TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Ecuador vs. Curaçao: 1st Half O/U 0.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$195,096
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$203,834

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $195,096 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 155 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2005…75eabacked Over29c27,630$7,977 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,977.243,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under54c20,462$11,006 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,456.074,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdf80…3259backed Over56c15,083$8,472 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,471.559742.3%41 W · 56 L-0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid+94.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10a6…4d8bbacked Under56c9,402$5,305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,096.5964446.4%299 W · 345 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3dfb…abafbacked Under55c8,105$4,458 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,647.4442345.6%193 W · 230 L+10.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfec6…b86cbacked Under54c6,598$3,558 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,040.4837650.8%191 W · 185 L-12.2wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over6c6,415$371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$371.183,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x47d9…54b7backed Under75c4,999$3,773 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,226.3825942.1%109 W · 150 L-0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid-14.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under22c4,589$1,010 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,579.2874447.8%356 W · 388 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x40b9…a596backed Under77c4,241$3,260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$980.8720150.7%102 W · 99 L+11.3wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+18.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xec59…bb35backed Over47c4,000$1,885 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,884.9643248.4%209 W · 223 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b10…acabbacked Under79c3,700$2,911 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$789.2516357.1%93 W · 70 L+11.0wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+18.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd0e6…9b21backed Over42c3,419$1,419 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,419.0625339.5%100 W · 153 L+8.5wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe70…ffc1backed Under44c3,393$1,506 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,886.599233.7%31 W · 61 L-8.7wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-31.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0563…f41cbacked Under53c2,752$1,470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,281.7315040%60 W · 90 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb06f…884cbacked Under45c2,468$1,101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,367.1525049.2%123 W · 127 L-13.1wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-19.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc368…a3c4backed Under41c2,439$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,439.0216953.3%90 W · 79 L+8.4wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3f0f…0e48backed Over3c2,375$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7539933.1%132 W · 267 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-20.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed Under31c2,183$687 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,495.5829740.1%119 W · 178 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed Over47c2,089$982 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$981.8638526.8%103 W · 282 L-9.1wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb41a…0a9bbacked Under44c2,045$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,145.457047.1%33 W · 37 L+5.4wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+55.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xfa69…02c1backed Under50c1,942$974 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$968.2743737.8%165 W · 272 L-0.9wins0.00per pick38cpaid-16.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa700…102bbacked Under34c1,887$637 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,249.8551514.2%73 W · 442 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick13cpaid+9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e39…352cbacked Under22c1,881$414 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,467.5264443.3%279 W · 365 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e78…067ebacked Under78c1,803$1,414 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$389.1136235.9%130 W · 232 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd966…8136backed Over20c1,752$357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$357.0334924.4%85 W · 264 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick23cpaid-13.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Over78c1,717$1,338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,337.932,17138.2%829 W · 1,342 L-36.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x26fb…67b8backed Over67c1,715$1,157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,156.6229558.3%172 W · 123 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x15e9…26bebacked Over50c1,500$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7508052.5%42 W · 38 L+4.2wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf5a8…9643backed Over75c1,500$1,125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,124.6812040%48 W · 72 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under22c1,499$334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,165.222,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3baf…7d44backed Over52c1,366$715 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$714.9127032.2%87 W · 183 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x02c6…b27bbacked Under52c1,335$689 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$645.9619649.5%97 W · 99 L-10.0wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-18.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Over69c1,196$825 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$825.0233149.5%164 W · 167 L+9.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1dcd…0320backed Under23c1,174$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$903.912520%5 W · 20 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick17cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Over54c1,095$586 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$586.121,43840.1%576 W · 862 L-40.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-24.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd3d4…59dbbacked Over77c1,000$770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77018449.5%91 W · 93 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x08cc…67babacked Over5c999.99$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50529.6%5 W · 47 L-0.1wins0.00per pick10cpaid-19.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b7c…4cbfbacked Over56c999.99$555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$554.9911042.7%47 W · 63 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd994…ea91backed Over37c950$349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34930%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x374e…87c9backed Under46c872.42$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$472.4218550.3%93 W · 92 L+12.5wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+26.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x67d3…cbb9backed Over77c814.27$629 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$629.192661.5%16 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick63cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Over55c770.78$427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$427.251,38040.2%555 W · 825 L-51.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9eb2…abdfbacked Over52c762.85$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4009348.4%45 W · 48 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Over62c759.45$473 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$472.841,35438.9%527 W · 827 L-55.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-25.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over60c746.93$451 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$450.988,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x92eb…9fcdbacked Under36c692.19$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44319738.1%75 W · 122 L+8.8wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+57.