TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x669e…035b

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
239
Categories scored
3
Categories below 50
1

Best Category: Tennis, grading 62 out of 100 (+0.11 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 62 out of 100; worst NBA at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 30, 2026, EST13458.2%78 W · 56 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 134 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Heat vs. Bullsbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+49.3%+$9.43
Mavericks vs. Jazzbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$17.43
Bucks vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+58.2%+$10.51
Suns vs. Grizzliesbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+58.7%+$10.57
Clippers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+61.3%+$10.86
Nuggets vs. Celticsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+61.3%+$10.86
Spread: Mavericks (-5.5)backed Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+56.3%+$10.29
Heat vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+61.3%+$10.86
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$18
Grizzlies vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+63.9%+$11.14
Thunder vs. Sunsbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$18.28
Nuggets vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+63.9%+$11.14
Pacers vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+63.9%+$11.14
Celtics vs. Clippersbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+61.3%+$10.86
Jazz vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+61.3%+$10.86
Rockets vs. Mavericksbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$17.43
Trail Blazers vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$17.43
Hornets vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$17.71
76ers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$17.43
Hawks vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+61.3%+$10.86
Timberwolves vs. Heatbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+61.3%+$10.86
Grizzlies vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+58.7%+$10.57
Hornets vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+63.9%+$11.14
Trail Blazers vs. Pelicansbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+63.9%+$11.14
Magic vs. Bullsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$18
Showing 25 of 134 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 23, 2026, EDT10186.1%87 W · 14 L+14.1wins+0.14per pick72cpaid+16.6%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
Tennis — the 101 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Miami Open: Mirra Andreeva vs Victoria Mbokobacked Mirra Andreeva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$194.9
Miami Open: Francisco Cerundolo vs Daniil Medvedevbacked Francisco Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$133Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+50.2%+$66.82
Hersonissos 2: Lorenzo Giustino vs Paul Jubbbacked Lorenzo Giustino · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.58
Australian Open Women's: Naomi Osaka vs Antonia Ruzicbacked Ruzic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$16.99
Australian Open Men's: Vit Kopriva vs Jan-Lennard Struffbacked Struff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$136.5
Australian Open Men's: Rei Sakamoto vs Rafael Jodarbacked Jodar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+40.1%+$40.63
Australian Open Men's: Alexander Blockx vs Jason Kublerbacked Kubler · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+26.6%+$5.25
Hobart International: Emma Raducanu vs Taylah Prestonbacked Preston · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+35.1%+$6.5
Australian Open Women's: Tamara Korpatsch vs Maddison Inglisbacked Inglis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+33.3%+$6.25
Australian Open Women's: Lilli Tagger vs Lanlana Tararudeebacked Tararudee · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+30.3%+$5.82
Australian Open Men's: Michael Zheng vs Lukas Kleinbacked Klein · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$18
Australian Open Men's: Kimmer Coppejans vs Zachary Svajdabacked Svajda · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+39.9%+$7.13
Adelaide International: Diana Shnaider vs Emma Navarrobacked Shnaider · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+42.9%+$7.5
Australian Open Men's: Mackenzie McDonald vs Liam Draxlbacked Draxl · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+37.7%+$6.84
Australian Open Men's: Gilles Arnaud Bailly vs Martin Dammbacked Damm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+38.9%+$7
Australian Open Women's: Taylor Townsend vs Storm Hunterbacked Hunter · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+42.9%+$7.5
Australian Open Men's: Dusan Lajovic vs Francesco Maestrellibacked Lajovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$18.87
Australian Open Women's: Aliaksandra Sasnovich vs Daria Snigurbacked Sasnovich · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+25.2%+$5.03
Australian Open Men's: Elias Ymer vs Coleman Wongbacked Wong · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$18.13
Australian Open Women's: Carol Young Suh Lee vs Linda Fruhvirtovabacked Lee · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$18.25
Hobart International: Anna Bondar vs Elisabetta Cocciarettobacked Cocciaretto · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+40.8%+$7.25
Australian Open Men's: Rafael Jodar vs Luca Van Asschebacked Jodar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+33.3%+$6.25
Adelaide International: Kimberly Birrell vs Jaqueline Cristianbacked Cristian · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$17.75
Australian Open Women's: Lin Zhu vs Marina Stakusicbacked Zhu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$17.5
Adelaide International: Tomas Machac vs Jaume Munarbacked Machac · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+40.8%+$7.25
Showing 25 of 101 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Dec 23, 2025, EST4100%4 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+73.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Tweets — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.