TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Ecuador vs. Curaçao: 1st Half O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$180,585
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$179,905

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $180,585 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 194 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Over4c44,368$1,903 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,903.234,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x54ce…9f80backed Under59c11,099$6,548 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,550.49551.6%49 W · 46 L+6.6wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+12.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under65c7,190$4,656 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,533.453,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over36c5,797$2,115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,115.012,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under56c5,433$3,054 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,378.982,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x21f5…c161backed Over45c4,356$1,960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,9607038.6%27 W · 43 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x45b5…c5a8backed Under55c4,300$2,365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,934.982462.5%15 W · 9 L+3.5wins+0.15per pick48cpaid+34.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa487…9439backed Under59c4,173$2,459 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,714.396640.9%27 W · 39 L-8.4wins-0.13per pick54cpaid-13.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4c25…c3bebacked Over41c3,550$1,471 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,470.9570648.2%340 W · 366 L+0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over41c3,312$1,358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,357.923,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Over41c3,259$1,336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,336.381,04443.7%456 W · 588 L+20.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1bdc…f776backed Under57c3,000$1,720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2806538.5%25 W · 40 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked Under55c3,000$1,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,35023949.4%118 W · 121 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Over29c3,000$868 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$867.998748.3%42 W · 45 L+6.0wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+18.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over42c2,773$1,170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,169.568,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x203d…2b2cbacked Over38c2,632$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0006526.2%17 W · 48 L-4.2wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-34.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x19b6…b7cdbacked Over45c2,613$1,176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,175.994643.5%20 W · 26 L+3.5wins+0.08per pick36cpaid+21.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf79c…cb96backed Under58c2,072$1,202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$870.0892038.5%354 W · 566 L-21.8wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e39…352cbacked Under58c2,000$1,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84064443.3%279 W · 365 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc368…a3c4backed Under58c1,724$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$724.1416953.3%90 W · 79 L+8.4wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xca89…7bc4backed Under56c1,600$896 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70437850.5%191 W · 187 L-7.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x73c0…4aa3backed Over41c1,463$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6005330.2%16 W · 37 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick28cpaid-2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd966…8136backed Over6c1,447$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.6134924.4%85 W · 264 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick23cpaid-13.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f1b…9876backed Over35c1,429$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50032733%108 W · 219 L+9.6wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x780f…5f16backed Over35c1,429$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5004751.1%24 W · 23 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+9.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed Under56c1,400$784 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61638351.4%197 W · 186 L-1.7wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Over42c1,320$549 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$549.372,17138.2%829 W · 1,342 L-36.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under56c1,310$737 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$572.464,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f46…9097backed Under58c1,293$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$543.18247.6%39 W · 43 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under58c1,249$726 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$523.032,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x62e0…32dfbacked Over43c1,163$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50017345.1%78 W · 95 L+11.1wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+20.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1f5f…1695backed Over44c1,136$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50037223.9%89 W · 283 L-9.9wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-21.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x15e9…26bebacked Over45c1,111$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5008052.5%42 W · 38 L+4.2wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb627…68b5backed Over43c1,000$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43016152.2%84 W · 77 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0249…5b4bbacked Over25c1,000$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25035424%85 W · 269 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xddc3…029cbacked Over45c1,000$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45022943.7%100 W · 129 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x08cc…67babacked Over5c999.99$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50529.6%5 W · 47 L-0.1wins0.00per pick10cpaid-19.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Under57c999.94$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$429.9833149.5%164 W · 167 L+9.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x48ed…33bebacked Over41c984.85$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4004452.3%23 W · 21 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd05b…3bf2backed Over45c977.78$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$440333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-41.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under57c927.77$526 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$402.013,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf5a8…9643backed Over38c800$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30412040%48 W · 72 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0852…655cbacked Over27c727.51$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20053629.9%160 W · 376 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick28cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x71da…bc9ebacked Over45c713.33$321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32118742.8%80 W · 107 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21f7…1b34backed Over41c700$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28722436.6%82 W · 142 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x40b9…a596backed Under62c688.02$427 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261.4520150.7%102 W · 99 L+11.3wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+18.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over36c625.28$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.24,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under55c618.51$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278.3374447.8%356 W · 388 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5422…a780backed Over44c600$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26420825%52 W · 156 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-13.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf87c…8c97backed Over45c580.46$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.9616123.6%38 W · 123 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick25cpaid-24.