TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Roland Garros ATP: Zachary Svajda vs Adam Walton

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Zachary Svajdaof Zachary Svajda, Adam Walton
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$361,177
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$387,287

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $361,177 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 254 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdd9d…b730backed Adam Walton47c49,511$23,270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,270.214553.3%24 W · 21 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9367…f6bebacked Adam Walton12c38,194$4,409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,408.554623.9%11 W · 35 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick21cpaid-12.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84cb…28adbacked Adam Walton48c20,833$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,00010444.2%46 W · 58 L-7.4wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-17.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe524…d34fbacked Zachary Svajda53c17,224$9,129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,095.1121743.8%95 W · 122 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x63a4…0091backed Zachary Svajda52c16,706$8,687 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,018.696747.8%32 W · 35 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid+4.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Zachary Svajda53c9,826$5,208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,618.221,65849.9%828 W · 830 L+7.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1467…4372backed Zachary Svajda54c9,259$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,259.268060%48 W · 32 L+5.1wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+10.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Adam Walton18c8,621$1,546 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,546.038,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x27b0…fc67backed Adam Walton24c6,010$1,421 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,420.7931234.6%108 W · 204 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d8a…5201backed Adam Walton25c5,000$1,269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,269.131,42128.6%407 W · 1,014 L+4.5wins0.00per pick28cpaid-8.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc181…0992backed Adam Walton46c5,000$2,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,30065651.8%340 W · 316 L-0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed Zachary Svajda61c4,668$2,835 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,832.323,60542.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L-43.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4748…9666backed Adam Walton48c4,440$2,110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,11048440.3%195 W · 289 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe7a2…ae70backed Zachary Svajda53c4,380$2,321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,058.615952.2%83 W · 76 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56ce…590abacked Zachary Svajda53c4,001$2,121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,880.496041.7%25 W · 35 L-3.3wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-15.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x42c9…9623backed Adam Walton45c3,825$1,720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,719.854,70349.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L+166.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc181…6e97backed Zachary Svajda53c3,717$1,970 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,746.9815845.6%72 W · 86 L-12.6wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-17.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked Zachary Svajda53c3,585$1,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,684.7347552.4%249 W · 226 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x66b1…340fbacked Zachary Svajda52c3,500$1,820 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,6801,15844.4%514 W · 644 L+2.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x433c…81eabacked Adam Walton37c3,382$1,252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,251.519458.5%55 W · 39 L+11.3wins+0.12per pick47cpaid+19.1%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed Adam Walton47c3,031$1,412 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,411.5968935%241 W · 448 L+9.1wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x58b3…653cbacked Adam Walton19c3,000$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57045036%162 W · 288 L+12.1wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+14.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa4f9…9419backed Adam Walton9c2,500$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22030827.6%85 W · 223 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16db…8d0fbacked Adam Walton23c2,183$502 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502.0716552.7%87 W · 78 L+8.2wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+10.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Zachary Svajda53c2,109$1,118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$991.23,25648.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L-53.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Zachary Svajda52c2,063$1,083 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$980.8157842.4%245 W · 333 L+9.5wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+12.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc149…dc81backed Adam Walton29c1,909$549 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$549.031838.9%7 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+65.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x19c6…c063backed Zachary Svajda53c1,887$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$886.791323.1%3 W · 10 L-1.6wins-0.12per pick35cpaid-43.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Zachary Svajda78c1,862$1,458 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$404.15,35056.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L+228.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Zachary Svajda80c1,857$1,480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$376.8411,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf39…3394backed Adam Walton47c1,833$862 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$861.5133462.6%209 W · 125 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+8.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa42f…5f5abacked Adam Walton18c1,798$319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$319.321,01039.2%396 W · 614 L-23.0wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-25.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d23…2ab1backed Zachary Svajda53c1,765$936 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$829.69250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x050d…9c51backed Adam Walton48c1,733$826 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$825.771752.9%9 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick59cpaid-16.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x48ee…0db4backed Zachary Svajda54c1,677$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$777.1554547.9%261 W · 284 L+11.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Zachary Svajda68c1,627$1,113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$514.284,53367.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L+306.6wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x7750…a3f3backed Adam Walton18c1,565$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281.7711215.2%17 W · 95 L-6.9wins-0.06per pick21cpaid-18.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa6c3…55a3backed Adam Walton26c1,500$385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38514835.8%53 W · 95 L-10.4wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-28.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdc0c…218abacked Adam Walton18c1,500$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27054138.1%206 W · 335 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Adam Walton46c1,381$635 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$635.192,17436.9%802 W · 1,372 L+39.5wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x521c…f4aabacked Zachary Svajda53c1,132$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$532.0836848.4%178 W · 190 L-9.4wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf12f…b30fbacked Zachary Svajda53c1,132$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$532.0870041.1%288 W · 412 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe167…03a1backed Zachary Svajda63c1,127$707 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$419.7831647.8%151 W · 165 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Zachary Svajda53c1,072$563 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$508.451,95943.7%857 W · 1,102 L-20.9wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Zachary Svajda53c1,050$557 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$493.553843.5%234 W · 304 L+9.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+17.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed Zachary Svajda53c1,038$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$487.731,86544.7%834 W · 1,031 L+36.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3ec3…e330backed Adam Walton10c1,014$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9943347.3%205 W · 228 L-0.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x698b…4426backed Zachary Svajda52c1,011$526 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$485.1672452.6%381 W · 343 L+34.5wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+7.