Tennis · resolved market
Australian Open Men's: Reilly Opelka vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe53ce964d270b4c95053330c177059a0fd69c9b22883c26cedd5f6b65ca737fc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Fokinaof Opelka, Fokina
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $125,571
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $134,116
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $125,571 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 146 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1027…966cbacked Opelka | 0c | 15,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Opelka | 32c | 12,690$4,039 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,038.75 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Fokina | 71c | 10,949$7,769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,180.74 | 1,106 | 41%454 W · 652 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59f4…c1f1backed Opelka | 32c | 5,302$1,697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,696.6 | 182 | 37.9%69 W · 113 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…c100backed Fokina | 68c | 5,000$3,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,600 | 430 | 51.2%220 W · 210 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Opelka | 31c | 4,120$1,277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,277.18 | 2,375 | 51.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L | +8.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7972…594fbacked Fokina | 54c | 3,704$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,703.7 | 132 | 60.6%80 W · 52 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Opelka | 30c | 3,575$1,072 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,072.43 | 178 | 23%41 W · 137 L | -8.6wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Opelka | 34c | 3,370$1,139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,138.54 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd320…097ebacked Opelka | 28c | 3,266$914 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$914.48 | 88 | 25%22 W · 66 L | -9.6wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e4…bf9dbacked Fokina | 69c | 3,000$2,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$929.99 | 180 | 47.2%85 W · 95 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Opelka | 31c | 2,945$913 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$912.95 | 254 | 28%71 W · 183 L | -13.4wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x979f…4032backed Fokina | 75c | 2,788$2,091 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$697.04 | 101 | 62.4%63 W · 38 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15fe…86bebacked Fokina | 48c | 2,175$1,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,131 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Opelka | 35c | 2,076$736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$736.39 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65d4…4e71backed Fokina | 49c | 1,800$882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$917.98 | 58 | 67.2%39 W · 19 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f86…404ebacked Opelka | 20c | 1,737$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.09 | 111 | 22.5%25 W · 86 L | -16.1wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xda5f…2e9bbacked Opelka | 52c | 1,693$887 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$887.43 | 447 | 54.4%243 W · 204 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29de…02aabacked Fokina | 70c | 1,543$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.75 | 127 | 52%66 W · 61 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…6f9abacked Fokina | 69c | 1,500$1,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465 | 930 | 55.8%519 W · 411 L | +23.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadb4…3214backed Opelka | 63c | 1,500$945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$945 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Fokina | 64c | 1,448$931 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517.27 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Fokina | 64c | 1,382$880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.05 | 127 | 40.2%51 W · 76 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -13%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba6…0f07backed Opelka | 51c | 1,370$693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$693.41 | 669 | 49.6%332 W · 337 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Fokina | 58c | 1,260$725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$534.97 | 656 | 47.6%312 W · 344 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Opelka | 28c | 1,155$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 190 | 23.2%44 W · 146 L | -10.8wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Opelka | 56c | 1,028$577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576.88 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Fokina | 49c | 1,000$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.51 | 576 | 45.5%262 W · 314 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e78…52b5backed Fokina | 70c | 995.02$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.02 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdefe…5432backed Fokina | 70c | 975$683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.5 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.21per pick | 69cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Opelka | 28c | 821.43$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.79 | 1,655 | 50.1%829 W · 826 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcec8…6c77backed Opelka | 3c | 796.1$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.36 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Fokina | 68c | 744.99$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.46 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x479e…91c3backed Fokina | 76c | 733.91$556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.97 | 441 | 63.7%281 W · 160 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…1a20backed Opelka | 31c | 729$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.99 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.14per pick | 42cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked Fokina | 71c | 706.28$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.28 | 632 | 47.6%301 W · 331 L | -15.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Fokina | 79c | 663.05$526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.77 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Opelka | 34c | 619.9$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.11 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48de…95babacked Fokina | 70c | 583.26$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.98 | 625 | 45.4%284 W · 341 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Fokina | 57c | 526.39$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.39 | 383 | 48%184 W · 199 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3be6…05b1backed Opelka | 32c | 506.93$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 99 | 55.6%55 W · 44 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0306…dcf6backed Fokina | 72c | 500$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 146 | 63%92 W · 54 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…4f9cbacked Opelka | 31c | 483.87$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ad8…9bc1backed Opelka | 26c | 478.35$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.53 | 138 | 34.1%47 W · 91 L | -8.2wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e5b…6eb8backed Fokina | 69c | 468.06$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.1 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 70cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeabd…8115backed Opelka | 50c | 437.87$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | -5.9wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -27%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0c…218abacked Fokina | 69c | 434.78$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.78 | 541 | 38.1%206 W · 335 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Fokina | 63c | 340.82$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.55 | 281 | 39.1%110 W · 171 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc688…5987backed