TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Australian Open Men's: Rei Sakamoto vs Rafael Jodar

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Jodarof Sakamoto, Jodar
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$115,770
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$127,331

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $115,770 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 96 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2005…75eabacked Jodar73c24,282$17,831 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,450.6311,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Sakamoto19c9,162$1,777 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,777.421,10641%454 W · 652 L+2.5wins0.00per pick41cpaid-19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6f3e…bcf8backed Jodar69c6,051$4,175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,876.276146.6%355 W · 406 L-1.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Sakamoto27c4,685$1,285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,285.462,74630.8%846 W · 1,900 L-67.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Sakamoto31c4,041$1,268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,267.5299044.8%444 W · 546 L-10.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Sakamoto31c3,865$1,194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,193.8839144.2%173 W · 218 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6be…b977backed Sakamoto36c3,678$1,325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,325.31,76843.2%764 W · 1,004 L+2.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd320…097ebacked Sakamoto31c3,300$1,023 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0238825%22 W · 66 L-9.6wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-43.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb693…cfc9backed Sakamoto6c3,050$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.1630847.7%147 W · 161 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa82a…a759backed Jodar69c2,892$1,995 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$896.5233955.2%187 W · 152 L+18.2wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+12.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Jodar75c2,067$1,542 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$524.982,42647.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2930…4cf8backed Sakamoto10c2,042$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.1512631%39 W · 87 L-0.5wins0.00per pick31cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Sakamoto36c1,773$646 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$646.144,42651.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L+136.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked Sakamoto23c1,492$341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$340.9819023.2%44 W · 146 L-10.8wins-0.06per pick29cpaid-23.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x700f…62d8backed Jodar64c1,491$949 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$541.5938348%184 W · 199 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Sakamoto5c1,226$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.12,3317.9%183 W · 2,148 L-56.9wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-60.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x99fc…ec26backed Sakamoto32c1,103$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35064540.2%259 W · 386 L-19.6wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb31e…c120backed Sakamoto22c898$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.0629654.4%161 W · 135 L+0.9wins0.00per pick54cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x57ba…d369backed Sakamoto39c761.59$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3008053.8%43 W · 37 L-5.3wins-0.07per pick60cpaid-13.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6ad8…9bc1backed Jodar74c683.64$508 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.5413834.1%47 W · 91 L-8.2wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-42.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x391d…def1backed Sakamoto23c650$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.5825433.5%85 W · 169 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Sakamoto5c621.57$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.72,06834.9%721 W · 1,347 L-44.2wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-25.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Sakamoto15c552.46$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.921,21841.1%500 W · 718 L-30.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Sakamoto7c526.55$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353935.9%14 W · 25 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-33.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1fc8…f45bbacked Sakamoto19c524.22$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10028322.3%63 W · 220 L-13.3wins-0.05per pick27cpaid-31.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Sakamoto23c451.42$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.582,34351.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L+95.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+0.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3ffa…f2cfbacked Jodar70c426.18$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.827041.4%29 W · 41 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-23.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Jodar70c400$278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12289850.1%450 W · 448 L-20.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb893…bf4bbacked Sakamoto27c374.81$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10063247.6%301 W · 331 L-15.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x03f7…c0ccbacked Sakamoto31c370$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.72123.8%5 W · 16 L-5.2wins-0.25per pick48cpaid-59.3%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Sakamoto24c367.12$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.327,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc688…5987backed Sakamoto10c350$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.269744.3%43 W · 54 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2294…4cd3backed Jodar69c325$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.7514744.2%65 W · 82 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-11.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Jodar76c306.74$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.322236.9%82 W · 140 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-33.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6814…4d2dbacked Sakamoto4c300$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.51089.3%10 W · 98 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick7cpaid-32.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x176e…8f96backed Sakamoto15c242.98$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.3517863.5%113 W · 65 L+6.2wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb7bf…b02dbacked Jodar67c223.88$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.8859165.3%386 W · 205 L-16.9wins-0.03per pick68cpaid-3.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ba8…9253backed Sakamoto13c218.45$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.1810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9474…5091backed Sakamoto8c202.33$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.35934.3%4 W · 89 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick6cpaid-21%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf46e…db14backed Jodar69c200$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6218863.8%120 W · 68 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick66cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc88d…1da9backed Sakamoto22c199.99$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$447934.2%27 W · 52 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ca8…db1fbacked Sakamoto38c199.06$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.3212344.7%55 W · 68 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-10.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d64…5c93backed Sakamoto34c184.6$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.3813653.7%73 W · 63 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+9.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x70a1…978abacked Sakamoto13c172.35$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2288446.8%414 W · 470 L+3.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x284e…ddb2backed Sakamoto8c157.85$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.374835.4%17 W · 31 L-3.2wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-25.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb8ab…f5c1backed Sakamoto40c145.71$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.8921949.3%108 W · 111 L-10.0wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-2.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc075…6903backed Jodar70c142.86$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.861485.7%12 W · 2 L+2.7wins+0.19per pick66cpaid+26.