TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5cc1…8b83

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
120
Categories scored
17
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: CS2, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 59 out of 100; worst NBA at 39.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 22, 2026, EST3414.7%5 W · 29 L-5.7wins-0.17per pick31cpaid-37.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
NBA — the 34 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Raptors vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$35
Thunder vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$35
Cavaliers vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$35
Pistons vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$35
Pacers vs. Celticsbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$35
Nets vs. Knicksbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$35
Raptors vs. Warriorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+143.9%+$50.37
Heat vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$35
Lakers vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$35
Timberwolves vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+566.7%+$198.33
Clippers vs. Bullsbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$35
Suns vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$35
Heat vs. Warriorsbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$35
Bucks vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$70
Suns vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$35
Pacers vs. 76ersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$35
Mavericks vs. Knicksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+426.3%+$149.21
Jazz vs. Spursbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$35
Clippers vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$35
Thunder vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$35
Pelicans vs. Rocketsbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$35
Lakers vs. Trail Blazersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$35
Thunder vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+354.5%+$124.09
Wizards vs. Nuggetsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$35
Timberwolves vs. Spursbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$35
Showing 25 of 34 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 22, 2026, EST1942.1%8 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Islanders vs. Kraken: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$35
Flyers vs. Utahbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$35
Ducks vs. Avalanchebacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+257.1%+$90
Devils vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$35
Bruins vs. Starsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$35
Sharks vs. Lightningbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$35
Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)backed Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+66.7%+$23.33
Sabres vs. Hurricanes: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+100%+$35
Wild vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$35
Sabres vs. Hurricanesbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$35
Sharks vs. Panthersbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+156.4%+$77.03
Capitals vs. Avalanchebacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$35
Blues vs. Oilers: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+81.8%+$28.64
Kraken vs. Utahbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$37.6
Kraken vs. Utah: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+88.7%+$31.04
Predators vs. Avalanchebacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+257.1%+$90
Sharks vs. Red Wingsbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$67.21
Spread: Red Wings (-1.5)backed Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$35
Panthers vs. Hurricanes: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+72%+$29.48
All 19 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jan 22, 2026, EST1369.2%9 W · 4 L+3.1wins+0.23per pick46cpaid+38.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
CS2 — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs BC.Game Esports (BO3) - IEM Rio: Global Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Team Nemesis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+143.9%+$50.37
Counter-Strike: EYEBALLERS vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - IEM Rio: Global Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Team Nemesis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$20.05
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs K27 (BO3) - IEM Rio: Global Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked K27 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$30.56
Counter-Strike: Ursa vs BC.Game Esports (BO3) - IEM Rio: Global Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Ursa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+149.1%+$20.67
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs BIG Academy (BO3) - IEM Rio: Global Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked BIG Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+233.3%+$43.19
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs BIG Academy - Map 1 Winnerbacked BIG Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+81.8%+$14.48
Counter-Strike: UNiTY esports vs Fingers Crossed (BO3) - European Pro League Series 4 Group Cbacked UNiTY esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$17.77
Counter-Strike: FUT Academy vs Truck Drivers - Map 1 Winnerbacked Truck Drivers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+66.7%+$9.5
Counter-Strike: MASONIC vs NAVI Junior (BO3) - United21 Playoffsbacked MASONIC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+37.2%+$24.5
Counter-Strike: MASONIC vs NAVI Junior - Map 1 Winnerbacked MASONIC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+51.5%+$15.91
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Astralis - Map 1 Winnerbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$12.48
Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs Liquid (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+109%+$73.43
Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5)backed FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+26.4%+$10.57
All 13 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT1361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US forces enter Iran by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
US forces enter Iran by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.65
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
Will any E.U. country strike Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+35.8%+$19.72
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+52.9%+$26.82
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$97.78
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$38.89
Will Trump declare war on Iran by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+25%+$3.55
Will a Gulf State strike Iran by March 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$52.84
US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+33.3%+$8.96
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+81.8%+$45
Will the US next strike Iran on February 27, 2026 (ET)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$26.05
All 13 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jan 21, 2026, EST1050%5 W · 5 L+2.2wins+0.22per pick28cpaid+106.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Champions League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$35
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$35
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-01-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$35
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-01-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+566.7%+$143.65
Villarreal CF vs. AFC Ajax: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+61.3%+$21.45
Real Madrid CF vs. AS Monaco FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+167.5%+$62.59
Will FK Bodø/Glimt vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$19.38
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-01-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+614.3%+$98.04
Will Qairat FK win on 2026-01-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$30.56
Qairat FK vs. Club Brugge KV: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+156.4%+$35.08
All 10 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.19per pick47cpaid-50.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST4100%4 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+49.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
AI — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-38.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Seahawks (-7.5)backed 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$35
49ers vs. Seahawksbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$35
Bills vs. Broncosbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+83.5%+$58.45
All 3 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UCF Knights vs. UCLA Bruinsbacked UCF Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.98
Spread: Louisville Cardinals (-2.5)backed Louisville Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$54.53
Northeastern Huskies vs. Monmouth Hawksbacked Northeastern Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$37.99
All 3 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+135.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+56.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$35
Will Middlesbrough FC win on 2026-01-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+212.5%+$52.04
All 2 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-21.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Holstein Kiel win on 2026-01-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$67.45
Holstein Kiel vs. SC Paderborn 07: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$41.55
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Powell say "Inflation" 50+ times during March press conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$56.89
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Crude Oil (CL) Up or Down on March 18?backed Down · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.73
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.