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NBA · resolved market

Suns vs. Pistons: O/U 222.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$70,701
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$70,567

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $70,701 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 110 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x66cc…7135backed Over52c12,232$6,343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,342.5821250.5%107 W · 105 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Under53c11,819$6,216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,602.882,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3db0…4f0dbacked Under50c4,304$2,152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,152540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-17.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7eed…0558backed Under50c4,291$2,146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,145.5666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+37.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Under49c4,250$2,090 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,16069149.1%339 W · 352 L-8.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b74…97f1backed Under50c4,119$2,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,059.5475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+51.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8dc2…b6bbbacked Under50c4,096$2,048 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,048650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa37b…d9f5backed Under50c3,700$1,850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,850450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Under48c3,201$1,539 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,661.712,51249.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e24…0097backed Over50c2,900$1,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,450520%1 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.27per pick47cpaid-57.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe0f7…8355backed Under50c2,600$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,300944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-12.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under53c2,260$1,192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,068.156,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5752…b57cbacked Over50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-19.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c57…1103backed Over50c1,951$976 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$975.5742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-11.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd251…e9aabacked Over50c1,931$966 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$965.5540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-18.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7688…1438backed Over50c1,908$954 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$954450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xac74…f4dcbacked Over50c1,845$923 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$922.5560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+24%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9a7f…f024backed Over50c1,800$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$900560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+19.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e50…8b05backed Under50c1,800$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$900560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+20.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb2c8…bb09backed Over50c1,623$812 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$811.5450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6eb8…d131backed Over50c1,523$762 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$761.5540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-16.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf79a…56c2backed Over44c1,512$662 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$661.8923250.4%117 W · 115 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed Over46c1,500$695 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6951,91145.4%868 W · 1,043 L+22.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c4c…d745backed Over50c1,500$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$750540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-20.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over45c1,425$636 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$636.48,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8947…ac5abacked Under50c1,423$712 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$711.5540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-18.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe31f…935abacked Under50c1,323$662 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$661.5540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-18.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Over51c1,321$668 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$667.583,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa265…f0e3backed Over50c1,264$632 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63250%0 W · 5 L-2.4wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2692…8d41backed Over50c1,252$626 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$626633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-31.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb217…97ebbacked Under50c1,223$612 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$611.5757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+13.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4081…d9fbbacked Over50c1,187$594 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$593.550%0 W · 5 L-2.4wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x02dc…b80dbacked Over50c1,179$590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$589.550%0 W · 5 L-2.6wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x0c5f…43c1backed Under50c1,123$562 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$561.5540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-18.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd90a…2241backed Over50c1,101$551 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$550.5785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.5wins+0.36per pick50cpaid+73.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xffae…afa3backed Over50c1,096$548 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$548450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e1e…37ebbacked Over50c1,072$536 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$536540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-13%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c8a…6ce8backed Over50c1,024$512 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$512560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+21.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa5c3…f08ebacked Over50c1,023$512 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$511.5650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under49c948.62$465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$484.044,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd16d…914fbacked Over50c923$462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$461.5540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-16.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Under51c853$432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$420.891,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Under47c813.84$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$433.832,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Over54c800$432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43267252.7%354 W · 318 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over45c766.66$345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3455,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3eee…e8b6backed Over52c751.42$391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$390.7434654%187 W · 159 L+13.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under49c689.08$339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$350.039,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Over53c622.17$332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331.543,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Under48c613$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$318.761,29448.1%623 W · 671 L+0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a40…c93fbacked Over47c600$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2822142.9%9 W · 12 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-13.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over49c600$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2914,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Over51c500$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2552,79650.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L+27.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa7c9…0f2bbacked Over51c500$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25513543.7%59 W · 76 L+6.0wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+14.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf87b…180abacked Over48c294$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.1216539.4%65 W · 100 L-11.6wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-15%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1db3…ada1backed Over43c237.98$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.0768940.2%277 W · 412 L-54.9wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-17.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed Over47c210.26$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.8221858.7%128 W · 90 L+17.1wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+17.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Over48c200$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$961,47551.3%756 W · 719 L+35.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x15d5…ef7bbacked Over45c200$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$901,19838.8%465 W · 733 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3873…c068backed Over54c200$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10814537.9%55 W · 90 L-7.5wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-11.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Over47c160$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.234451.5%177 W · 167 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd77d…b01cbacked Under57c131.58$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.5826956.1%151 W · 118 L+8.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc210…39fcbacked Over48c111$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.2823153.2%123 W · 108 L+6.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked Under49c100$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5124946.6%116 W · 133 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Under49c100$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$512,90238.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L-51.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5661…54b0backed Under50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50520%1 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.29per pick49cpaid-60%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Over49c95$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.61,69544.7%758 W · 937 L-30.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a64…6769backed Under57c87.72$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.7217353.2%92 W · 81 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Under46c84$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.3671747.6%341 W · 376 L+18.7wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x785f…e3d9backed Over53c76.22$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.611,02947.7%491 W · 538 L-13.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Under46c66$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.6434053.8%183 W · 157 L+16.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+10.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed Over47c66$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.0234254.1%185 W · 157 L+16.5wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9de1…f272backed Under58c60$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.247948.6%233 W · 246 L+14.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Over47c60$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.273445.5%334 W · 400 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed Over47c60$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.233147.4%157 W · 174 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x329c…18dfbacked Over47c60$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.26453.1%34 W · 30 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under58c55.48$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.32,60250.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L-20.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x68c2…259dbacked Under57c55$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.659458.5%55 W · 39 L+4.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+28.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed Under48c50.4$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.2187453.3%466 W · 408 L+19.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed Over47c50$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.531551.1%161 W · 154 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed Over47c44$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.6836651.4%188 W · 178 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ed6…bbabbacked Under57c43.86$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.8632853%174 W · 154 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d61…d43cbacked Over47c40$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.828852.8%152 W · 136 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed Over47c40$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.823348.9%114 W · 119 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x46af…1f6abacked Over47c40$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.87142.3%30 W · 41 L-6.1wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-17.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Over47c40$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.847948%230 W · 249 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa7b5…798cbacked Over47c40$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.84139%16 W · 25 L-4.2wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-24.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa97e…7753backed Over47c38$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.8620456.4%115 W · 89 L+10.6wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6ad8…9bc1backed Over48c36.28$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.418936%32 W · 57 L-7.2wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-24.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed Over47c36$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.9245251.1%231 W · 221 L+20.2wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+12.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd2dc…b3c5backed Over47c36$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.9215051.3%77 W · 73 L+0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4865…904dbacked Under56c34.21$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.0524363.8%155 W · 88 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick66cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7398…f4b6backed Over47c34$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.9823753.6%127 W · 110 L+8.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f1f…f56bbacked Over47c34$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.9827350.9%139 W · 134 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf79e…9a84backed Over47c34$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.9822048.6%107 W · 113 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x864c…735fbacked Over47c34$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.9832649.7%162 W · 164 L-1.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0fad…aa0fbacked Over47c34$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.9823850.8%121 W · 117 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa48d…b023backed Over47c34$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.9827251.1%139 W · 133 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa620…ca56backed Over47c34$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.9831852.2%166 W · 152 L+7.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Under48c32.71$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.851,26445.8%579 W · 685 L-10.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed Over47c32$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.0427150.2%136 W · 135 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.