TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x1027…966c

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
49
Categories scored
18
Categories below 50
12

Best Category: CS2, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 58 out of 100; worst Dota2 at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 26, 2026, EDT1361.5%8 W · 5 L+2.7wins+0.21per pick41cpaid+51.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
CS2 — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - CIS LAN Championship Group Dbacked Virtus.pro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$27.86
Will Team Vitality win IEM Krakow 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+152.9%+$30.57
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Abacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$23.23
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs fnatic - Map 1 Winnerbacked fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$14
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+83.6%+$8.52
Counter-Strike: AaB esport vs Lilmix (BO3)backed Lilmix · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Monte (BO3)backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$12.96
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+203%+$23
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Monte - Map 2 Winnerbacked Monte · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+340.9%+$63.34
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Monte - Map 1 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+58.6%+$11.72
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs fnatic (BO3)backed Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+61.3%+$6.18
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs EYEBALLERS (BO3)backed FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$33.77
Counter-Strike: Washington vs HyperSpirit (BO3)backed HyperSpirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+81.8%+$8.49
All 13 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST80%0 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tweets — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from February 12 to February 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$19.99
Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$14.4
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$13
Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$15.72
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from January 8 to January 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from January 8 to January 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$36
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Will Elon Musk post 80-89 tweets from January 5 to January 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 8 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jan 21, 2026, EST40%0 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 14, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick42cpaid+80.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nuggets vs. Pelicansbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+72.4%+$16.8
76ers vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$13
Nuggets vs. Celticsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+267.9%+$53.57
All 3 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick28cpaid-33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump deport 500,000-750,000- people?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$21.2
US forces in Venezuela again by January 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$13.2
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jan 30, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.64per pick36cpaid+177.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3)backed Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+177.8%+$70.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Villanova Wildcats vs. Marquette Golden Eaglesbacked Villanova Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+63.9%+$9.59
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+60.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Texans vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+60.6%+$16.37
All 1 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Women's Group A - Canada vs. Czechiabacked Czechia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 14, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Parma Calcio 1913 win on 2026-01-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$18.94
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jan 15, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Racing Club win on 2026-01-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Jan 14, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 1. FC Köln win on 2026-01-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$29
All 1 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Jan 16, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Perth Glory FC win on 2026-01-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$11.08
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on May 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jan 19, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - ESL One Birmingham: Western Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$20.27
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.