Spread: Ecuador (-3.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc13eb74203f9e2d401903a3da5ec4e411ad34b92bc47ef7c2c6a072712c8e463

Rebuilt 8 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Curaçaoof Ecuador, Curaçao
Resolved: Jun 20, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $509,864
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $512,120

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $509,864 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 166 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x94d7…bef5backed Ecuador	15c	118,938$18,132 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18,132.43	263	20.5%54 W · 209 L	-5.9wins	-0.02per pick	23cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd65…ee96backed Ecuador	25c	113,459$28,250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28,250	196	44.9%88 W · 108 L	+9.6wins	+0.05per pick	40cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Curaçao	80c	112,114$89,275 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22,839.68	747	52.2%390 W · 357 L	+2.4wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Ecuador	13c	38,201$4,981 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,981.03	1,144	39.2%448 W · 696 L	-8.4wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Curaçao	75c	25,000$18,850 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,150	744	47.8%356 W · 388 L	+11.3wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x59f4…c1f1backed Ecuador	7c	18,000$1,183 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,183.04	81	35.8%29 W · 52 L	+4.9wins	+0.06per pick	30cpaid	+33.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed Ecuador	21c	10,172$2,136 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,136.08	80	47.5%38 W · 42 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x6370…e2f4backed Ecuador	25c	8,000$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,000	16	18.8%3 W · 13 L	-3.1wins	-0.19per pick	38cpaid	-53%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0xb10b…0b04backed Ecuador	25c	7,777$1,944 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,944.24	320	29.4%94 W · 226 L	-2.6wins	-0.01per pick	30cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Curaçao	76c	5,567$4,249 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,317.65	2,805	55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L	+70.4wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked Curaçao	75c	5,000$3,750 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,250	778	45%350 W · 428 L	+10.1wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37ae…1002backed Ecuador	23c	4,121$959 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$959	249	17.7%44 W · 205 L	+4.9wins	+0.02per pick	16cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5672…7312backed Ecuador	23c	4,000$920 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$920	354	46%163 W · 191 L	+7.8wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Ecuador	24c	3,640$874 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$873.6	1,044	43.7%456 W · 588 L	+20.7wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+14.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Ecuador	23c	2,930$674 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$673.98	2,171	38.2%829 W · 1,342 L	-36.7wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d06…f79dbacked Ecuador	22c	2,833$623 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$623.26	125	36.8%46 W · 79 L	+3.1wins	+0.02per pick	34cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Curaçao	76c	2,730$2,076 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$654.26	1,941	35.5%690 W · 1,251 L	-25.4wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Curaçao	76c	2,621$1,998 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$622.72	716	38.4%275 W · 441 L	+8.7wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	+12.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5e2…1327backed Ecuador	25c	2,000$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	48	20.8%10 W · 38 L	-4.8wins	-0.10per pick	31cpaid	-31.4%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x5e39…352cbacked Curaçao	79c	1,984$1,567 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$416.58	644	43.3%279 W · 365 L	-10.9wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Curaçao	76c	1,967$1,503 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$464.01	1,873	48.4%906 W · 967 L	+14.4wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed Ecuador	23c	1,930$438 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$438.01	580	29.5%171 W · 409 L	-19.9wins	-0.03per pick	33cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Curaçao	76c	1,905$1,455 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$450.26	1,390	46.3%644 W · 746 L	+20.9wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Curaçao	76c	1,837$1,401 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$436.04	1,313	48.9%642 W · 671 L	+12.3wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b7a…bc22backed Ecuador	23c	1,485$342 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$341.64	280	25%70 W · 210 L	-9.0wins	-0.03per pick	28cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Ecuador	21c	1,415$297 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$297.16	3,992	24.9%994 W · 2,998 L	-47.0wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21f7…1b34backed Ecuador	21c	1,390$292 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$292	224	36.6%82 W · 142 L	+3.5wins	+0.02per pick	35cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x88d1…bfd0backed Ecuador	24c	1,258$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	44	29.5%13 W · 31 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	31cpaid	-18.