TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Australian A League · resolved market

Will Brisbane Roar FC win on 2026-01-16?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$42,071
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$49,628

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,071 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 94 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Australian A League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4133…5e70backed No75c5,415$4,046 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,046.2246644.8%209 W · 257 L-23.0wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-18.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes25c4,550$1,153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,397.0313933.8%47 W · 92 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick36cpaid+4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No74c2,944$2,190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,189.6543748.3%211 W · 226 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No65c1,554$1,007 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,006.9147850.8%243 W · 235 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d23…8776backed Yes31c1,474$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,014.053100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+94.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Yes33c1,440$476 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$963.5622652.7%119 W · 107 L+13.1wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xaab8…a331backed Yes27c1,293$349 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$943.593729.7%11 W · 26 L-5.4wins-0.15per pick44cpaid-37.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xe889…d0c3backed Yes25c1,233$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$923.492313%3 W · 20 L-5.3wins-0.23per pick36cpaid-64.6%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xb5b9…948abacked Yes25c1,000$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7502250%11 W · 11 L+3.2wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+68.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes47c910.74$431 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$479.3298844.4%439 W · 549 L-11.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e14…2266backed Yes40c786.42$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$471.85944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick35cpaid+59.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked No76c756.67$575 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$575.073773%27 W · 10 L+6.3wins+0.17per pick56cpaid+30.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x8dee…412bbacked Yes26c755.23$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$555.238949.4%44 W · 45 L+8.5wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+28.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed No69c622$432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$432.0722852.2%119 W · 109 L+11.5wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6c0b…43cbbacked Yes26c601.89$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$444.868326.5%22 W · 61 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick28cpaid+5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed No76c600$456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$456.2511063.6%70 W · 40 L+9.2wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+25.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed No79c547$432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$431.676969.6%48 W · 21 L+7.3wins+0.11per pick59cpaid+13.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes25c515.21$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$385.1230055.3%166 W · 134 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ad…fabcbacked No78c445.36$346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$345.861776.5%13 W · 4 L+2.8wins+0.16per pick60cpaid+35.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x7d80…ba3dbacked No74c420$311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$310.810%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3cf3…50d9backed Yes25c400$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3001637.5%6 W · 10 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick31cpaid+12.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes26c400$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2963531.4%11 W · 24 L-2.5wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-19.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1f3f…959bbacked Yes25c398.44$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298.835933.9%20 W · 39 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed No75c384$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28810160.4%61 W · 40 L+7.1wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+10.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb893…bf4bbacked No27c370.37$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002352.2%12 W · 11 L+1.6wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+30.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0178…3f7abacked No77c345.81$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$267.952878.6%22 W · 6 L+5.3wins+0.19per pick60cpaid+48.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x588b…8593backed Yes26c303.54$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.624634.8%16 W · 30 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+39.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x90a5…9dccbacked Yes29c303$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.874667.4%31 W · 15 L+13.1wins+0.28per pick39cpaid+90.8%equal weight71+0.18 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Yes27c294.28$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.94740.4%19 W · 28 L-3.2wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Yes23c285.35$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.7211055.5%61 W · 49 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes51c267.99$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.6333444%147 W · 187 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-13.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes72c240$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.612156.2%68 W · 53 L+9.4wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes52c239.45$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.1814843.9%65 W · 83 L-0.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid-10.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd473…3febbacked Yes68c235$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.511858.5%69 W · 49 L+0.2wins0.00per pick58cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4781…336dbacked No77c229.87$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1779065.6%59 W · 31 L+0.2wins0.00per pick65cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed No73c203$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.044946.9%23 W · 26 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-22.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes72c200$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$565945.8%27 W · 32 L-6.2wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-17.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x659c…85bbbacked No36c200$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$721154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf575…e0ebbacked Yes25c200$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick31cpaid+18.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52d8…99aebacked No72c196.45$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.444148.8%20 W · 21 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-13.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Yes26c192.31$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.312326.1%6 W · 17 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes66c192.12$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.3713149.6%65 W · 66 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed No21c190.37$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.0330536.1%110 W · 195 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe21a…88edbacked Yes77c185.49$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.41250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-35.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba8d…009dbacked Yes32c184.17$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.642245.5%10 W · 12 L+2.6wins+0.12per pick33cpaid+22.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7ce4…da39backed Yes25c162$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.51936.8%7 W · 12 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-36.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x06a9…1a49backed Yes25c160$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1201752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+29.