TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Australian A League · resolved market

Will Perth Glory FC win on 2026-01-16?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$100,393
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$106,872

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $100,393 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 132 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Australian A League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes49c11,322$5,542 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,541.7313933.8%47 W · 92 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick36cpaid+4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Yes45c8,133$3,646 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,646.3322652.7%119 W · 107 L+13.1wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No51c7,778$3,947 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,830.8746644.8%209 W · 257 L-23.0wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-18.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4446…1fd0backed No66c7,542$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,542.26785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.14per pick71cpaid+19.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x659c…85bbbacked Yes72c6,696$4,808 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,807.861154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe2ad…bcdabacked Yes51c6,522$3,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,349.72560%3 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.18per pick42cpaid+138.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x52d8…99aebacked Yes47c4,000$1,880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,8804148.8%20 W · 21 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-13.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No50c3,479$1,733 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,746.6547850.8%243 W · 235 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e29…9e66backed No54c3,201$1,735 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,465.794551.1%23 W · 22 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes29c3,010$879 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$879.3233444%147 W · 187 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-13.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No46c2,409$1,101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,308.1898844.4%439 W · 549 L-11.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x377c…91aebacked Yes20c2,200$439 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$439520%1 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick31cpaid-41.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb177…1914backed No51c2,110$1,076 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,033.8933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-34.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No51c1,980$1,018 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$962.0243748.3%211 W · 226 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed No74c1,446$1,070 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$376.3122852.2%119 W · 109 L+11.5wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb77e…e668backed No57c1,053$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$452.631100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Yes48c1,050$507 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507.123537.1%13 W · 22 L-4.1wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-20.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x854d…deb0backed No55c1,000$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$450742.9%3 W · 4 L0.0wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-16.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b23…e20fbacked Yes47c914.99$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$430.05250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-35.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x80cf…427dbacked Yes46c867.41$399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.01742.9%3 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid+10.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcfbb…55b0backed No69c794.77$548 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.774100%4 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+45.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9ae2…20a3backed No51c784.31$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$384.312853.6%15 W · 13 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick60cpaid-9.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb7fd…6c23backed Yes27c750$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20030%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed No70c700$493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.4911063.6%70 W · 40 L+9.2wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+25.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes38c630.5$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.7314843.9%65 W · 83 L-0.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid-10.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked No52c572.32$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272.5230055.3%166 W · 134 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1e…d5dfbacked No55c569.99$313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.5560%3 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick71cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ca1…aea0backed Yes48c565$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271.24341.9%18 W · 25 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ad…fabcbacked No72c559.36$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.011776.5%13 W · 4 L+2.8wins+0.16per pick60cpaid+35.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed No71c542$385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.186969.6%48 W · 21 L+7.3wins+0.11per pick59cpaid+13.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xba8d…009dbacked No53c527.23$279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.72245.5%10 W · 12 L+2.6wins+0.12per pick33cpaid+22.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa3d3…f2bcbacked No53c499.99$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.99977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.1wins+0.23per pick55cpaid+44.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed Yes41c410$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1683966.7%26 W · 13 L+3.8wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+19.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8dee…412bbacked No51c365.99$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.348949.4%44 W · 45 L+8.5wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+28.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes7c360.97$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.6628659.4%170 W · 116 L+12.9wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+4.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No54c309.73$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.6719345.1%87 W · 106 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-11.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed No58c300$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12610448.1%50 W · 54 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes38c299.99$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.2512156.2%68 W · 53 L+9.4wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked No54c267.79$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.18580%4 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.25per pick55cpaid+53.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdebb…eedbbacked Yes42c267.5$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.351266.7%8 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+6.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2aa1…dba8backed Yes47c212.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002035%7 W · 13 L-3.5wins-0.18per pick53cpaid-20.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x604d…4608backed Yes47c212.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003339.4%13 W · 20 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick34cpaid+21.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x588b…8593backed Yes47c207.68$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.614634.8%16 W · 30 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+39.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe1c3…7d73backed Yes49c204.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003158.1%18 W · 13 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x40ef…10ebbacked No52c204.54$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.18250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes56c200$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1115945.8%27 W · 32 L-6.2wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-17.