TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x3ec3…e330

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
435
Categories scored
5
Categories below 50
0

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 54 out of 100; worst Tennis at 50.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennislast resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT42747.8%204 W · 223 L+1.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 427 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Augsburg: Kai Wehnelt vs Nick Hardtbacked Kai Wehnelt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+203%+$186.42
ITF W15 Tianjin 4 Women: Polina Kuharenko vs Cherry Kimbacked Polina Kuharenko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$90.4
ITF M25 Taipei 2 Men: Noritaka Koizumi vs Kristjan Tammbacked Noritaka Koizumi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$114.61
Monterrey Open: Janice Tjen vs Dayana Yastremskabacked Janice Tjen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+122.8%+$118.97
Set 1 Winner: Safiullin vs Grenierbacked Safiullin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$92.82
US Open, Qualification WTA: Carson Branstine vs Clervie Ngounouebacked Clervie Ngounoue · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$92.38
Winston-Salem Open: Sebastian Gorzny vs Cruz Hewittbacked Cruz Hewitt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+132.4%+$128.61
Set 1 Winner: Andreeva vs Bolkvadzebacked Andreeva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$92.76
Augsburg: Sandro Kopp vs Eduardo Ribeirobacked Eduardo Ribeiro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$76.53
Roehampton 2: Inaki Montes-De La Torre vs Oskari Paldaniusbacked Oskari Paldanius · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$155Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$154.9
Roehampton 2: Radu Albot vs Leonardo Rossibacked Radu Albot · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$81.88
Monterrey Open: Mayar Sherif vs Oleksandra Oliynykovabacked Oleksandra Oliynykova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$127Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$108.22
Monterrey Open: Lilli Tagger vs Yulia Starodubtsevabacked Yulia Starodubtseva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+88.8%+$64.53
Monterrey Open, Qualification: Maya Joint vs Yulia Putintsevabacked Maya Joint · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+108.6%+$39.16
Winston-Salem Open: Pablo Carreno Busta vs Adolfo Vallejobacked Pablo Carreno Busta · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.32
Winston-Salem Open: Martin Landaluce vs Mattia Belluccibacked Mattia Bellucci · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+39%+$14.6
Winston-Salem Open: Francisco Comesana vs Yibing Wubacked Yibing Wu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$376Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$375.83
Philadelphia: Anastasia Zakharova vs Anna Blinkovabacked Anna Blinkova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$641Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$641.36
Winston-Salem Open, Qualification: Pierre-Hugues Herbert vs Quinn Vandecasteelebacked Quinn Vandecasteele · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$401Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+92.4%+$370.16
Set 1 Winner: Herbert vs Vandecasteelebacked Herbert · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$245Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$209.08
Augsburg: Mika Petkovic vs Federico Iannacconebacked Mika Petkovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$552Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$551.77
Augsburg: Matthew William Donald vs Giorgio Tabaccobacked Matthew William Donald · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$462Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+66.8%+$308.4
ITF W35 Erwitte Women: Josy Daems vs Valentina Steinerbacked Valentina Steiner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$435Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+94.6%+$411.55
ITF M15 Maanshan 7 Men: Kokoro Isomura vs M Rifqi Fitriadibacked Kokoro Isomura · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$288Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$287.96
ITF W15 Tianjin 3 Women: Rinko Matsuda vs Meng Yi Chenbacked Meng Yi Chen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$390Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$389.89
Showing 25 of 427 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+50.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+77.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-1.5)backed Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$278Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$185.32
Washington Nationals vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+88.9%+$86.58
All 2 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$190.38
Spread: Knicks (-14.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$176.05
All 2 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 21, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Minnesota Lynx vs. Seattle Stormbacked Minnesota Lynx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+100%+$20.46
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.