Ecuador vs. Curaçao: O/U 5.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcceb9e1383ed4d746ac9bae6bcf682ebff8046b45bd57e5b83b0e32dc6489e8e

Rebuilt 2 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Jun 20, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $269,750
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $283,755

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $269,750 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x3535…a775backed Over	11c	98,634$10,850 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,849.69	23	26.1%6 W · 17 L	-1.6wins	-0.07per pick	33cpaid	-21%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Over	9c	17,229$1,551 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,550.63	1,044	43.7%456 W · 588 L	+20.7wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+14.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Over	10c	15,059$1,559 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,558.5	1,985	32.5%645 W · 1,340 L	-47.7wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b6e…f544backed Over	11c	10,000$1,100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,100	138	11.6%16 W · 122 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	13cpaid	-28.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over	11c	4,753$536 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$535.8	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over	3c	4,369$142 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$142.12	3,992	24.9%994 W · 2,998 L	-47.0wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f6f…d024backed Over	9c	3,774$352 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$351.77	774	33.1%256 W · 518 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	33cpaid	-15%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x06f2…1269backed Over	4c	2,489$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98.2	383	33.9%130 W · 253 L	+3.3wins	+0.01per pick	33cpaid	-34.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1bb1…eac3backed Over	4c	2,000$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	159	20.1%32 W · 127 L	+3.3wins	+0.02per pick	18cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7e52…00f5backed Over	11c	2,000$210 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$210	216	40.7%88 W · 128 L	+8.2wins	+0.04per pick	37cpaid	+7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1eba…ff9cbacked Over	11c	1,800$192 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$192	438	26.3%115 W · 323 L	+12.6wins	+0.03per pick	23cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over	11c	1,574$173 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$173.1	2,439	29%707 W · 1,732 L	-65.3wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-21%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0249…5b4bbacked Over	8c	1,500$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	354	24%85 W · 269 L	-5.1wins	-0.01per pick	25cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Over	11c	1,319$145 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$145.09	2,171	38.2%829 W · 1,342 L	-36.7wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf29a…3122backed Over	10c	1,227$125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$125	166	37.3%62 W · 104 L	+7.6wins	+0.05per pick	33cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3f26…c83bbacked Over	9c	1,120$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.8	38	31.6%12 W · 26 L	-1.7wins	-0.04per pick	36cpaid	-25.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Over	11c	1,106$123 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$122.54	2,271	39.5%896 W · 1,375 L	+10.1wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x793c…1b9ebacked Over	10c	1,000$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	53	30.2%16 W · 37 L	+4.1wins	+0.08per pick	22cpaid	+25.8%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbeff…e9abbacked Over	10c	1,000$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	57	47.4%27 W · 30 L	+3.6wins	+0.06per pick	41cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over	10c	999.97$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	454	21.4%97 W · 357 L	-10.1wins	-0.02per pick	24cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6c12…748fbacked Over	9c	976.22$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$87.66	324	22.5%73 W · 251 L	-8.5wins	-0.03per pick	25cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1603…913bbacked Over	11c	909.09$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	134	53%71 W · 63 L	+5.7wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x64ae…23c4backed Over	11c	901.19$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	12	25%3 W · 9 L	+0.7wins	+0.06per pick	19cpaid	+50.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x056d…3b69backed Over	11c	804.09$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88.45	37	13.5%5 W · 32 L	+1.5wins	+0.04per pick	10cpaid	+14.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed Over	7c	600$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42	343	30%103 W · 240 L	-7.1wins	-0.02per pick	32cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfbd…21d2backed Over	10c	499.9$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.99	71	22.5%16 W · 55 L	+6.4wins	+0.09per pick	14cpaid	+40.3%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x490f…a02dbacked Over	11c	462.82$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	257	37%95 W · 162 L	+9.5wins	+0.04per pick	33cpaid	+34.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x613a…2185backed Over	11c	435$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.85	462	30.1%139 W · 323 L	-13.8wins	-0.03per pick	33cpaid	-17.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4830…f86bbacked Over	12c	417.5$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	61	13.1%8 W · 53 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	+7.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd68d…56a5backed Over	10c	340.1$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.01	76	30.3%23 W · 53 L	+1.4wins	+0.02per pick	28cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x06be…8a46backed Over	10c	300$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	99	19.2%19 W · 80 L	+3.7wins	+0.04per pick	15cpaid	+22.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf0a2…b58ebacked Over	11c	250.91$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.6	70	22.9%16 W · 54 L	-1.7wins	-0.02per pick	25cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9637…a576backed Over	10c	250$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	451	20.6%93 W · 358 L	-7.3wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	-7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf009…19e9backed Over	11c	227.27$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	438	19.2%84 W · 354 L	-3.0wins	-0.01per pick	20cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8af…0550backed Over	11c	227.27$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	356	14.3%51 W · 305 L	-14.3wins	-0.04per pick	18cpaid	-20.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x316b…8d96backed Over	11c	210.91$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked Over	9c	200$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	465	25.4%118 W · 347 L	-12.5wins	-0.03per pick	28cpaid	-21.