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3bcf…402abacked Yes10c200$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203318.2%6 W · 27 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick20cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4300…5c69backed Yes47c200$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$946746.3%31 W · 36 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x38d0…899bbacked Yes50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc9f2…d776backed Yes30c200$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$591414.3%2 W · 12 L-1.7wins-0.12per pick26cpaid-42.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed No51c196$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.0411055.5%61 W · 49 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaf0e…3197backed No53c188.68$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.687365.8%48 W · 25 L+5.1wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+15.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x611a…e63ebacked Yes9c177.13$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.0660%0 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa134…3ba2backed Yes48c173.56$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.31333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-55.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked No62c159.48$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.994242.9%18 W · 24 L-3.0wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-31.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa383…a2f0backed No63c157.23$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.63742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick33cpaid-25.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd2d7…ba47backed Yes46c150$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$692152.4%11 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid+3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd829…d60ebacked Yes48c149.19$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.6130%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x27b1…592bbacked Yes20c140.42$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.51030%3 W · 7 L-2.3wins-0.23per pick53cpaid-53.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x70c8…006cbacked Yes50c139.2$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-51.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3346…1cf7backed Yes17c135$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.4510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb836…fa1cbacked No53c133.24$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.241100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+90.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ca5…a81dbacked No59c124.56$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.07333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.33per pick66cpaid-43.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3d5f…7e6fbacked No53c113.22$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.2211351.3%58 W · 55 L+11.6wins+0.10per pick41cpaid+25.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xfee4…d386backed No53c110$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.42653.8%14 W · 12 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Yes45c110$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.57833.3%26 W · 52 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7705…a442backed Yes46c108.7$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5030%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5449…5659backed Yes47c106.38$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+17.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5eeb…01b2backed No65c101.97$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.812532.8%41 W · 84 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-32.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5a38…adcebacked Yes46c101.46$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.6730%0 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked No51c100.05$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.033070%21 W · 9 L+6.2wins+0.21per pick49cpaid+45.2%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x2a20…8248backed No51c100$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$493100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+93.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7802…d5b4backed Yes48c100$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe9eb…272dbacked No54c99.99$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$462213.6%3 W · 19 L-6.3wins-0.29per pick42cpaid-72.6%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x1027…966cbacked Yes11c97.92$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.0810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb8a9…22c4backed No68c90$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.57100%7 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+41.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3510…2492backed No32c85$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.81650%8 W · 8 L+1.9wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+20.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed No32c83.46$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.7330536.1%110 W · 195 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Yes49c79.23$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.138051.3%41 W · 39 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd902…d076backed No54c75.1$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.4580%4 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.19per pick61cpaid+18.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbc18…6847backed No54c74.4$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+86%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb089…a271backed Yes47c64.1$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.313938.5%15 W · 24 L-4.0wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-27.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3020…bc04backed Yes71c60$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.6633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.30per pick64cpaid-49.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc880…a622backed No52c60$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.8944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick54cpaid+9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked No53c55.46$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.071668.8%11 W · 5 L+2.3wins+0.14per pick54cpaid+34.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes49c55.1$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273531.4%11 W · 24 L-2.5wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-19.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2959…e41abacked No56c50.75$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.391100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked No51c50$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.54858.3%28 W · 20 L+4.3wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+15.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Yes35c47.8$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.844946.9%23 W · 26 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-22.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d44…2f97backed No53c47.17$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.171752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xa4ba…c5d8backed No54c46$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.166955.1%38 W · 31 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick56cpaid+6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd851…9305backed No51c46$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.54366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9a58…149dbacked No38c45.5$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.21944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc6fa…51e5backed No55c44.56$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.052962.1%18 W · 11 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7563…1fb3backed No52c42$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.16771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.15per pick56cpaid+26.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe6cd…e027backed Yes49c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.61560%9 W · 6 L+2.8wins+0.19per pick41cpaid+66.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9276…081ebacked Yes50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc61a…c00cbacked Yes50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201855.6%10 W · 8 L+3.4wins+0.19per pick37cpaid+84.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xfc8f…3782backed No56c37.56$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.553345.5%15 W · 18 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick41cpaid-3.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x32a8…1edbbacked Yes50c36$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.