TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x68c2…259d

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
255
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: NHL, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category NHL at 55 out of 100; worst Tennis at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT9458.5%55 W · 39 L+4.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+28.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 94 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Joe Mazzulla win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+2,355.7%+$288.32
Will Mark Daigneault win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.5
Will the Portland Trail Blazers win more than 35.5 regular season games in 2025–26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$125.87
Will the Toronto Raptors win more than 39.5 regular season games in 2025–26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.68
Will the Orlando Magic win more than 51.5 regular season games in 2025–26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+37%+$10.8
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded to the New York Knicks?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+47.1%+$20
Heat vs. Bulls: O/U 240.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+72.4%+$12.6
Lakers vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 228.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$34.2
Lakers vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 222.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$250
Wizards vs. Nuggets: O/U 232.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$30.5
Pelicans vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+69.5%+$22.96
Hornets vs. Lakersbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$895Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+67.7%+$605.34
Hornets vs. Lakers: O/U 231.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+72.4%+$22.17
Hornets vs. Lakers: 1H O/U 114.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+104.1%+$31.62
Bucks vs. Spurs: O/U 227.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+79.5%+$24.8
Celtics vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$31.36
Suns vs. Pistons: O/U 222.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+75.4%+$23.65
Grizzlies vs. Magic: O/U 231.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+78.6%+$24.64
Wizards vs. Clippers: O/U 226.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+100%+$30
Knicks vs. Kings: O/U 232.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+78.6%+$23.76
Nuggets vs. Mavericks: O/U 226.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$30.24
Nets vs. Pelicans: O/U 231.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+96.1%+$28.91
Jazz vs. Bulls: O/U 241.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$30.09
Raptors vs. Pacers: O/U 224.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+72.4%+$21.84
Cavaliers vs. 76ers: O/U 238.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$30.25
Showing 25 of 94 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST3961.5%24 W · 15 L+2.9wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
NHL — the 39 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Kings (-1.5)backed Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+61.3%+$19.76
Ducks vs. Kingsbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$705Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+112.8%+$795
Lightning vs. Bluesbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$32.4
Kraken vs. Bruins: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+81.8%+$26.1
Flyers vs. Penguins: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$31.32
Sharks vs. Capitals: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$31.35
Canadiens vs. Sabres: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$31
Red Wings vs. Bruinsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+78.6%+$22.88
Lightning vs. Penguinsbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+75.4%+$22.36
Lightning vs. Flyersbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+66.7%+$50
Kings vs. Oilersbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$281Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+145.2%+$408.65
Spread: Golden Knights (-1.5)backed Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+100%+$17.5
Blues vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+72.4%+$25.19
Islanders vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$42.9
Ducks vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+34%+$24.86
Spread: Sabres (-1.5)backed Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+86.4%+$45.36
Lightning vs. Flyersbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+69.5%+$12.3
Spread: Penguins (-1.5)backed Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$17.28
Flames vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$17.7
Rangers vs. Bruinsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+81.8%+$14.4
Wild vs. Krakenbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+69.5%+$12.3
Blue Jackets vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+72.4%+$12.6
Devils vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+100%+$17
Flames vs. Bruinsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+78.6%+$14.08
Wild vs. Ducksbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+81.8%+$13.5
Showing 25 of 39 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jan 14, 2026, EST3231.3%10 W · 22 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick26cpaid+62.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Tweets — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from January 12 to January 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+733.3%+$87.99
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from January 12 to January 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from January 12 to January 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$40.1
Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+107%+$18.61
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+1,900%+$190
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$92.4
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$95.88
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from December 19 to December 26, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+222.6%+$69
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from December 19 to December 26, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$14.95
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from December 19 to December 26, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$41
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+74.7%+$42.76
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$38.97
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from December 9 to December 16, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$10.5
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from December 9 to December 16, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$113Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+77.2%+$87.13
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from December 9 to December 16, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$63.5
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$104.36
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$171Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$170.63
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$143Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+320.2%+$457.2
Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$91.28
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$69
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$17.19
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$12
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$273Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$273
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$111
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST2839.3%11 W · 17 L-2.5wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-23.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Tennis — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Australian Open Men's: Ethan Quinn vs Tallon Griekspoorbacked Griekspoor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$31.8
Australian Open Men's: Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs Reilly Opelkabacked Opelka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+66.7%+$12.8
Australian Open Men's: Michael Zheng vs Sebastian Kordabacked Korda · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$2,009Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$2,008.5
Adelaide International: Ugo Humbert vs Tomas Machacbacked Machac · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+90.8%+$49.98
Set 1 Winner: Humbert vs Machacbacked Humbert · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$394Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$393.6
Adelaide International: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Ugo Humbertbacked Fokina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$31.02
Hobart International: Elisabetta Cocciaretto vs Antonia Ruzicbacked Ruzic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$202Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$201.5