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8165…f688backed Sakamoto30c142.62$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.781546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-28%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x669e…035bbacked Jodar71c141.89$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.6310186.1%87 W · 14 L+14.1wins+0.14per pick72cpaid+16.6%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x53cd…f23ebacked Jodar78c134.02$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.884050%20 W · 20 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-16.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Sakamoto15c130$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.81,10742.8%474 W · 633 L-20.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Sakamoto12c122.13$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.972,48945.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L-27.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Sakamoto21c116.3$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.72,98239.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L-109.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9004…1d2cbacked Sakamoto27c111.85$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3021455.1%118 W · 96 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf292…1cc7backed Sakamoto36c110.42$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.6435944.8%161 W · 198 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Jodar74c106.65$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.588455%486 W · 398 L+37.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3ab3…9f95backed Jodar70c105$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.52462.5%15 W · 9 L+3.2wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+18.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xe88d…2f28backed Sakamoto24c104.17$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-37.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x588b…8593backed Sakamoto39c102.56$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401,10743.5%481 W · 626 L-3.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x656b…afbcbacked Jodar71c101$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.71666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+30.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x26dc…95c4backed Sakamoto39c100$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$392846.4%13 W · 15 L+4.1wins+0.14per pick32cpaid+62.2%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xb583…3428backed Sakamoto28c100$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.35554.5%30 W · 25 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Sakamoto18c95.03$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.0192548.8%451 W · 474 L+20.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb27e…614dbacked Sakamoto34c93.88$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.9210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb113…8bc6backed Sakamoto30c93.79$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.1422344.8%100 W · 123 L-13.0wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-15.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x392c…0bb4backed Jodar73c87.41$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.94553.3%24 W · 21 L+4.5wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+16.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Sakamoto24c87.31$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.083,07244.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L-30.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7dfd…8476backed Jodar77c82.68$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.152462.5%15 W · 9 L+2.4wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+17.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x336b…1233backed Jodar67c80.3$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.557939.7%230 W · 349 L-0.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Sakamoto29c75.89$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.8628139.1%110 W · 171 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-28.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e21…4dccbacked Jodar68c75.6$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.543764.9%24 W · 13 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x187b…f545backed Jodar73c73.18$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.83852.6%20 W · 18 L+0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-11.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0dd1…3380backed Sakamoto15c70$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.52425%6 W · 18 L-2.7wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-52.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x25bf…7a56backed Sakamoto30c66.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202,33546.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L+55.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf32a…dea9backed Sakamoto31c65.15$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2011454.4%62 W · 52 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf354…150abacked Sakamoto35c57.14$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Sakamoto33c50$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.51,21233.1%401 W · 811 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b4c…77bdbacked Sakamoto29c48.95$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.051435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-30.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe563…0cf5backed Sakamoto31c48.39$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154738.3%18 W · 29 L-4.3wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-27%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xef4b…f8babacked Jodar71c44$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.71656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick50cpaid-5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1660…9d86backed Jodar67c40.13$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.248964%57 W · 32 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+2.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfc8f…3782backed Sakamoto27c37.62$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.1131434.4%108 W · 206 L-25.2wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-32.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4f17…9ab3backed Jodar71c35.21$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.218666.3%57 W · 29 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4411…985ebacked Sakamoto35c34.02$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122,14554.2%1,162 W · 983 L-1.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x38ed…af11backed Sakamoto33c33.24$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112060%12 W · 8 L+2.3wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+22%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa785…acb6backed Jodar63c31.62$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.624367.4%29 W · 14 L+2.6wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8e2c…30f6backed Sakamoto32c31.25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101338.5%5 W · 8 L-2.4wins-0.18per pick57cpaid-34.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Jodar68c31.25$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1076140.6%309 W · 452 L-15.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x935b…a5cebacked Sakamoto32c31.25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104551.1%23 W · 22 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5ce6…de1fbacked Jodar77c24.48$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.541533.3%5 W · 10 L-1.6wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-22.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Jodar69c22$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.827,13949.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L+109.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x079a…8fbabacked Jodar76c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.812100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+52%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb8c2…0348backed Jodar72c19.87$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.57250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick73cpaid-30.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdaf0…47fabacked Jodar77c19.12$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.321154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick62cpaid-19.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Jodar69c16.64$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.112,37551.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L+8.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x64fc…9b30backed Jodar66c15.68$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.333865.8%25 W · 13 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick69cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.