TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x050d…9c51

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
56
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Middle East, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 53 out of 100; worst NHL at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1752.9%9 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick59cpaid-16.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Roland Garros WTA: Diana Shnaider vs Oleksandra Oliynykovabacked Oleksandra Oliynykova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$460Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$459.77
Roland Garros ATP: Luca Van Assche vs Brandon Nakashimabacked Luca Van Assche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$529Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$529.15
Roland Garros ATP: Zachary Svajda vs Adam Waltonbacked Adam Walton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$826Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$825.77
Geneva Open: Alexei Popyrin vs Clement Taburbacked Alexei Popyrin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$581Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+41.2%+$239.37
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Casper Ruud vs Luciano Darderibacked Luciano Darderi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Iga Swiatek vs Elina Svitolinabacked Elina Svitolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$4.51
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Martin Landaluce vs Daniil Medvedevbacked Daniil Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+37%+$5.55
Set Handicap: Gauff (-1.5) vs Cirstea (+1.5)backed Cirstea · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Valencia: Leandro Riedi vs Miomir Kecmanovicbacked Leandro Riedi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Dalibor Svrcina vs Miomir Kecmanovicbacked Miomir Kecmanovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$9.95
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Karolina Pliskova vs Jessica Bouzas Maneirobacked Karolina Pliskova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$8.67
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Dalma Galfi vs Anastasia Potapovabacked Anastasia Potapova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$5.88
Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Rinky Hijikata vs Nikoloz Basilashvilibacked Nikoloz Basilashvili · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$704Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$469.6
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Fabian Marozsan vs Hubert Hurkaczbacked Fabian Marozsan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,155Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,155
Miami Open: Magda Linette vs Varvara Grachevabacked Magda Linette · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$918Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$814.38
Brisbane International: Cameron Norrie vs Aleksandar Kovacevicbacked Norrie · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Hong Kong Tennis Open: Andrey Rublev vs Yibing Wubacked Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+61.3%+$6.74
All 17 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1464.3%9 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick69cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Aurora make a roster change before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will PARIVISION make a roster change before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$4.57
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,843Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$519.82
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,716Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+37%+$634.62
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs NRG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,061Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$499.1
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Gentle Mates (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stagebacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$6.57
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs magic (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stagebacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$6.32
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs paiN - Map 1 Winnerbacked paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$13.68
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Monte (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,588Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+47.1%+$747.51
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Astralis (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Astralis (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Abacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Astralis (+1.5)backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+49.4%+$7.96
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs PARIVISION (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Abacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,154Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$1,154.47
Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5)backed FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+29.9%+$4.6
All 14 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Sep 28, 2024, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick71cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved May 29, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick69cpaid-13.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 5, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-49.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Celtics vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$304Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$303.81
Cavaliers vs. Pacersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$899Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+51.5%+$463.08
Jazz vs. Warriorsbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$105.6
All 3 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 26, 2025, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
NFL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Broncos vs. Chiefsbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$149.6
Buccaneers vs. Panthersbacked Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,003Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$1,002.99
Bears vs. Ravensbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$12
All 3 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+55.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+85.2%+$9.37
Israel military action against Iran by end of 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$302Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2024, EDT+26.6%+$80.21
All 2 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick74cpaid-27.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.57per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ducks vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$737Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$736.6
Canadiens vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,007Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$1,006.5
All 2 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Oct 3, 2024, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Eigenlayer airdrop by September 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2024, EDT+100%+$33.13
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$9.48
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 6, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Maduro mugshot released by Monday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+40.8%+$6.54
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 6, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Troy vs. James Madisonbacked Troy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$70
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Dec 13, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will PSV win on 2025-12-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$108
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs FULL SENSE (BO3) - VCT Pacific Kickoff Playoffsbacked FULL SENSE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$15.12
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.