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x20ca…8f0dbacked Over77c670.88$517 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$516.5812635.7%45 W · 81 L-11.5wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-26.5%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x3a23…0f72backed Over53c650$342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34212241.8%51 W · 71 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-13%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf779…65cfbacked Over78c642.56$501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501.2475%3 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick69cpaid+17.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0009…5497backed Under33c605.96$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$406.4669744.9%313 W · 384 L+18.6wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over22c599.15$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.741,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Under66c586.04$386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.522,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe9e7…4697backed Under34c560$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.623440.2%94 W · 140 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over61c556.3$337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$336.824,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked Under31c552.45$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$381.1961750.6%312 W · 305 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x69c0…30f9backed Over44c548.22$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24012343.9%54 W · 69 L-7.1wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-14.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0852…655cbacked Under55c545.43$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.4453629.9%160 W · 376 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick28cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Over35c519.5$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.1947744.2%211 W · 266 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe1e…7ee3backed Under76c500$382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.3516165.8%106 W · 55 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e61…0e06backed Over53c500$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26533120.8%69 W · 262 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick22cpaid-26.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x98f2…65dcbacked Over60c500$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30027655.1%152 W · 124 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa2c3…ac23backed Under22c499.93$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$389.9495739.5%378 W · 579 L-18.4wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over7c490.54$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.672,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ec5…fd53backed Under33c461.34$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$309.0944539.6%176 W · 269 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7705…a442backed Under23c440$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338.812535.2%44 W · 81 L-0.6wins0.00per pick36cpaid-18.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe301…8654backed Under33c438.88$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$296.1644130.8%136 W · 305 L-11.6wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-29.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3fdb…7da4backed Over65c434.03$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2802025%5 W · 15 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-13%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe555…a91dbacked Over28c399.99$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x197c…b89abacked Over67c375.46$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.19per pick62cpaid-42.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2728…4f96backed Under55c363.64$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.6418544.9%83 W · 102 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+20.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x48ed…33bebacked Over60c333.33$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004452.3%23 W · 21 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over77c298.37$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.744,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Over78c294.28$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.541,31348.9%642 W · 671 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfbf4…ac20backed Under34c294.11$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.1134533.6%116 W · 229 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-3.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Over78c293.28$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.761,39046.3%644 W · 746 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd04a…d7ecbacked Over70c285.71$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2009145.1%41 W · 50 L-8.0wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-16.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under23c282.21$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.31,94542.7%831 W · 1,114 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xae38…66aabacked Under37c267.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.191752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b11…2976backed Over77c259.74$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20017962.6%112 W · 67 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x152d…1b20backed Over78c256.41$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2008955.1%49 W · 40 L+5.6wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+5.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa4a2…b646backed Over51c239.22$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12222421.9%49 W · 175 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick20cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Over48c224.09$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.361,56339.8%622 W · 941 L-51.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x09f9…8450backed Over57c215.79$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1236549.2%32 W · 33 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Over78c213.88$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.832,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf85b…48b9backed Over35c186.72$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$656936.2%25 W · 44 L+0.2wins0.00per pick36cpaid+17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a20…cd26backed Under54c185.8$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.813647.2%17 W · 19 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14e4…3ae9backed Under54c183.63$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.637938%30 W · 49 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Over77c181.51$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.763,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x266a…3579backed Over58c177.59$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1033542.9%15 W · 20 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+52.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0916…32efbacked Over78c175.64$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1371752.9%9 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick61cpaid-14.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe702…1c29backed Under57c175.44$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.446145.9%28 W · 33 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+58.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xab45…f5e0backed Under23c174.23$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.165930.5%18 W · 41 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick30cpaid+19.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6dfb…f1b7backed Under48c173.24$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.7178234.3%268 W · 514 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-20.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under23c169.36$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.411,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe337…4ad6backed Under54c168.63$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.5730054%162 W · 138 L+17.1wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+32.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbb42…6e09backed Over53c166.04$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8862452.7%329 W · 295 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under58c160.91$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.5883153.3%443 W · 388 L+15.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d4b…2c7bbacked Over56c159.71$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.442934.5%10 W · 19 L-4.1wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-30.5%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over43c150$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.12,32718.1%422 W · 1,905 L-363.0wins-0.16per pick34cpaid-63.5%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 34 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.