Tennis · resolved market
Australian Open Men's: Alexander Blockx vs Jason Kubler
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7cb6a2268d3eeca0d290a4e63b384e1daa3be33391e9d3e8dcec341a71b025d6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kublerof Blockx, Kubler
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $38,765
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $42,740
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,765 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked Kubler | 74c | 3,982$2,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,032.04 | 1,158 | 44.4%514 W · 644 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Blockx | 39c | 3,863$1,501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,501.28 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Blockx | 0c | 3,653$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.57 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Blockx | 37c | 3,570$1,325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,325.3 | 1,106 | 41%454 W · 652 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Kubler | 59c | 3,094$1,834 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,259.68 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff36…e757backed Kubler | 60c | 2,995$1,807 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,188.27 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.8wins | +0.17per pick | 48cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Blockx | 75c | 2,101$1,579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,579.24 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed Kubler | 69c | 1,845$1,271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$574.06 | 227 | 23.8%54 W · 173 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Blockx | 28c | 1,603$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Kubler | 48c | 1,537$738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$798.85 | 576 | 45.5%262 W · 314 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Kubler | 27c | 1,400$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,027.76 | 441 | 25.4%112 W · 329 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd6…5f62backed Blockx | 73c | 1,200$876 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$876 | 454 | 57.9%263 W · 191 L | -14.2wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf946…d542backed Kubler | 28c | 935.61$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$672.62 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…651bbacked Kubler | 29c | 765$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$543.15 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +4.7wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Blockx | 43c | 723.72$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.32 | 190 | 23.2%44 W · 146 L | -10.8wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcbac…435fbacked Kubler | 33c | 685.31$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.31 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Kubler | 18c | 668.78$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$547.78 | 160 | 29.4%47 W · 113 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8c…237dbacked Blockx | 34c | 584$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.69 | 64 | 32.8%21 W · 43 L | -8.6wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Blockx | 54c | 549.55$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.3 | 470 | 57.2%269 W · 201 L | +16.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked Kubler | 57c | 502.14$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.31 | 632 | 47.6%301 W · 331 L | -15.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Kubler | 23c | 500$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385 | 586 | 39.6%232 W · 354 L | -21.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68c2…259dbacked Blockx | 4c | 500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Blockx | 68c | 441.18$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 383 | 48%184 W · 199 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Kubler | 41c | 409.61$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.39 | 1,655 | 50.1%829 W · 826 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6f…f8ebbacked Blockx | 75c | 292.44$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.4 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 74cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Kubler | 15c | 288.98$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.52 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Blockx | 45c | 264.96$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.71 | 161 | 50.3%81 W · 80 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf67c…44adbacked Kubler | 72c | 263.44$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.73 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Blockx | 49c | 232.3$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.22 | 1,218 | 41.1%500 W · 718 L | -30.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Blockx | 48c | 208.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.57 | 925 | 48.8%451 W · 474 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…19e9backed Kubler | 27c | 183.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.43 | 128 | 46.9%60 W · 68 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc48…196bbacked Blockx | 63c | 171.15$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.58 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0685…2b0cbacked Kubler | 79c | 170$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.16 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed Kubler | 56c | 158.17$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.34 | 149 | 47.7%71 W · 78 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c46…6a2abacked Blockx | 20c | 143.04$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.61 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -46%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ada…43b0backed Blockx | 41c | 125$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.9 | 238 | 52.1%124 W · 114 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Kubler | 26c | 96$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.04 | 602 | 40.5%244 W · 358 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed Blockx | 50c | 83.25$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.6 | 262 | 44.7%117 W · 145 L | -15.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -17%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc6d…13dfbacked Kubler | 14c | 81.43$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.23 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +91.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ee…8067backed Blockx | 45c | 77.78$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 499 | 55.1%275 W · 224 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd98f…8fa3backed Blockx | 76c | 70$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.16 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 47cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1163…3642backed Kubler | 29c | 69.87$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.87 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1974…bc18backed Kubler | 41c | 67.88$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.16 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0097…f101backed Kubler | 30c | 67.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.17 | 218 | 43.1%94 W · 124 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c8…dd64backed Blockx | 76c | 65.79$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 134 | 61.9%83 W · 51 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x584d…d358backed Blockx | 76c | 65.63$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.88 | 341 | 59.5%203 W · 138 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c3…079fbacked Blockx | 66c | 53$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.98 | 893 | 64.4%575 W · 318 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ef1…c205backed Blockx | 54c | 51.26$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.89 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Kubler | 26c | 50$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.98 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Kubler | 48c | 45$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.56 | 314 | 34.4%108 W · 206 L | -25.2wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Kubler | 27c | 44.48$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.47 | 1,245 | 33.9%422 W · 823 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e25…db26backed Blockx | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 825 | 60.5%499 W · 326 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7216…0d67backed Kubler | 48c | 37.06$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.46 | 252 | 37.3%94 W · 158 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc955…56adbacked Kubler | 54c | 36.73$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.73 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Kubler | 39c | 32.24$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.51 | 276 | 27.2%75 W · 201 L | -25.2wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4f17…9ab3backed Blockx | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 86 | 66.3%57 W · 29 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x669e…035bbacked Kubler | 79c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.25 | 101 | 86.1%87 W · 14 L | +14.1wins | +0.14per pick | 72cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xfd26…6b44backed Blockx | 44c | 22.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ee…6899backed Blockx | 80c | 21.65$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.32 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Blockx | 71c | 20.7$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.77 | 1,039 | 54.6%567 W · 472 L | +37.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecec…d72fbacked Blockx | 75c | 16.8$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.53 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb203…8e45backed Blockx | 75c | 15.97$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.98 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 63cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ad8…9bc1backed Blockx | 71c | 15.38$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.86 | 138 | 34.1%47 W · 91 L | -8.2wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8747…8b5dbacked Blockx | 78c | 15.13$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 51 | 70.6%36 W · 15 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc7…55f6backed Blockx | 80c | 14.23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.35 | 115 | 53%61 W · 54 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a53…70a1backed Blockx | 76c | 14.09$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.76 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.