Australian A League · resolved market
Will Perth Glory FC vs. Brisbane Roar FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xefd06b1652561746562bc7ea58e0f037bfab80a53860d545fd63299df31a2dfd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,556
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,782
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,556 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Australian A League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 75c | 7,535$5,617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,917.94 | 466 | 44.8%209 W · 257 L | -23.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52d8…99aebacked Yes | 23c | 5,100$1,176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,176 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 34c | 2,800$954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$953.68 | 988 | 44.4%439 W · 549 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 27c | 2,103$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561.48 | 437 | 48.3%211 W · 226 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked No | 64c | 2,000$1,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720 | 93 | 36.6%34 W · 59 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 34c | 1,313$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.53 | 334 | 44%147 W · 187 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 69c | 1,094$753 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.93 | 69 | 69.6%48 W · 21 L | +7.3wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…9e66backed No | 76c | 914.5$691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.68 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9086…4d46backed Yes | 24c | 833.33$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc630…fbe4backed Yes | 32c | 743.75$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Yes | 28c | 714.29$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 95 | 50.5%48 W · 47 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…9874backed Yes | 27c | 691.65$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 73c | 622.37$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.75 | 300 | 55.3%166 W · 134 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ad…fabcbacked No | 66c | 603.46$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.46 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +2.8wins | +0.16per pick | 60cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 72c | 600$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 110 | 63.6%70 W · 40 L | +9.2wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 77c | 501.88$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.96 | 228 | 52.2%119 W · 109 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 31c | 440.22$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.45 | 148 | 43.9%65 W · 83 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x064e…4347backed No | 64c | 430.09$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.83 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…e74abacked Yes | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e69…200ebacked No | 64c | 334.91$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.57 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x998f…75d1backed Yes | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.38per pick | 63cpaid | -61.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf3…f535backed No | 64c | 299.94$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.98 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe889…d0c3backed Yes | 25c | 280$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | -5.3wins | -0.23per pick | 36cpaid | -64.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe1c3…7d73backed No | 74c | 270.27$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.27 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Yes | 23c | 228.7$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed No | 73c | 199.99$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 71 | 62%44 W · 27 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked No | 64c | 199.97$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.99 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54ee…1943backed No | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf836…e7b5backed No | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.24per pick | 47cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d67…cf38backed No | 73c | 106$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.62 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9678…b4bfbacked Yes | 25c | 104$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 13cpaid | +105.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5944…bd5bbacked Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 75 | 36%27 W · 48 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe9eb…272dbacked Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | -6.3wins | -0.29per pick | 42cpaid | -72.6%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xce70…0be2backed No | 64c | 99.97$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.99 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +52.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 67c | 95.28$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.05 | 168 | 65.5%110 W · 58 L | +22.1wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6f7a…6563backed No | 73c | 84$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.68 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac7…597ebacked Yes | 33c | 82.12$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.1 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 28c | 76.09$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.42 | 125 | 32.8%41 W · 84 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x004e…90f8backed Yes | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd094…271bbacked Yes | 29c | 72.97$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.16 | 76 | 31.6%24 W · 52 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed No | 73c | 68$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.36 | 69 | 55.1%38 W · 31 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 27c | 66$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.82 | 139 | 33.8%47 W · 92 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65ea…223fbacked No | 73c | 66$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.82 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc1…8b83backed No | 64c | 65.33$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed Yes | 25c | 65$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.05 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -20%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffa…f2cfbacked Yes | 34c | 62.79$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.33 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 42cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c15…1b4ebacked No | 73c | 62.39$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.85 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba68…39d7backed No | 64c | 59.98$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.59 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e32…f244backed No | 73c | 57$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.39 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.33per pick | 51cpaid | +59%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8304…c51fbacked Yes | 27c | 55.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.93 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e2…52d1backed Yes | 27c | 48.07$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42bf…30f7backed Yes | 31c | 45.01$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e09…8516backed Yes | 27c | 44.04$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 33c | 40.04$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.21 | 478 | 50.8%243 W · 235 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8a9…22c4backed No | 79c | 40$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3f9…c119backed No | 64c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b73…45d9backed No | 64c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +52.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x412f…019dbacked No | 64c | 39.98$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.39 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3801…83ddbacked Yes | 37c | 36.11$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.36 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked No | 63c | 35.95$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 37 | 73%27 W · 10 L | +6.3wins | +0.17per pick | 56cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 37c | 35.95$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 305 | 36.1%110 W · 195 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d44…2f97backed No | 73c | 33.56$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.06 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe92e…535dbacked Yes | 35c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4a0…993dbacked No | 64c | 29.52$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.63 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed No | 68c | 27.94$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.06 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c7c…ca88backed No | 64c | 27.58$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.93 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x828c…fb4cbacked No | 64c | 26.59$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.57 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 73c | 21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.67 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4319…10b3backed No | 75c | 18.91$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2725…7cbcbacked No | 75c | 17.75$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc978…5d4dbacked No | 75c | 17.6$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfa3…b15bbacked No | 75c | 17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23e8…60b1backed No | 74c | 16.82$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.37 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b23…bbb5backed No | 64c | 16.75$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.03 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad68…b97cbacked No | 74c | 16.29$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.29 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 74cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee9b…f85ebacked No | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61cd…d51fbacked No | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef53…f599backed No | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e62…e7a4backed No | 75c | 14.92$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.73 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6096…a0d8backed No | 75c | 14.65$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x669b…f1a8backed No | 74c | 14.09$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa976…8563backed No | 75c | 13.36$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.34 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Perth Glory FC vs. Brisbane Roar FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Brisbane Roar FC win on 2026-01-16?Yes won
- Will Perth Glory FC win on 2026-01-16?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.