,414$1,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.58 | 380 | 46.6%177 W · 203 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ee…7166backed Pistons | 52c | 1,401$729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$728.52 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe24d…38c2backed Pistons | 52c | 1,386$721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720.72 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6198…f3c3backed Pistons | 52c | 1,383$719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$719.16 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1be0…60a2backed Suns | 48c | 1,364$655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$709.28 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.32per pick | 48cpaid | +66%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Pistons (-6.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Pistons (-4.5)Suns won
- Cade Cunningham: Points Over 26.5No won
- Devin Booker: Assists Over 6.5No won
- Devin Booker: Points Over 24.5No won
- Spread: Pistons (-5.5)Suns won
- Spread: Pistons (-7.5)Suns won
- Suns vs. PistonsPistons won
- Suns vs. Pistons: 1H MoneylineSuns won
- Suns vs. Pistons: 1H O/U 112.5Over won
- Suns vs. Pistons: 1H O/U 113.5Over won
- Suns vs. Pistons: 1H O/U 114.5Over won
- Suns vs. Pistons: 1H O/U 115.5Over won
- Suns vs. Pistons: O/U 219.5Under won
- Suns vs. Pistons: O/U 221.5Under won
- Suns vs. Pistons: O/U 222.5Under won
- Suns vs. Pistons: O/U 223.5Under won
- Suns vs. Pistons: O/U 224.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.