TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0dd1…3380

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
39
Categories scored
5
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Champions League, grading 49 out of 100 (-0.01 per pick) — its least-bad Category, not a recommendation. Every Category this wallet trades grades at or below 50, which is what “no edge at all” looks like.

Best Category Champions League at 49 out of 100; worst Premier League at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jan 21, 2026, EST2425%6 W · 18 L-2.7wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-52.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Tennis — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Australian Open Men's: Emilio Nava vs Cameron Norriebacked Nava · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Australian Open Men's: Alexander Bublik vs Marton Fucsovicsbacked Fucsovics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$47
Australian Open Men's: Michael Zheng vs Corentin Moutetbacked Zheng · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$65.5
Australian Open Men's: Jordan Thompson vs Nuno Borgesbacked Thompson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$12.8
Australian Open Men's: Learner Tien vs Alexander Shevchenkobacked Shevchenko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Australian Open Men's: Reilly Opelka vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokinabacked Opelka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Australian Open Men's: James Duckworth vs Dino Prizmicbacked Duckworth · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+150%+$15
Australian Open Men's: Hubert Hurkacz vs Zizou Bergsbacked Hurkacz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+104.5%+$23
Australian Open Men's: Grigor Dimitrov vs Tomas Machacbacked Machac · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+88.7%+$9.4
Australian Open Men's: Valentin Royer vs Taylor Fritzbacked Royer · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$11.5
Australian Open Men's: Rei Sakamoto vs Rafael Jodarbacked Sakamoto · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$10.5
Australian Open Men's: Dane Sweeny vs Gael Monfilsbacked Monfils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$10.72
Australian Open Men's: Christopher O'Connell vs Nishesh Basavareddybacked Basavareddy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+88.7%+$9.4
Australian Open Men's: Ben Shelton vs Ugo Humbertbacked Humbert · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$17
Australian Open Men's: Mattia Bellucci vs Casper Ruudbacked Bellucci · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Australian Open Men's: Brandon Nakashima vs Botic van de Zandschulpbacked Nakashima · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$11.25
Australian Open Men's: Laslo Djere vs Stan Wawrinkabacked Djere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Cerundolo vs. Thompson: Total Sets O/U 3.5backed Over 3.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+58.7%+$8.81
Australian Open Men's: Liam Draxl vs Damir Dzumhurbacked Draxl · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Kypson vs. Comesana: Total Sets O/U 3.5backed Over 3.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+57.5%+$11.5
Australian Open Men's: Tristan Schoolkate vs Corentin Moutetbacked Schoolkate · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$16
Australian Open Men's: Arthur Fery vs Flavio Cobollibacked Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$10
ASB Classic: Sebastian Baez vs Jakub Mensikbacked Baez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Brisbane International: Cameron Norrie vs Aleksandar Kovacevicbacked Norrie · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$36
All 24 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 19, 2026, EST1118.2%2 W · 9 L-2.8wins-0.26per pick44cpaid-61.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Premier League — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. West Ham United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+72.4%+$18.1
Will Leeds United FC vs. Fulham FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+150%+$15
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Will Manchester United FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will West Ham United FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$15
All 11 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 7, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SS Lazio win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Torino FC win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$99
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Olympiakós SFP vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$10.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 6, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trump invokes War Powers against Venezuela by January 9?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.