TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
FURIAof FURIA, 9INE
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$50,654
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$59,173

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,654 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd568…a35abacked FURIA78c12,869$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,868.943351.5%17 W · 16 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed 9INE23c10,260$2,310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,309.7367041.8%280 W · 390 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5836…4d03backed 9INE25c8,000$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0002040%8 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid+11%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6ee…697bbacked FURIA75c7,813$5,860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,953.479861.2%60 W · 38 L+5.5wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+11.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc65c…ea39backed FURIA76c5,994$4,555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,438.4410551.4%54 W · 51 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3926…7e9ebacked 9INE24c4,293$1,027 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,026.942832.1%9 W · 19 L-3.7wins-0.13per pick45cpaid-24.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed 9INE22c4,292$924 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$924.224935.7%89 W · 160 L-14.6wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-15.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked FURIA78c3,000$2,340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66061228.9%177 W · 435 L-9.2wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xed2c…9597backed 9INE23c2,000$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46012150.4%61 W · 60 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-0.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2930…4cf8backed 9INE23c1,555$351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350.9915743.3%68 W · 89 L+0.6wins0.00per pick43cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked 9INE20c1,324$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271.021,71446.7%801 W · 913 L+1.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xabfe…70d3backed 9INE26c1,147$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-17.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4047…7293backed FURIA79c952.3$752 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.9845848.5%222 W · 236 L+12.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed 9INE23c733.93$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.555,83037.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L+79.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x40ce…bf90backed FURIA75c725$544 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.2526054.2%141 W · 119 L-0.9wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9936…1d7dbacked 9INE15c686.19$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.532420.8%5 W · 19 L-2.2wins-0.09per pick30cpaid-40.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x96cb…75cbbacked 9INE22c640$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.820433.8%69 W · 135 L0.0wins0.00per pick34cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x60b4…6313backed FURIA79c576.97$456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.169364.5%60 W · 33 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick68cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe9ea…ee32backed 9INE25c566.8$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.720%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x88e0…e272backed FURIA77c520$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.6933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-54.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e04…28a9backed 9INE19c507.13$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.5236645.4%166 W · 200 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfcf3…f535backed FURIA80c438.92$351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.924447.7%21 W · 23 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+16.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d42…f124backed FURIA77c324$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.5217644.9%79 W · 97 L+9.4wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+9.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x313d…6f98backed FURIA77c259.74$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.7430062.3%187 W · 113 L-7.6wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x74ef…1ac6backed FURIA77c259.74$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.7426360.8%160 W · 103 L-13.4wins-0.05per pick66cpaid-9.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe21a…88edbacked FURIA79c228.47$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.98366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick62cpaid-9.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x7645…3117backed FURIA66c211.76$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7271645.9%329 W · 387 L-3.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f57…3e7abacked 9INE24c210.92$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.6265662.3%409 W · 247 L+27.8wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc391…6cc8backed 9INE20c199.99$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405048%24 W · 26 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99fe…b61cbacked 9INE12c146.42$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.5748242.1%203 W · 279 L-13.5wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed 9INE21c142.19$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.6115347.1%72 W · 81 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x725f…cea7backed 9INE21c140.44$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.491546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1db3…ada1backed 9INE13c120$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.93743.2%16 W · 21 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6fe9…9c50backed FURIA72c100$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2818657%106 W · 80 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e10…28d3backed FURIA77c79.29$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.241258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick66cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f3e…f77fbacked FURIA77c77.84$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.9757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3cf0…e384backed 9INE22c68.18$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1533153.5%177 W · 154 L-0.7wins0.00per pick54cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd084…27eabacked FURIA80c62.46$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.494546.7%21 W · 24 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x412f…019dbacked FURIA80c58.65$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.861250%6 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-12.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5cc1…8b83backed FURIA79c50.62$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.571369.2%9 W · 4 L+3.1wins+0.23per pick46cpaid+38.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xfc8f…3782backed FURIA78c35.42$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.9329128.5%83 W · 208 L-30.2wins-0.10per pick39cpaid-38.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xb4a0…993dbacked FURIA79c33.55$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.965347.2%25 W · 28 L+3.6wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+13.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5be2…8fa3backed FURIA75c33.33$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.3321762.7%136 W · 81 L-8.9wins-0.04per pick67cpaid-4.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x828c…fb4cbacked FURIA80c31.52$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.313237.5%12 W · 20 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-18.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x40ba…7ea5backed FURIA77c29.99$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.942057.6%242 W · 178 L+19.3wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+6.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc635…2d43backed FURIA74c27.01$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.02560%3 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick65cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc427…ee41backed FURIA74c27$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.02650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-27.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f1a…c5ebbacked FURIA77c25.97$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.975655.4%31 W · 25 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-10.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x425f…0f7abacked FURIA77c25.97$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.9711747%55 W · 62 L-7.3wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-15.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1b23…bbb5backed FURIA80c24.09$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.82875%6 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x74a0…1be2backed FURIA80c23.75$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.758374.7%62 W · 21 L+9.7wins+0.12per pick63cpaid+28.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x050d…9c51backed FURIA77c20.01$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.61464.3%9 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick69cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xef53…f599backed FURIA80c18.82$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.83560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa5d6…532cbacked FURIA79c13$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.733663.9%23 W · 13 L+4.6wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+39.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.