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9728…cb59backed Over33c571.24$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.511827.8%5 W · 13 L-5.4wins-0.30per pick58cpaid-53.5%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0xfec6…b86cbacked Under73c568.72$417 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.2137650.8%191 W · 185 L-12.2wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under55c533.41$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.962,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdcb2…02b0backed Over40c500.25$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20036534.2%125 W · 240 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe8c6…276abacked Under59c500$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2058934.8%31 W · 58 L-5.3wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-20.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa2c3…ac23backed Under55c500$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22595739.5%378 W · 579 L-18.4wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa700…102bbacked Over3c485.1$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.5551514.2%73 W · 442 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick13cpaid+9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf536…1579backed Over16c481.25$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7715440.3%62 W · 92 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a55…fd0dbacked Over42c445.85$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.457850%39 W · 39 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8833…3ea1backed Under58c435.93$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.0961752%321 W · 296 L-13.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b0c…a1aabacked Under60c400$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16011544.3%51 W · 64 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-13.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x60ab…e297backed Under56c400$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17635451.4%182 W · 172 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f8b…9e2dbacked Under56c400$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17639951.4%205 W · 194 L-7.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-1.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe84a…02febacked Under58c325.72$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.812056.7%68 W · 52 L+10.2wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+25.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xeb2e…7821backed Under58c319.99$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.41,42147.8%679 W · 742 L-0.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc514…e9b4backed Over33c316.47$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.4419935.2%70 W · 129 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick32cpaid-1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ed3…0a22backed Under56c313.44$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.9137051.4%190 W · 180 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1e0…041bbacked Under56c312$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.2837452.1%195 W · 179 L-0.7wins0.00per pick52cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7cc2…bf53backed Under74c310.26$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.673754.1%20 W · 17 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid-5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x57b9…6655backed Over45c305.96$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.684647.8%22 W · 24 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd6f…1765backed Over44c300$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13211946.2%55 W · 64 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Over41c300$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.41,38040.2%555 W · 825 L-51.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb6ab…178dbacked Over10c300$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3019823.7%47 W · 151 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick22cpaid+14.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0009…5497backed Under64c289.44$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10569744.9%313 W · 384 L+18.6wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3fdb…7da4backed Over43c277.78$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1202025%5 W · 15 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-13%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1025…7e11backed Under58c270$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.427939.8%111 W · 168 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb06f…884cbacked Under78c256.41$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.4125049.2%123 W · 127 L-13.1wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-19.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed Over44c252.7$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.4358029.5%171 W · 409 L-19.9wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe39a…da0bbacked Under59c251.09$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.959330.1%28 W · 65 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick33cpaid+8.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe9fd…4f20backed Over21c241.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503627.8%10 W · 26 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-37.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa494…4a1fbacked Under56c240$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.617557.1%100 W · 75 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d2b…d9a5backed Over43c232.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x565f…cb2dbacked Over43c232.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008338.6%32 W · 51 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Over40c232.55$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.021,94542.7%831 W · 1,114 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f8d…cf69backed Over44c227.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10027742.2%117 W · 160 L-12.9wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-15.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under56c226.99$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.773,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under56c226.02$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.253,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d1c…8408backed Under56c223.46$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.3215156.3%85 W · 66 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under59c223$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.792,38053.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L+76.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x69c0…30f9backed Over45c222.22$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10012343.9%54 W · 69 L-7.1wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-14.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x75af…3f8dbacked Over41c221.2$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.694755.3%26 W · 21 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d75…3d44backed Under56c205.89$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.5910851.9%56 W · 52 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over41c196.27$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.742,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Under58c179.99$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.682348.8%402 W · 421 L+10.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcff6…521ebacked Over44c179.35$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.913959%23 W · 16 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Under57c169.99$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.61,61651.2%827 W · 789 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Under65c164.95$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.2947744.2%211 W · 266 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd46e…d10dbacked Over45c164.44$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7414528.3%41 W · 104 L-9.5wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-22.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Over47c150$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.341,43840.1%576 W · 862 L-40.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-24.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under57c140$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.21,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 34 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.