Fifa International · resolved market
Ecuador vs. Curaçao: Ecuador O/U 0.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x31527e6bf023cebbf342029a67c7d2cb57adc0a3c8d660c1a91e71b926faa659
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $132,699
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $128,380
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $132,699 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 19c | 10,840$2,031 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,808.93 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 7c | 9,150$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,469.52 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 5c | 7,071$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,702.65 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Under | 34c | 6,042$2,054 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,987.88 | 252 | 44.8%113 W · 139 L | +11.6wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 51c | 4,918$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,499.54 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 4c | 2,767$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,653.73 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Under | 10c | 2,146$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,927.35 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 39c | 2,135$842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,292.78 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under | 15c | 2,031$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,733.18 | 1,252 | 39.2%491 W · 761 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 16c | 1,358$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.69 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79aa…1168backed Under | 42c | 789.76$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.76 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 15c | 701.95$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599.95 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 5c | 566.12$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$537.81 | 1,945 | 42.7%831 W · 1,114 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec59…bb35backed Over | 79c | 500$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395 | 432 | 48.4%209 W · 223 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 42c | 406.93$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.67 | 1,669 | 41.6%694 W · 975 L | +15.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3561…f1b7backed Under | 6c | 406.5$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.86 | 950 | 37.5%356 W · 594 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x841a…61adbacked Under | 10c | 304$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274 | 147 | 46.9%69 W · 78 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed Under | 6c | 276.15$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.58 | 1,135 | 40.2%456 W · 679 L | +5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c6…7b39backed Under | 22c | 269.52$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.23 | 489 | 37%181 W · 308 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x266a…3579backed Over | 53c | 262.42$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.98 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +52.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12c4…ff8cbacked Over | 49c | 200$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 146 | 55.5%81 W · 65 L | +8.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa7db…6688backed Under | 7c | 186.67$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.6 | 167 | 40.7%68 W · 99 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc399…53abbacked Over | 38c | 171.23$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.84 | 184 | 31.5%58 W · 126 L | -19.1wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3c…fc78backed Over | 62c | 170$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.4 | 225 | 60.4%136 W · 89 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa416…63f4backed Over | 65c | 154$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 124 | 52.4%65 W · 59 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf10a…d6c2backed Over | 68c | 146.69$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 510 | 45.3%231 W · 279 L | +21.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca1…ee3fbacked Over | 35c | 128.15$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 138 | 33.3%46 W · 92 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x875f…aaddbacked Over | 79c | 126$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.54 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -6.9wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe5a6…d556backed Under | 20c | 118.7$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.06 | 83 | 41%34 W · 49 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 56c | 109.94$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.41 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x9034…f7dfbacked Over | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.67 | 399 | 32.6%130 W · 269 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4359…1260backed Over | 80c | 95.37$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.3 | 88 | 64.8%57 W · 31 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 50c | 86.47$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.55 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under | 31c | 83.76$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.76 | 2,453 | 34.7%850 W · 1,603 L | +84.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c9b…7349backed Over | 49c | 81.63$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 126 | 48.4%61 W · 65 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed Over | 47c | 74.3$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.88 | 1,459 | 53.9%787 W · 672 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 18c | 71.49$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.6 | 1,711 | 35.2%603 W · 1,108 L | -68.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf85b…48b9backed Over | 58c | 69.41$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 69 | 36.2%25 W · 44 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…b30abacked Over | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 137 | 35%48 W · 89 L | -9.7wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -15%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfc33…729cbacked Over | 73c | 49.47$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.08 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9fc…96cdbacked Over | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 64 | 57.8%37 W · 27 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc514…e9b4backed Under | 64c | 42.14$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.17 | 199 | 35.2%70 W · 129 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…dfe7backed Over | 53c | 41.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.35 | 218 | 58.7%128 W · 90 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Under | 65c | 41.47$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.61 | 1,563 | 39.8%622 W · 941 L | -51.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc169…cb6abacked Over | 48c | 37.5$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 170 | 47.1%80 W · 90 L | +10.2wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1597…6edebacked Under | 53c | 37.2$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.34 | 470 | 29.1%137 W · 333 L | -14.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabe1…af91backed Over | 73c | 35.84$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.16 | 100 | 47%47 W · 53 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2afa…a29ebacked Under | 58c | 25.82$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.82 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +72%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 34 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Ecuador vs. Curaçao: Ecuador O/U 0.5this page
- Ecuador vs. Curaçao: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Ecuador vs. Curaçao: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Ecuador vs. Curaçao: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Ecuador vs. Curaçao: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Ecuador vs. Curaçao: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Ecuador vs. Curaçao: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Ecuador vs. Curaçao: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Ecuador vs. Curaçao: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Ecuador vs. Curaçao: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
- Ecuador vs. Curaçao: Curaçao 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Ecuador vs. Curaçao: Curaçao 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Ecuador vs. Curaçao: Curaçao O/U 0.5Under won
- Ecuador vs. Curaçao: Curaçao O/U 1.5Under won
- Ecuador vs. Curaçao: Curaçao O/U 2.5Under won
- Ecuador vs. Curaçao: Ecuador 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Ecuador vs. Curaçao: Ecuador 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Ecuador vs. Curaçao: Ecuador O/U 1.5Under won
- Ecuador vs. Curaçao: Ecuador O/U 2.5Under won
- Ecuador vs. Curaçao: O/U 0.5Under won
- Ecuador vs. Curaçao: O/U 1.5Under won
- Ecuador vs. Curaçao: O/U 2.5Under won
- Ecuador vs. Curaçao: O/U 3.5Under won
- Ecuador vs. Curaçao: O/U 4.5Under won
- Ecuador vs. Curaçao: O/U 5.5Under won
- Ecuador vs. Curaçao: O/U 6.5Under won
- Ecuador vs. Curaçao: O/U 7.5Under won
- Ecuador vs. Curaçao: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: Curaçao (-1.5)Ecuador won
- Spread: Ecuador (-1.5)Curaçao won
- Spread: Ecuador (-2.5)Curaçao won
- Spread: Ecuador (-3.5)Curaçao won
- Spread: Ecuador (-4.5)Curaçao won
- Spread: Ecuador (-5.5)Curaçao won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.