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Ecuador	23c	1,250$291 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$291.01	3,077	47%1,447 W · 1,630 L	-11.5wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed Ecuador	23c	1,250$287 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$287.5	385	26.8%103 W · 282 L	-9.1wins	-0.02per pick	29cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2536…5d91backed Ecuador	25c	1,200$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	26	19.2%5 W · 21 L	-2.6wins	-0.10per pick	29cpaid	-30.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc8b4…aa7cbacked Ecuador	25c	1,157$289 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$289.15	49	16.3%8 W · 41 L	-5.5wins	-0.11per pick	28cpaid	-44.7%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x68c1…caf8backed Ecuador	25c	1,093$273 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$273.22	45	26.7%12 W · 33 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	28cpaid	-4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Ecuador	14c	1,069$154 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$153.59	2,973	28%831 W · 2,142 L	-132.5wins	-0.04per pick	32cpaid	-39%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf36e…f91cbacked Ecuador	23c	921.28$212 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$211.89	154	18.8%29 W · 125 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	20cpaid	-27.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x24b6…e069backed Ecuador	23c	900$207 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$207	36	33.3%12 W · 24 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	32cpaid	-28.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x17e2…d472backed Ecuador	24c	811.67$195 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$194.8	137	36.5%50 W · 87 L	+9.6wins	+0.07per pick	29cpaid	+17%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8390…09f1backed Ecuador	23c	800$184 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$184	142	35.9%51 W · 91 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	0%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4fca…1938backed Ecuador	25c	800$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	98	49%48 W · 50 L	+2.6wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Ecuador	23c	718.52$166 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$166.36	3,213	47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L	-7.5wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Ecuador	23c	706.5$162 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$161.59	1,354	38.9%527 W · 827 L	-55.8wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-25.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x923c…b55dbacked Ecuador	25c	701.9$175 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$175.48	18	44.4%8 W · 10 L	+1.0wins	+0.05per pick	39cpaid	+45.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Curaçao	76c	683.65$521 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$162.68	3,731	51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L	+55.2wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xce82…03d3backed Ecuador	23c	679.99$158 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$157.79	73	21.9%16 W · 57 L	-5.8wins	-0.08per pick	30cpaid	-55.4%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Ecuador	19c	666$127 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$126.54	390	39%152 W · 238 L	-12.2wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-20.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc93d…23d5backed Ecuador	10c	662.59$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.79	212	43.4%92 W · 120 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-17%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Ecuador	23c	600$137 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$136.5	1,438	40.1%576 W · 862 L	-40.1wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-24.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Curaçao	76c	555.54$419 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$136.11	1,067	49.1%524 W · 543 L	+7.4wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa2c3…ac23backed Ecuador	27c	500$135 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$135	957	39.5%378 W · 579 L	-18.4wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Ecuador	23c	499.66$117 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$116.92	1,563	39.8%622 W · 941 L	-51.9wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x542a…0312backed Ecuador	24c	489.92$115 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$115.45	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.9wins	-0.22per pick	22cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb47b…c6b1backed Ecuador	21c	476.19$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	124	41.9%52 W · 72 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7116…18abbacked Ecuador	22c	442.86$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.43	45	22.2%10 W · 35 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-37.