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x01b8…82c1backed Over	10c	200$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	91	45.1%41 W · 50 L	+6.1wins	+0.07per pick	38cpaid	+24.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over	9c	188.92$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.3	2,819	44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L	-36.2wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd38c…371ebacked Over	11c	181.82$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	201	33.8%68 W · 133 L	+14.0wins	+0.07per pick	27cpaid	+33.9%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0668…027bbacked Over	11c	181.82$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	36	44.4%16 W · 20 L	+3.0wins	+0.08per pick	36cpaid	+31.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7113…dba4backed Over	11c	172.73$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19	823	40.9%337 W · 486 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3daf…19ebbacked Over	12c	166.67$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	534	36%192 W · 342 L	+12.3wins	+0.02per pick	34cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x517b…be02backed Over	12c	161.33$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.62	55	27.3%15 W · 40 L	+3.4wins	+0.06per pick	21cpaid	+12.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0e60…7d58backed Over	7c	150$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.5	20	15%3 W · 17 L	-2.0wins	-0.10per pick	25cpaid	-56.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4108…a80dbacked Over	10c	140$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.88	323	17.6%57 W · 266 L	-43.8wins	-0.14per pick	31cpaid	-47.7%equal weight	36-0.13 edge/pick
0xe189…5f9abacked Over	9c	130$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.7	17	23.5%4 W · 13 L	-2.0wins	-0.12per pick	35cpaid	-40.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcda7…d089backed Over	11c	127.27$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	34	8.8%3 W · 31 L	-2.1wins	-0.06per pick	15cpaid	-52.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe182…9f09backed Over	8c	125$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	180	2.8%5 W · 175 L	-7.8wins	-0.04per pick	7cpaid	-65.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x46f7…0f92backed Over	11c	113.8$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.01	73	26%19 W · 54 L	+3.1wins	+0.04per pick	22cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd3e3…411bbacked Over	11c	109.09$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	84	23.8%20 W · 64 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	23cpaid	+16.5%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xac68…f1fcbacked Over	10c	100$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	238	45.4%108 W · 130 L	+5.9wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd113…d08cbacked Over	11c	100$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.9wins	-0.18per pick	38cpaid	-69.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfd43…7b3fbacked Over	10c	100$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	150	46.7%70 W · 80 L	+10.4wins	+0.07per pick	40cpaid	+8.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x89c5…24d1backed Over	10c	100$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	90	20%18 W · 72 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	19cpaid	-18.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x182a…f847backed Over	10c	100$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	12	25%3 W · 9 L	-1.3wins	-0.11per pick	36cpaid	-59.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe692…05e8backed Over	10c	100$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	82	25.6%21 W · 61 L	+3.7wins	+0.05per pick	21cpaid	+12.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc61d…3933backed Over	10c	100$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	188	22.3%42 W · 146 L	-16.3wins	-0.09per pick	31cpaid	-40%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0x878a…a429backed Over	12c	100$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	81	19.8%16 W · 65 L	-3.0wins	-0.04per pick	23cpaid	-28.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8409…753dbacked Over	10c	100$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	120	20%24 W · 96 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	19cpaid	-33.9%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x470f…e804backed Over	11c	100$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	24	4.2%1 W · 23 L	-2.6wins	-0.11per pick	15cpaid	-39.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0edc…ba7cbacked Over	10c	100$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	+0.1wins	+0.02per pick	15cpaid	-33.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc357…363ebacked Over	10c	100$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	72	43.1%31 W · 41 L	+2.4wins	+0.03per pick	40cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd948…f579backed Over	10c	100$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	63	28.6%18 W · 45 L	+5.0wins	+0.08per pick	21cpaid	+16.6%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 34 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Ecuador vs. Curaçao: O/U 5.5this page
Ecuador vs. Curaçao: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
Ecuador vs. Curaçao: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Ecuador vs. Curaçao: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
Ecuador vs. Curaçao: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
Ecuador vs. Curaçao: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
Ecuador vs. Curaçao: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
Ecuador vs. Curaçao: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
Ecuador vs. Curaçao: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
Ecuador vs. Curaçao: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
Ecuador vs. Curaçao: Curaçao 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
Ecuador vs. Curaçao: Curaçao 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Ecuador vs. Curaçao: Curaçao O/U 0.5Under won
Ecuador vs. Curaçao: Curaçao O/U 1.5Under won
Ecuador vs. Curaçao: Curaçao O/U 2.5Under won
Ecuador vs. Curaçao: Ecuador 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
Ecuador vs. Curaçao: Ecuador 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Ecuador vs. Curaçao: Ecuador O/U 0.5Under won
Ecuador vs. Curaçao: Ecuador O/U 1.5Under won
Ecuador vs. Curaçao: Ecuador O/U 2.5Under won
Ecuador vs. Curaçao: O/U 0.5Under won
Ecuador vs. Curaçao: O/U 1.5Under won
Ecuador vs. Curaçao: O/U 2.5Under won
Ecuador vs. Curaçao: O/U 3.5Under won
Ecuador vs. Curaçao: O/U 4.5Under won
Ecuador vs. Curaçao: O/U 6.5Under won
Ecuador vs. Curaçao: O/U 7.5Under won
Ecuador vs. Curaçao: O/U 8.5Under won
Spread: Curaçao (-1.5)Ecuador won
Spread: Ecuador (-1.5)Curaçao won
Spread: Ecuador (-2.5)Curaçao won
Spread: Ecuador (-3.5)Curaçao won
Spread: Ecuador (-4.5)Curaçao won
Spread: Ecuador (-5.5)Curaçao won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Ecuador vs. Curaçao: O/U 5.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event