TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Suns vs. Pistons: O/U 221.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$93,431
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$93,685

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $93,431 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 146 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9315…a744backed Over52c18,000$9,360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,3606767.2%45 W · 22 L+10.7wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+31.4%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xe427…a00abacked Under48c18,000$8,640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,3601050%5 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x6f9d…dc02backed Over52c4,429$2,303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,303.08540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-17.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x76d6…64c6backed Over52c4,393$2,284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,284.36520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.30per pick50cpaid-58.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5661…54b0backed Over53c4,303$2,281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,280.59520%1 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.29per pick49cpaid-60%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2692…8d41backed Over53c4,269$2,263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,262.57633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-31.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa704…1fbbbacked Over53c3,272$1,734 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,734.15540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-19.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x02dc…b80dbacked Over53c3,102$1,644 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,644.0650%0 W · 5 L-2.6wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xe0f7…8355backed Over53c3,087$1,636 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,636.11944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-12.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3192…f9e3backed Over53c3,068$1,626 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,626.04520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.29per pick49cpaid-56.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x04a7…4925backed Under47c3,010$1,415 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,595.3540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-16.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Over56c2,434$1,363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,362.792,51249.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Under49c2,350$1,148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,202.061,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Over52c2,252$1,166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,166.032,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa37b…d9f5backed Under47c1,934$909 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,025.02450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56be…57eebacked Over52c1,923$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00021143.1%91 W · 120 L-6.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-11.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3db0…4f0dbacked Under47c1,871$879 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$991.63540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-17.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under55c1,862$1,023 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$838.846,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8014…5959backed Under48c1,843$885 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$958.36650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed Over49c1,500$740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7401,91145.4%868 W · 1,043 L+22.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x27ae…bf54backed Over56c1,500$841 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$840.7116053.1%85 W · 75 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf14d…71a6backed Over53c1,325$702 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$702.25450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c57…1103backed Under47c1,280$602 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$678.4742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-11.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa386…4785backed Under47c1,268$596 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$672.04520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.29per pick49cpaid-57.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf854…8303backed Under48c1,267$608 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$658.84560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+24.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Under47c1,259$593 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$666.23,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5752…b57cbacked Under47c1,251$588 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$663.03540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-19.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x18e4…d9e4backed Under47c1,207$567 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$639.71540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-20.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5cb7…1eb2backed Under48c1,186$569 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$616.72540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e50…8b05backed Under47c1,176$553 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$623.28560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+20.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e1e…37ebbacked Under47c1,168$549 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$619.04540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-13%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8947…ac5abacked Over53c1,163$616 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$616.39540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-18.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe31f…935abacked Over53c1,157$613 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$613.21540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-18.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb217…97ebbacked Over53c1,153$611 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$611.09757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+13.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x854e…5232backed Over52c1,148$603 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602.72540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-15%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6eb8…d131backed Under47c1,143$537 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$605.79540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-16.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb2c8…bb09backed Under47c1,134$533 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$601.02450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f5f…4747backed Under48c1,127$541 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$586.044100%4 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.51per pick50cpaid+102.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd16d…914fbacked Under47c1,123$528 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$595.19540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-16.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x42f2…065bbacked Over53c1,122$595 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$594.66450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9a7f…f024backed Under47c1,118$525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$592.54560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+19.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd90a…2241backed Under47c1,118$525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$592.54785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.5wins+0.36per pick50cpaid+73.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9643…6942backed Under48c1,100$528 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$572540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa5c3…f08ebacked Under47c1,098$516 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$581.94650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf993…2b59backed Under47c1,080$508 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$572.4580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.30per pick50cpaid+61.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0909…0319backed Under48c1,042$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$541.84650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e24…0097backed Under47c1,032$485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$546.96520%1 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.27per pick47cpaid-57.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8dc2…b6bbbacked Under47c1,030$484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$545.9650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c5f…43c1backed Over53c1,025$543 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$543.25540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-18.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x03af…6298backed Under47c995$468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$527.35560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+24.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8fe1…f8f0backed Under48c935$449 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$486.2540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe61…34b8backed Under47c914$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$484.42560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+26%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xac74…f4dcbacked Under47c904$425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$479.12560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+24%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e69…31d4backed Under48c900$432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$468742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c4c…d745backed Under47c879$413 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$465.87540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-20.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x07d3…f5dcbacked Under47c866$407 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$458.98580%4 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.31per pick49cpaid+63.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfeee…4c5ebacked Over45c855$385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$384.7510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xea69…7f7cbacked Under48c851$408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$442.52580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.30per pick50cpaid+61.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xccbd…0855backed Under47c748$352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$396.44540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-16.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Under44c668.8$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$374.532,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over53c600$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3154,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed Under54c600$324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27621858.7%128 W · 90 L+17.1wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+17.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4e2b…1281backed Over52c579$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301.08540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-17.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over49c540.65$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.369,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4404…02bebacked Over52c516$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268.3250%0 W · 5 L-2.6wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x66cc…7135backed Over54c487$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.9821250.5%107 W · 105 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Over20c474.55$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.9783039.4%327 W · 503 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x64db…325bbacked Under44c454.55$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.551,25948.7%613 W · 646 L+1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Under46c417$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.061,16352.8%614 W · 549 L+22.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Over52c414$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.281,15747.9%554 W · 603 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2bb5…1754backed Over53c400$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-17.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Under41c355.49$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.733,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Under44c343.45$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.332,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Under55c339.87$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.9440243.8%176 W · 226 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0070…7495backed Over53c322$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.66520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.33per pick53cpaid-62.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1db3…ada1backed Over46c316.98$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.5868940.2%277 W · 412 L-54.9wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-17.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under46c315.92$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.434,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe3ac…5759backed Over53c301$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.53560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+20.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x280e…b2a0backed Under55c301$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.451100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3eac…839fbacked Under55c299$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.551100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under44c293.16$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.652,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6114…7e24backed Over53c288$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.6450%0 W · 5 L-2.6wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked Over42c283.13$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.2526034.6%90 W · 170 L-20.6wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-22.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf87b…180abacked Over50c283$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.516539.4%65 W · 100 L-11.6wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-15%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfc25…e5dcbacked Under55c255$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.751100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Under56c250$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11066046.8%309 W · 351 L-16.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed Under44c250$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.563745.8%292 W · 345 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-14.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12f7…0899backed Over45c222.22$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002751.9%14 W · 13 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under48c214.92$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.763,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3fbc…9cf6backed Over49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10036649.5%181 W · 185 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1683…6906backed Under45c200$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11030146.2%139 W · 162 L-0.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8fdd…23d8backed Over53c164.83$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.3610454.8%57 W · 47 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Under54c148.99$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.9888845.7%406 W · 482 L-12.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f3f…cb14backed Over53c143.68$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.151942.1%8 W · 11 L-2.2wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-15.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf9ac…64e1backed Under70c142.86$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.865151%26 W · 25 L-3.3wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-15.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over51c121.3$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.865,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1015…c873backed Over53c110$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.362744.5%279 W · 348 L-12.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x785f…e3d9backed Over50c108.9$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.091,02947.7%491 W · 538 L-13.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3fb9…1591backed Under45c108.29$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.5610553.3%56 W · 49 L+4.8wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x79ac…9c87backed Under65c100$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$353145.2%14 W · 17 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-15.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.