Tennis · resolved market
Australian Open Men's: Rei Sakamoto vs Rafael Jodar
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfd7d1d6b9a76f6bee6cb91181d796a4fe4e75ff9005090bd47439d2079671c62
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Jodarof Sakamoto, Jodar
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $115,770
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $127,331
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $115,770 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 96 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Jodar | 73c | 24,282$17,831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,450.63 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Sakamoto | 19c | 9,162$1,777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,777.42 | 1,106 | 41%454 W · 652 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3e…bcf8backed Jodar | 69c | 6,051$4,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,876.2 | 761 | 46.6%355 W · 406 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Sakamoto | 27c | 4,685$1,285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,285.46 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Sakamoto | 31c | 4,041$1,268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,267.52 | 990 | 44.8%444 W · 546 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Sakamoto | 31c | 3,865$1,194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,193.88 | 391 | 44.2%173 W · 218 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Sakamoto | 36c | 3,678$1,325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,325.3 | 1,768 | 43.2%764 W · 1,004 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd320…097ebacked Sakamoto | 31c | 3,300$1,023 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,023 | 88 | 25%22 W · 66 L | -9.6wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb693…cfc9backed Sakamoto | 6c | 3,050$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.16 | 308 | 47.7%147 W · 161 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa82a…a759backed Jodar | 69c | 2,892$1,995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$896.52 | 339 | 55.2%187 W · 152 L | +18.2wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Jodar | 75c | 2,067$1,542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524.98 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2930…4cf8backed Sakamoto | 10c | 2,042$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.15 | 126 | 31%39 W · 87 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Sakamoto | 36c | 1,773$646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$646.14 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Sakamoto | 23c | 1,492$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.98 | 190 | 23.2%44 W · 146 L | -10.8wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Jodar | 64c | 1,491$949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.59 | 383 | 48%184 W · 199 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Sakamoto | 5c | 1,226$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.1 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99fc…ec26backed Sakamoto | 32c | 1,103$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 645 | 40.2%259 W · 386 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb31e…c120backed Sakamoto | 22c | 898$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.06 | 296 | 54.4%161 W · 135 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57ba…d369backed Sakamoto | 39c | 761.59$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 80 | 53.8%43 W · 37 L | -5.3wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ad8…9bc1backed Jodar | 74c | 683.64$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.54 | 138 | 34.1%47 W · 91 L | -8.2wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Sakamoto | 23c | 650$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.58 | 254 | 33.5%85 W · 169 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Sakamoto | 5c | 621.57$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.7 | 2,068 | 34.9%721 W · 1,347 L | -44.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Sakamoto | 15c | 552.46$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.92 | 1,218 | 41.1%500 W · 718 L | -30.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Sakamoto | 7c | 526.55$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc8…f45bbacked Sakamoto | 19c | 524.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 283 | 22.3%63 W · 220 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Sakamoto | 23c | 451.42$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.58 | 2,343 | 51.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L | +95.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffa…f2cfbacked Jodar | 70c | 426.18$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.82 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Jodar | 70c | 400$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122 | 898 | 50.1%450 W · 448 L | -20.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked Sakamoto | 27c | 374.81$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 632 | 47.6%301 W · 331 L | -15.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked Sakamoto | 31c | 370$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.7 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -5.2wins | -0.25per pick | 48cpaid | -59.3%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Sakamoto | 24c | 367.12$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.32 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc688…5987backed Sakamoto | 10c | 350$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.26 | 97 | 44.3%43 W · 54 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2294…4cd3backed Jodar | 69c | 325$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.75 | 147 | 44.2%65 W · 82 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Jodar | 76c | 306.74$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.3 | 222 | 36.9%82 W · 140 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…4d2dbacked Sakamoto | 4c | 300$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 108 | 9.3%10 W · 98 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x176e…8f96backed Sakamoto | 15c | 242.98$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.35 | 178 | 63.5%113 W · 65 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7bf…b02dbacked Jodar | 67c | 223.88$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.88 | 591 | 65.3%386 W · 205 L | -16.9wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ba8…9253backed Sakamoto | 13c | 218.45$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Sakamoto | 8c | 202.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.35 | 93 | 4.3%4 W · 89 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -21%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf46e…db14backed Jodar | 69c | 200$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 188 | 63.8%120 W · 68 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc88d…1da9backed Sakamoto | 22c | 199.99$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 79 | 34.2%27 W · 52 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ca8…db1fbacked Sakamoto | 38c | 199.06$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.32 | 123 | 44.7%55 W · 68 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d64…5c93backed Sakamoto | 34c | 184.6$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.38 | 136 | 53.7%73 W · 63 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70a1…978abacked Sakamoto | 13c | 172.35$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 884 | 46.8%414 W · 470 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x284e…ddb2backed Sakamoto | 8c | 157.85$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.37 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ab…f5c1backed Sakamoto | 40c | 145.71$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.89 | 219 | 49.3%108 W · 111 L | -10.0wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc075…6903backed Jodar | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 14 | 85.7%12 W · 2 L | +2.7wins | +0.19per pick | 66cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8165…f688backed Sakamoto | 30c | 142.62$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.78 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -28%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x669e…035bbacked Jodar | 71c | 141.89$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.63 | 101 | 86.1%87 W · 14 L | +14.1wins | +0.14per pick | 72cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x53cd…f23ebacked Jodar | 78c | 134.02$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.88 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Sakamoto | 15c | 130$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 1,107 | 42.8%474 W · 633 L | -20.