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x604d…4608backed Yes28c150.18$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.183339.4%13 W · 20 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick34cpaid+21.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5351…a045backed No75c140$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick57cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9b1…242fbacked Yes64c139.06$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.066850%34 W · 34 L+3.9wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+15.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4893…85a3backed Yes64c125$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$451100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x58e4…73f9backed Yes26c115.88$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.751154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+148.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a32…0188backed No76c100$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.530%0 W · 3 L-2.1wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No72c100$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7219345.1%87 W · 106 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-11.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd2d7…ba47backed No72c100$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$722152.4%11 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid+3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc9b5…6d52backed Yes62c100$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$381100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Yes24c99.99$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.993070%21 W · 9 L+6.2wins+0.21per pick49cpaid+45.2%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0xe105…1efbbacked Yes26c96.2$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.19425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick34cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xafd4…4432backed Yes28c90$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.8580%4 W · 1 L+2.3wins+0.47per pick33cpaid+137.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked No78c85.74$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.494242.9%18 W · 24 L-3.0wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-31.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4669…785ebacked No76c84$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.84862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.15per pick47cpaid+39.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x42bf…30f7backed Yes25c83.93$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.93540%2 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+35.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x33af…288abacked Yes25c80$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$609446.8%44 W · 50 L+6.8wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+20.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdebb…eedbbacked No69c76$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.441266.7%8 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+6.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e6f…c966backed Yes28c71.43$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.431225%3 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-11.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb089…a271backed No30c66.63$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.993938.5%15 W · 24 L-4.0wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-27.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc61a…c00cbacked Yes31c65.55$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.551855.6%10 W · 8 L+3.4wins+0.19per pick37cpaid+84.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc758…8574backed No31c64.52$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2060%0 W · 6 L-2.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6a76…51b7backed Yes28c64.29$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.293542.9%15 W · 20 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c83…6f40backed Yes26c61.54$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.545935.6%21 W · 38 L-4.6wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-19.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcaad…b5a9backed Yes25c53.04$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.78475%3 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.32per pick43cpaid+89.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes32c51.59$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.1712532.8%41 W · 84 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-32.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbaf1…6ae0backed Yes64c50.17$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.31100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+57.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfc8f…3782backed No39c49.05$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.233345.5%15 W · 18 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick41cpaid-3.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe2bb…ea55backed Yes28c48.04$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.59633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-4.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Yes45c47.02$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.8616865.5%110 W · 58 L+22.1wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+28.7%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x6460…84efbacked Yes27c46.25$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.76650%3 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+45.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc0c0…07d8backed No75c44$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33757.1%4 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5449…5659backed Yes72c42.54$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.91560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+17.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f2c…ac5ebacked No75c38$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.51464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.3wins+0.17per pick48cpaid+30.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfde5…4d9dbacked Yes62c32.26$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.261100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x54e9…c178backed Yes80c31.39$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.392100%2 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+25.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84f0…327cbacked No76c30$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.8757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-20.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f7e…b3f4backed No77c30$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.1560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x640f…4cc0backed No35c30$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.5540%2 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.21per pick61cpaid-31.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xca10…66cabacked Yes72c27.76$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.761100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbd2…e8e8backed Yes78c27.72$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.12100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+32.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed Yes46c25.76$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.913966.7%26 W · 13 L+3.8wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+19.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed No77c25$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.259257.6%53 W · 39 L+10.1wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+33.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x742f…d673backed Yes58c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.41855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc688…5987backed No75c19$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.26742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.17per pick59cpaid+37%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3ffa…f2cfbacked No62c17.25$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.77922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.20per pick42cpaid-51.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc16f…0f4fbacked No73c16$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.682958.6%17 W · 12 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xad68…b97cbacked No76c15.72$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12683.3%5 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick74cpaid+12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.