Opelka | 51c | 324.4$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.45 | 97 | 44.3%43 W · 54 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4da6…59fabacked Opelka | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a45…41f6backed Opelka | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ec2…59e6backed Opelka | 32c | 310.54$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.37 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e7…caa8backed Opelka | 3c | 300$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 108 | 5.6%6 W · 102 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Opelka | 31c | 290.32$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 434 | 48.4%210 W · 224 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9086…4d46backed Fokina | 69c | 289.86$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.86 | 1,841 | 48.5%892 W · 949 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Opelka | 28c | 288.45$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.08 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Fokina | 52c | 284$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.32 | 133 | 51.9%69 W · 64 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2911…fed6backed Fokina | 72c | 283.8$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.97 | 17 | 94.1%16 W · 1 L | +3.8wins | +0.23per pick | 72cpaid | +29%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Opelka | 31c | 270$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.7 | 421 | 41.8%176 W · 245 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Opelka | 47c | 260.69$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 1,266 | 34.2%433 W · 833 L | -43.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e5c…e4f6backed Fokina | 50c | 250$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -5.1wins | -0.23per pick | 55cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb405…c706backed Opelka | 29c | 234$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.62 | 38 | 23.7%9 W · 29 L | -4.0wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -52.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8bfa…a8debacked Fokina | 70c | 230.1$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.03 | 359 | 51.3%184 W · 175 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5f…1ae6backed Fokina | 56c | 223.21$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.21 | 138 | 26.1%36 W · 102 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ca8…db1fbacked Opelka | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 123 | 44.7%55 W · 68 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked Fokina | 69c | 212.5$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 1,056 | 55.4%585 W · 471 L | -22.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc391…6cc8backed Fokina | 50c | 201$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.5 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4819…c342backed Opelka | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…4d2dbacked Opelka | 8c | 200$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 108 | 9.3%10 W · 98 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked Opelka | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 1,158 | 44.4%514 W · 644 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe061…93f9backed Opelka | 7c | 200$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.82 | 78 | 3.8%3 W · 75 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -55%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41cc…26eabacked Opelka | 49c | 199.97$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.98 | 102 | 51%52 W · 50 L | +8.9wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Fokina | 53c | 190.04$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.04 | 288 | 33.3%96 W · 192 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…8593backed Fokina | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 1,107 | 43.5%481 W · 626 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07fe…0a16backed Fokina | 65c | 172.99$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.07 | 270 | 58.1%157 W · 113 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe889…d0c3backed Fokina | 51c | 156.2$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.2 | 174 | 32.2%56 W · 118 L | -15.1wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -22%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6a89…196fbacked Fokina | 78c | 156.06$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.06 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Opelka | 7c | 150$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 459 | 9.6%44 W · 415 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f78…bbe8backed Fokina | 69c | 146.38$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.38 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…e682backed Fokina | 70c | 144$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.2 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8104…3128backed Opelka | 35c | 133.57$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.28 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf575…e0ebbacked Opelka | 46c | 132.81$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.92 | 204 | 31.9%65 W · 139 L | -9.1wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5586…e117backed Opelka | 44c | 125.41$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8bd…df80backed Opelka | 48c | 125$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 227 | 44.5%101 W · 126 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd35d…ea31backed Fokina | 55c | 118.18$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.18 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Fokina | 69c | 115.94$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.94 | 398 | 50%199 W · 199 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44f8…2d91backed Fokina | 52c | 114.8$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.8 | 63 | 36.5%23 W · 40 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Fokina | 64c | 107.66$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.87 | 925 | 48.8%451 W · 474 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf73f…8ba0backed Fokina | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 328 | 37.5%123 W · 205 L | -13.1wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x956a…b3dabacked Fokina | 70c | 101.24$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.64 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1660…9d86backed Fokina | 68c | 100.01$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 89 | 64%57 W · 32 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x176e…8f96backed Fokina | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 178 | 63.5%113 W · 65 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb1e…230abacked Opelka | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 318 | 19.2%61 W · 257 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Fokina | 48c | 99.39$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.67 | 2,343 | 51.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L | +95.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe9…9c50backed Fokina | 69c | 97.1$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.1 | 253 | 55.7%141 W · 112 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffa…f2cfbacked Opelka | 12c | 92.75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.41 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb821…5cddbacked Fokina | 69c | 91.13$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.25 | 364 | 64.3%234 W · 130 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2849…0cd8backed Fokina | 51c | 89.77$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.14 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc4…46c0backed Opelka | 50c | 86.14$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.03 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +3.1wins | +0.14per pick | 59cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Fokina | 70c | 85.71$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.71 | 718 | 57.7%414 W · 304 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Australian Open Men's: Reilly Opelka vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokinathis page
- Set Handicap: Fokina (-1.5) vs Opelka (+1.5)Opelka won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.