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Sakamoto | 12c | 122.13$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.97 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Sakamoto | 21c | 116.3$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.7 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9004…1d2cbacked Sakamoto | 27c | 111.85$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 214 | 55.1%118 W · 96 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf292…1cc7backed Sakamoto | 36c | 110.42$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.64 | 359 | 44.8%161 W · 198 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Jodar | 74c | 106.65$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 884 | 55%486 W · 398 L | +37.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ab3…9f95backed Jodar | 70c | 105$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +3.2wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe88d…2f28backed Sakamoto | 24c | 104.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…8593backed Sakamoto | 39c | 102.56$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1,107 | 43.5%481 W · 626 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x656b…afbcbacked Jodar | 71c | 101$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.71 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26dc…95c4backed Sakamoto | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +4.1wins | +0.14per pick | 32cpaid | +62.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb583…3428backed Sakamoto | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.3 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Sakamoto | 18c | 95.03$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.01 | 925 | 48.8%451 W · 474 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb27e…614dbacked Sakamoto | 34c | 93.88$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Sakamoto | 30c | 93.79$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.14 | 223 | 44.8%100 W · 123 L | -13.0wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x392c…0bb4backed Jodar | 73c | 87.41$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.9 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +4.5wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Sakamoto | 24c | 87.31$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.08 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfd…8476backed Jodar | 77c | 82.68$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.15 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x336b…1233backed Jodar | 67c | 80.3$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 579 | 39.7%230 W · 349 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Sakamoto | 29c | 75.89$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.86 | 281 | 39.1%110 W · 171 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e21…4dccbacked Jodar | 68c | 75.6$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.54 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…f545backed Jodar | 73c | 73.18$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd1…3380backed Sakamoto | 15c | 70$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -2.7wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed Sakamoto | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2,335 | 46.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L | +55.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf32a…dea9backed Sakamoto | 31c | 65.15$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 114 | 54.4%62 W · 52 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf354…150abacked Sakamoto | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Sakamoto | 33c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 1,212 | 33.1%401 W · 811 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b4c…77bdbacked Sakamoto | 29c | 48.95$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.05 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe563…0cf5backed Sakamoto | 31c | 48.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -4.3wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -27%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xef4b…f8babacked Jodar | 71c | 44$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.7 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1660…9d86backed Jodar | 67c | 40.13$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.24 | 89 | 64%57 W · 32 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Sakamoto | 27c | 37.62$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.11 | 314 | 34.4%108 W · 206 L | -25.2wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4f17…9ab3backed Jodar | 71c | 35.21$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.21 | 86 | 66.3%57 W · 29 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked Sakamoto | 35c | 34.02$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2,145 | 54.2%1,162 W · 983 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38ed…af11backed Sakamoto | 33c | 33.24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +22%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa785…acb6backed Jodar | 63c | 31.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.62 | 43 | 67.4%29 W · 14 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e2c…30f6backed Sakamoto | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.18per pick | 57cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Jodar | 68c | 31.25$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 761 | 40.6%309 W · 452 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x935b…a5cebacked Sakamoto | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ce6…de1fbacked Jodar | 77c | 24.48$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.54 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Jodar | 69c | 22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.82 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x079a…8fbabacked Jodar | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.81 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +52%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c2…0348backed Jodar | 72c | 19.87$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.57 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf0…47fabacked Jodar | 77c | 19.12$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.32 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Jodar | 69c | 16.64$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.11 | 2,375 | 51.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L | +8.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64fc…9b30backed Jodar | 66c | 15.68$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.33 | 38 | 65.8%25 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Australian Open Men's: Rei Sakamoto vs Rafael Jodarthis page
- Sakamoto vs. Jodar: Match O/U 40.5Over won
- Sakamoto vs. Jodar: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5Over won
- Sakamoto vs. Jodar: Total Sets O/U 3.5Over 3.5 won
- Set 1 Winner: Sakamoto vs JodarJodar won
- Set Handicap: Jodar (-1.5) vs Sakamoto (+1.5)Sakamoto won
- Set Handicap: Jodar (-2.5) vs Sakamoto (+2.5)Sakamoto won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.