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x361b…74febacked Ecuador	23c	425.61$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.89	510	32.5%166 W · 344 L	-9.1wins	-0.02per pick	34cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1840…6798backed Ecuador	24c	416.67$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	131	30.5%40 W · 91 L	-8.4wins	-0.06per pick	37cpaid	-11%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x16c8…1badbacked Ecuador	23c	413.09$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95.97	197	42.1%83 W · 114 L	-11.1wins	-0.06per pick	48cpaid	-18.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Ecuador	6c	407.86$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.52	4,457	37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L	+31.0wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Curaçao	77c	403.56$310 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$93.86	1,005	44.3%445 W · 560 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6c99…5351backed Ecuador	25c	400$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	53	20.8%11 W · 42 L	-5.8wins	-0.11per pick	32cpaid	-34%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x673b…7a24backed Ecuador	25c	400$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	53	20.8%11 W · 42 L	-5.8wins	-0.11per pick	32cpaid	-34%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x02eb…a47abacked Ecuador	25c	400$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	54	24.1%13 W · 41 L	-4.0wins	-0.07per pick	32cpaid	-20.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x22cc…740cbacked Ecuador	25c	400$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	90	33.3%30 W · 60 L	-4.0wins	-0.04per pick	38cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe991…48b1backed Ecuador	25c	400$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	336	41.7%140 W · 196 L	-5.2wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x042f…30ebbacked Ecuador	25c	400$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	54	24.1%13 W · 41 L	-4.0wins	-0.07per pick	32cpaid	-20.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0274…5a2ebacked Ecuador	25c	400$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	54	24.1%13 W · 41 L	-4.0wins	-0.07per pick	32cpaid	-20.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Curaçao	78c	384.62$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$84.62	659	48.6%320 W · 339 L	-4.3wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1441…b235backed Ecuador	21c	300$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63	10	20%2 W · 8 L	-1.4wins	-0.14per pick	34cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1147…da78backed Ecuador	26c	300$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78	245	42.9%105 W · 140 L	-7.6wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Curaçao	77c	295.02$227 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$67.85	1,945	42.7%831 W · 1,114 L	-11.2wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x986b…fdb5backed Ecuador	25c	283.48$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.87	68	32.4%22 W · 46 L	-5.6wins	-0.08per pick	41cpaid	-25.3%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf66b…63debacked Ecuador	25c	282.32$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.58	75	30.7%23 W · 52 L	-6.3wins	-0.08per pick	39cpaid	-26%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x188a…adfebacked Ecuador	25c	273.38$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68.34	81	34.6%28 W · 53 L	-4.5wins	-0.06per pick	40cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb8c6…7b39backed Curaçao	74c	259.95$192 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$67.59	489	37%181 W · 308 L	-10.3wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x005f…e438backed Curaçao	78c	257$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56.54	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.6wins	+0.30per pick	70cpaid	+43.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8244…11f4backed Ecuador	25c	240$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	14	42.9%6 W · 8 L	+0.5wins	+0.03per pick	40cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea74…76a7backed Ecuador	25c	220.21$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.05	134	28.4%38 W · 96 L	-14.9wins	-0.11per pick	39cpaid	-25.2%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x9637…a576backed Ecuador	23c	217.39$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	451	20.6%93 W · 358 L	-7.3wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	-7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaff6…b357backed Ecuador	25c	213.52$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.38	135	28.1%38 W · 97 L	-15.1wins	-0.11per pick	39cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xcdcd…ea10backed Ecuador	25c	213.52$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.38	134	28.4%38 W · 96 L	-14.9wins	-0.11per pick	39cpaid	-25.2%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x8581…a2d5backed Ecuador	25c	213.48$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.37	134	28.4%38 W · 96 L	-14.7wins	-0.11per pick	39cpaid	-25.2%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xdceb…47d9backed Ecuador	25c	211.22$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.81	134	28.4%38 W · 96 L	-14.9wins	-0.11per pick	39cpaid	-25.2%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x1605…c707backed