Adelaide International: Tomas Machac vs Tommy Paulbacked Paul · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$31.32
ASB Classic: Ben Shelton vs Sebastian Baezbacked Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$16.03
Adelaide International: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Valentin Vacherotbacked Fokina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,124Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+56.7%+$637.41
Hobart International: Antonia Ruzic vs Olga Danilovicbacked Danilovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$125.21
Australian Open Men's: Alexander Blockx vs Jason Kublerbacked Blockx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Hobart International: Emma Raducanu vs Taylah Prestonbacked Raducanu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$105
Adelaide International: Ugo Humbert vs Alexander Shevchenkobacked Shevchenko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Hobart International: Peyton Stearns vs Olga Danilovicbacked Danilovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+81.8%+$24.75
Australian Open Men's: Jason Kubler vs Vilius Gaubasbacked Kubler · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+58.7%+$17.02
Australian Open Men's: James McCabe vs Nicolai Budkov Kjaerbacked Kjaer · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+108.3%+$104
Australian Open Men's: Martin Landaluce vs Stefano Travagliabacked Travaglia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+233.3%+$66.5
Adelaide International: Ethan Quinn vs Marton Fucsovicsbacked Fucsovics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$3,366Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+91%+$3,061.21
Adelaide International: Andrea Vavassori vs Gabriel Diallobacked Diallo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$190.06
Australian Open Men's: Bernard Tomic vs Hugo Dellienbacked Dellien · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$57.5
Adelaide International: Reilly Opelka vs Alexei Popyrinbacked Opelka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+108.3%+$78
Hong Kong Tennis Open: Lorenzo Musetti vs Alexander Bublikbacked Musetti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$28.56
Adelaide International, Qualification: Andrea Vavassori vs Raphael Collignonbacked Vavassori · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+88.7%+$15.04
Hong Kong Tennis Open: Lorenzo Musetti vs Andrey Rublevbacked Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$17.64
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 6, 2026, EST1650%8 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-3.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Matthew Stafford win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+57.1%+$10.17
Will Kyle Shanahan win NFL Coach of the Year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+53.6%+$6.98
Texans vs. Patriots: O/U 41.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$5,267Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$5,267.29
Rashid Shaheed: Receiving Yards O/U 23.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+100%+$34.5
Jake Tonges: Anytime Touchdownbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+35.1%+$20.28
Kenneth Walker III: Anytime Touchdownbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$34.77
Seahawks Team Total: O/U 28.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$49.11
49ers vs. Seahawks: O/U 45.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$33.15
Bills vs. Broncosbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+88.7%+$30.55
Will Mike Tomlin be fired by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$89.7
Bills vs. Jaguarsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+104.1%+$18.36
Packers vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+244.8%+$85.2
Spread: 49ers (-3.5)backed 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+62.6%+$15.4
Lions vs. Vikingsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$14.15
Eagles vs. Chargersbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$46.15
Bengals vs. Ravensbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$15.6
All 16 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT1428.6%4 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick31cpaid+16.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Solstice launch a token by March 31 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+733.3%+$110
Over $20M committed to the Space public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$47.54
Will Fogo launch a token by September 30 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$40.7
Will Fogo launch a token by June 30 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$23.83
Will Fogo launch a token by March 31 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$22.68
Over $10M committed to the Trove public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$17.42
Over $5M committed to the Infinex public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$38.1
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$839Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$838.74
Will Sentient launch a token in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+244.8%+$164.69
Will Hyperbeat launch a token in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+222.6%+$103.5
No airdrop in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$158Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$157.68
Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,120Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+33.9%+$380
Will Infrared launch a token by December 31 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$14.48
Will Stable launch a token in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$214Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$213.59
All 14 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST1127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.12per pick39cpaid-38.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
College Football — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Miami Florida win the 2026 College Football National Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$30.6
Will Indiana win the 2026 College Football National Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+190.7%+$131.2
Will Oregon win the 2026 College Football National Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$44.75
Will Indiana and Ole Miss win their 2026 CFP semifinal games?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+38.9%+$11.2
Will Ole Miss win the 2026 College Football National Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will Georgia win the 2026 College Football National Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$43
Ole Miss vs. Georgiabacked Ole Miss · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+150%+$38.98
Ole Miss vs. Georgia: O/U 54.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$13.5
Ole Miss vs. Georgia: O/U 53.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$129.55
Spread: Hawaii (-1.5)backed California · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$12.19
O/U 52.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$97.5
All 11 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.26per pick54cpaid+62.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-28.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Dec 29, 2025, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Movies — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Dec 25, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+79.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3)backed Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+29.9%+$8.28
LoL: Oh My God vs LNG Esports (BO3)backed LNG Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST+128.9%+$25.73
All 2 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick62cpaid+62.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Cricket — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Big Bash League: Perth Scorchers vs Melbourne Stars (Game 1)backed Perth Scorchers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$168Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+69.5%+$116.85
Will Australia win?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+56.3%+$6.84
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 23, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Dec 19, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+117.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
No US strike on Syria in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$112.79
US strike on Syria by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+334.8%+$115.5
All 2 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Dec 6, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 323: McKinney vs. Duncan (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Duncan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+85.2%+$30.36
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Dec 24, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Cameroon win on 2025-12-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST+26.6%+$3.25
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.