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Zachary Svajda54c1,000$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4602751.9%14 W · 13 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Adam Walton46c1,000$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$460.071,51037.7%569 W · 941 L+24.5wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Zachary Svajda53c991$525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$465.777,72447.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L+41.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Zachary Svajda54c925.93$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$425.931,61550.6%817 W · 798 L-17.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a00…9158backed Adam Walton11c923$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.3378840.6%320 W · 468 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb74…1a99backed Adam Walton6c899.99$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$549630.2%29 W · 67 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick27cpaid+16.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xab4e…c4a0backed Zachary Svajda56c892.86$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$392.8610339.8%41 W · 62 L+4.6wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+34.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Adam Walton49c878.19$434 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$434.1165952.5%346 W · 313 L+27.0wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+0.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9ec2…bd08backed Adam Walton33c869.86$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.191,36338.3%522 W · 841 L+8.5wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe601…84ecbacked Adam Walton47c762.11$358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$358.195761.4%35 W · 22 L+5.6wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Adam Walton46c746.72$343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$343.4978536.1%283 W · 502 L+36.6wins+0.05per pick31cpaid+15.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe391…eea1backed Adam Walton24c727.14$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.617647.2%83 W · 93 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Adam Walton7c720$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.456827.3%155 W · 413 L+23.1wins+0.04per pick23cpaid+25%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked Zachary Svajda79c702.98$557 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.8599244.7%443 W · 549 L-29.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-25.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Zachary Svajda52c681.55$354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$327.1487251.1%446 W · 426 L+8.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked Zachary Svajda53c660.37$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$310.371,86545.6%851 W · 1,014 L+50.3wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7055…9717backed Adam Walton46c654$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.8422252.3%116 W · 106 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdeff…78f8backed Zachary Svajda54c643.5$347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$296.7443647.2%206 W · 230 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+53.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcbef…0c11backed Zachary Svajda78c641.03$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.0368157.6%392 W · 289 L-12.1wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1621…572cbacked Zachary Svajda58c603.45$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.4547252.1%246 W · 226 L+1.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x28e0…2e6bbacked Zachary Svajda52c600$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28851744.7%231 W · 286 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60a3…3850backed Adam Walton17c590.63$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.2485624.4%209 W · 647 L-9.7wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-25.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x85c6…367dbacked Adam Walton20c501$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007618.4%14 W · 62 L-8.9wins-0.12per pick30cpaid-33.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x64ae…ead9backed Adam Walton45c486.35$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22060641.6%252 W · 354 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9644…d03bbacked Zachary Svajda52c477$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.637047%174 W · 196 L-18.2wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-9.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf0bc…9ae5backed Adam Walton8c466.76$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36540%2 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-26%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x058e…a2acbacked Zachary Svajda54c460$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.632851.8%170 W · 158 L+1.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadaf…aefdbacked Adam Walton33c457.96$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.8246040%184 W · 276 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+7.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1af…c4d1backed Zachary Svajda53c416$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.528045%36 W · 44 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+63.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed Adam Walton13c400$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$521,22841.1%505 W · 723 L+1.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Zachary Svajda71c396.97$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.129,28644.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L-245.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2688…9197backed Zachary Svajda53c396.91$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.5533558.5%196 W · 139 L+17.6wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+12%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed Zachary Svajda53c389.82$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.8852844.7%236 W · 292 L+30.8wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+6.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x21b5…1db6backed Zachary Svajda78c384.6$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.6128562.8%179 W · 106 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Zachary Svajda75c382.46$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.221,02843.3%445 W · 583 L-24.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Zachary Svajda53c380.7$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.931,42155%782 W · 639 L+23.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x82c0…02fdbacked Adam Walton8c375$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3014613.7%20 W · 126 L-10.0wins-0.07per pick21cpaid-23.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x226b…bb68backed Adam Walton8c354.91$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271921.1%4 W · 15 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick25cpaid-34.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ba7…67a1backed Adam Walton7c353.57$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.7565942.2%278 W · 381 L-25.3wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-7.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8a47…3b21backed Zachary Svajda54c352$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.9211952.1%62 W · 57 L+5.9wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+24.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x67be…6e09backed Zachary Svajda61c350$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.548941.1%201 W · 288 L-0.4wins0.00per pick41cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2903…9203backed Adam Walton42c347.54$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.971,07660.4%650 W · 426 L+24.2wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ef4…fd7ebacked Zachary Svajda80c322.68$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.572759.3%16 W · 11 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick54cpaid-6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x20b4…bfa2backed Adam Walton18c322.22$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5833540.9%137 W · 198 L+0.6wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4575…3a3fbacked Adam Walton16c317.74$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.8421351.6%110 W · 103 L-7.2wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-9.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc52…dfcebacked Zachary Svajda53c289.99$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.36541.5%27 W · 38 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Adam Walton46c286.33$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.7168951.1%352 W · 337 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x74bd…d371backed Zachary Svajda53c286$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.4242125.7%108 W · 313 L-0.4wins0.00per pick26cpaid+9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f7a…0f82backed Zachary Svajda53c270$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.923247%109 W · 123 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x528f…2101backed Adam Walton9c267.99$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.121,02650%513 W · 513 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-8.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x17be…e5b4backed Zachary Svajda79c267.33$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.146749.3%33 W · 34 L-5.6wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-6.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Zachary Svajda54c260.06$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.6385348.7%415 W · 438 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.