Ecuador	24c	208.33$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	29	41.4%12 W · 17 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1573…8aacbacked Ecuador	24c	208.33$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	220	41.4%91 W · 129 L	-2.7wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd94…6b1ebacked Ecuador	23c	208.04$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.85	114	31.6%36 W · 78 L	-9.2wins	-0.08per pick	40cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x4fc7…f7debacked Ecuador	24c	200$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48	149	39.6%59 W · 90 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x004d…47e0backed Ecuador	25c	200$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	121	28.9%35 W · 86 L	-14.5wins	-0.12per pick	41cpaid	-28.4%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0xf5d8…185abacked Ecuador	25c	200$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	70	31.4%22 W · 48 L	-6.4wins	-0.09per pick	41cpaid	-27.4%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xb3a7…9b95backed Ecuador	25c	200$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	81	21%17 W · 64 L	-11.8wins	-0.15per pick	36cpaid	-46.1%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0x3b4b…dd99backed Ecuador	25c	200$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	37	21.6%8 W · 29 L	-5.9wins	-0.16per pick	38cpaid	-52%equal weight	39-0.09 edge/pick
0xde60…63c5backed Ecuador	25c	200$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	35	25.7%9 W · 26 L	-4.7wins	-0.14per pick	39cpaid	-33.7%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xadcb…c2bebacked Ecuador	25c	200$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	95	32.6%31 W · 64 L	-3.9wins	-0.04per pick	37cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2993…431fbacked Curaçao	76c	192.57$146 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46.22	134	38.1%51 W · 83 L	+4.6wins	+0.03per pick	35cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x264b…cf7fbacked Ecuador	21c	190.48$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	190	36.8%70 W · 120 L	+5.5wins	+0.03per pick	34cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1993…17c3backed Ecuador	24c	187.5$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	12	50%6 W · 6 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x95a6…620abacked Ecuador	27c	185.19$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	55	16.4%9 W · 46 L	-11.9wins	-0.22per pick	38cpaid	-58.6%equal weight	33-0.15 edge/pick
0x9b7a…2d25backed Ecuador	25c	178.04$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.51	51	29.4%15 W · 36 L	-5.9wins	-0.12per pick	41cpaid	-28.6%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xbf0b…3da3backed Ecuador	25c	174.48$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.62	29	34.5%10 W · 19 L	+0.9wins	+0.03per pick	31cpaid	+20.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcea6…67adbacked Ecuador	24c	166.67$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	28	35.7%10 W · 18 L	-0.9wins	-0.03per pick	39cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeb2e…7821backed Curaçao	76c	160$121 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.8	1,421	47.8%679 W · 742 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Ecuador	26c	154.77$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.55	2,271	39.5%896 W · 1,375 L	+10.1wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 34 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: Ecuador (-3.5)this page
Ecuador vs. Curaçao: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
Ecuador vs. Curaçao: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Ecuador vs. Curaçao: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
Ecuador vs. Curaçao: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
Ecuador vs. Curaçao: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
Ecuador vs. Curaçao: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
Ecuador vs. Curaçao: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
Ecuador vs. Curaçao: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
Ecuador vs. Curaçao: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
Ecuador vs. Curaçao: Curaçao 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
Ecuador vs. Curaçao: Curaçao 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Ecuador vs. Curaçao: Curaçao O/U 0.5Under won
Ecuador vs. Curaçao: Curaçao O/U 1.5Under won
Ecuador vs. Curaçao: Curaçao O/U 2.5Under won
Ecuador vs. Curaçao: Ecuador 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
Ecuador vs. Curaçao: Ecuador 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Ecuador vs. Curaçao: Ecuador O/U 0.5Under won
Ecuador vs. Curaçao: Ecuador O/U 1.5Under won
Ecuador vs. Curaçao: Ecuador O/U 2.5Under won
Ecuador vs. Curaçao: O/U 0.5Under won
Ecuador vs. Curaçao: O/U 1.5Under won
Ecuador vs. Curaçao: O/U 2.5Under won
Ecuador vs. Curaçao: O/U 3.5Under won
Ecuador vs. Curaçao: O/U 4.5Under won
Ecuador vs. Curaçao: O/U 5.5Under won
Ecuador vs. Curaçao: O/U 6.5Under won
Ecuador vs. Curaçao: O/U 7.5Under won
Ecuador vs. Curaçao: O/U 8.5Under won
Spread: Curaçao (-1.5)Ecuador won
Spread: Ecuador (-1.5)Curaçao won
Spread: Ecuador (-2.5)Curaçao won
Spread: Ecuador (-4.5)Curaçao won
Spread: Ecuador (-5.5)Curaçao won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Ecuador (-3.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event