TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Ecuador vs. Curaçao: Both Teams to Score

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$350,257
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$345,715

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $350,257 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 405 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed No71c47,855$34,052 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,802.694,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9eaf…a3a1backed No63c40,775$25,688 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,086.883930.8%12 W · 27 L-4.7wins-0.12per pick43cpaid-35%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No64c36,624$23,478 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,145.63,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes34c28,847$9,686 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,686.068,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe7a2…ae70backed Yes36c20,000$7,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,199.898932.6%29 W · 60 L-10.7wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-30.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x0e3a…55babacked Yes35c11,534$4,006 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,006.4615044%66 W · 84 L-8.8wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-18.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x56c9…afe7backed Yes31c9,677$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0001936.8%7 W · 12 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-25.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f42…8bbcbacked Yes31c8,975$2,825 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,82545428%127 W · 327 L-2.0wins0.00per pick28cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21e8…b85ebacked Yes37c8,919$3,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,3006550.8%33 W · 32 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9b5d…7501backed Yes37c8,894$3,291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,290.888160.5%49 W · 32 L+6.0wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+11.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Yes33c7,990$2,617 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,616.831,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked No69c6,613$4,552 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,061.192,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb2fe…7558backed Yes36c6,000$2,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,159.98933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-36.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes33c5,541$1,851 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,851.113,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes36c5,000$1,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,799.9874447.8%356 W · 388 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x725b…8016backed No64c5,000$3,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,799.953345.5%15 W · 18 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No66c4,935$3,247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,688.192,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes28c4,591$1,280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,280.191,22443.4%531 W · 693 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed No68c3,872$2,633 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,239.081,04443.7%456 W · 588 L+20.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xafd4…7e61backed No63c3,500$2,210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,289.983551.4%18 W · 17 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+15.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c25…c3bebacked No68c3,169$2,155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,014.1270648.2%340 W · 366 L+0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x11a7…2c03backed Yes35c2,857$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0005550.9%28 W · 27 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-12.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes37c2,500$925 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92530431.3%95 W · 209 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No70c2,359$1,647 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$711.582,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Yes16c2,271$357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$357.461,71135.2%603 W · 1,108 L-68.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3cf6…0cbdbacked Yes36c2,000$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72013543%58 W · 77 L-8.5wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-12.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5e39…352cbacked No67c2,000$1,340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$659.9764443.3%279 W · 365 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf79c…cb96backed No67c1,999$1,333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$665.7692038.5%354 W · 566 L-21.8wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf5d3…e1dfbacked No64c1,953$1,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$703.138354.2%45 W · 38 L+0.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Yes23c1,946$443 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$443.092,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked No66c1,680$1,105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$575.41,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e77…a6bdbacked Yes32c1,563$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5003237.5%12 W · 20 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-26%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc670…b781backed No67c1,534$1,031 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$502.9252744.4%234 W · 293 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x58a8…a3c7backed Yes11c1,508$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.995158.8%30 W · 21 L+5.9wins+0.12per pick47cpaid+27.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8dee…412bbacked Yes37c1,500$555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55589443.4%388 W · 506 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc08a…92a4backed Yes35c1,429$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5009420.2%19 W · 75 L-0.2wins0.00per pick20cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x83ab…8174backed Yes37c1,378$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5105226.9%14 W · 38 L-4.6wins-0.09per pick36cpaid-23.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe823…2a61backed Yes37c1,360$503 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503.313324.2%8 W · 25 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-45.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a0f…1305backed No63c1,221$769 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$451.7712047.5%57 W · 63 L-5.2wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-12.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf7e8…7953backed Yes34c1,184$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40030142.5%128 W · 173 L-1.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes36c1,142$416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$415.934,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc419…a8b0backed Yes36c1,111$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4002751.9%14 W · 13 L+3.2wins+0.12per pick40cpaid+6.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Yes36c1,100$396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39635036.3%127 W · 223 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x45d1…83dabacked Yes37c1,081$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40014637.7%55 W · 91 L-6.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf070…57b8backed Yes37c1,046$387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38710331.1%32 W · 71 L-4.7wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-11.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1065…6218backed Yes31c1,031$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323.5524950.2%125 W · 124 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes33c1,013$334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$334.41,56339.8%622 W · 941 L-51.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb866…977fbacked No62c1,000$620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3806640.9%27 W · 39 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-14.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa664…f849backed No69c1,000$690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31023729.1%69 W · 168 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe214…c5cebacked Yes35c999.99$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349.9922437.1%83 W · 141 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed No63c999.96$630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.9933149.5%164 W · 167 L+9.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7b5e…4e0cbacked Yes32c937.5$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30024344.4%108 W · 135 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+14.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x014c…38ccbacked Yes32c928.64$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30028646.2%132 W · 154 L+7.7wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3324…3b4cbacked Yes4c860.22$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.7311422.8%26 W · 88 L+11.4wins+0.10per pick13cpaid+19.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8837…ebd1backed Yes32c826.59$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.512240.9%9 W · 13 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick34cpaid+49%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe4cb…a366backed Yes36c816.17$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.913337.6%50 W · 83 L-9.0wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-18.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No69c801.85$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.011,94542.7%831 W · 1,114 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x330b…69f1backed Yes32c781.25$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25012159.5%72 W · 49 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e59…2a66backed Yes19c778.71$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.871,06331.7%337 W · 726 L-33.7wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-17.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x542b…8b2ebacked No68c760.9$517 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.491637.5%6 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-45.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3752…2f08backed No62c709.93$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.7719750.3%99 W · 98 L-1.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd6f…1765backed Yes37c706.41$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.4111946.2%55 W · 64 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed No64c703.13$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.1347235%165 W · 307 L-10.8wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Yes36c686.02$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.241,38040.2%555 W · 825 L-51.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6c12…748fbacked Yes31c681.98$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.5432422.5%73 W · 251 L-8.5wins-0.03per pick25cpaid+8.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6f6e…2ecabacked Yes22c681.82$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1504042.5%17 W · 23 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-8.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x00c8…9ccdbacked Yes36c680.66$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.981,01931.6%322 W · 697 L-10.2wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd330…f233backed Yes36c653.76$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.911258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+52.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6128…b632backed Yes31c648.39$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2013129%9 W · 22 L-2.6wins-0.09per pick38cpaid-36.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5638…89afbacked Yes31c645.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-17.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Yes36c633.75$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.221,43840.1%576 W · 862 L-40.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-24.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8aa6…f015backed Yes37c632.54$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.042263.6%14 W · 8 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+13.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5c8f…d581backed Yes6c627.38$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.0518926.5%50 W · 139 L+6.8wins+0.04per pick23cpaid-9.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xad84…1897backed Yes32c625$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20014243.7%62 W · 80 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd004…d54abacked Yes32c625$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20024347.7%116 W · 127 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c75…65ccbacked Yes32c602.81$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.91457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+16.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x53a1…76b7backed Yes32c589.34$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.595425.9%14 W · 40 L-3.8wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-36.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xeb2e…7821backed No66c519.97$344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.31,42147.8%679 W · 742 L-0.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x613a…2185backed Yes16c515$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.0346230.1%139 W · 323 L-13.8wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-17.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe65e…b719backed Yes37c509.63$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.5617040%68 W · 102 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-15.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x099e…b3c1backed Yes10c500.6$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010339.8%41 W · 62 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick38cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x49f7…4871backed Yes36c500$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18016335%57 W · 106 L-9.1wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-16.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa2c3…ac23backed No69c499.98$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.9995739.5%378 W · 579 L-18.4wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e0a…b9ccbacked Yes33c499.98$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.9919850.5%100 W · 98 L+10.7wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-0.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9c8c…e7e5backed Yes37c472.97$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17510032%32 W · 68 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc23…8283backed Yes33c454.55$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1505435.2%19 W · 35 L-7.0wins-0.13per pick48cpaid-32.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Yes36c449.99$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.121,35438.9%527 W · 827 L-55.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-25.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8640…cdf1backed Yes37c445.95$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16511135.1%39 W · 72 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc362…3d85backed No64c443.94$284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.825135.3%18 W · 33 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick40cpaid+46.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0195…1e21backed Yes34c441.18$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15044144%194 W · 247 L-0.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa78d…130bbacked Yes37c436.5$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.73751.4%19 W · 18 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+10.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e0d…c3fbbacked Yes37c434.68$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16010132.7%33 W · 68 L-6.6wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-25.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x32e3…3a5cbacked Yes36c431.97$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.4411854.2%64 W · 54 L+5.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5088…cfc5backed Yes35c428.57$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15015440.3%62 W · 92 L+11.9wins+0.08per pick33cpaid+14.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5b45…362bbacked Yes8c418.59$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.4998134.8%341 W · 640 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-13.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f1d…8de2backed No65c412.18$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.261,13540.2%456 W · 679 L+5.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ca3…9613backed No62c403.23$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.2315257.9%88 W · 64 L-9.8wins-0.06per pick64cpaid-11%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2f63…f247backed No78c400$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8812325.2%31 W · 92 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick23cpaid+20.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4dc4…306fbacked Yes35c391.55$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.0410939.4%43 W · 66 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb417…6d8fbacked No66c378.79$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.797342.5%31 W · 42 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 34 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.