Spread: Ecuador (-2.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x38ad1408695bd94eab17d4ba186e5812f44356876f9e02afdfc082b56a20930f

Rebuilt 10 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Curaçaoof Ecuador, Curaçao
Resolved: Jun 20, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $2,089,354
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $2,084,564

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,089,354 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 833 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x24c5…c428backed Curaçao	62c	403,008$249,821 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$153,187.28	15	13.3%2 W · 13 L	-4.7wins	-0.31per pick	45cpaid	-75.6%equal weight	37-0.12 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Ecuador	35c	344,153$119,935 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$119,935.45	4,595	40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L	-91.3wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Curaçao	60c	335,148$202,595 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$132,553.59	771	52.8%407 W · 364 L	+17.7wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Curaçao	61c	120,139$73,285 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46,854.23	747	52.2%390 W · 357 L	+2.4wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcd65…ee96backed Ecuador	42c	119,048$50,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50,000	196	44.9%88 W · 108 L	+9.6wins	+0.05per pick	40cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc3ac…b964backed Curaçao	57c	100,000$57,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43,000	57	49.1%28 W · 29 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c8c…6b71backed Ecuador	43c	75,575$32,391 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32,391.47	12	25%3 W · 9 L	-1.6wins	-0.14per pick	39cpaid	-44.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Ecuador	40c	64,686$25,647 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25,646.75	2,439	29%707 W · 1,732 L	-65.3wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-21%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf3c7…c83bbacked Curaçao	60c	63,547$38,122 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25,425.3	64	48.4%31 W · 33 L	+1.8wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3dfb…abafbacked Ecuador	43c	55,555$23,889 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23,888.62	423	45.6%193 W · 230 L	+10.8wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc31d…4ebebacked Curaçao	61c	50,000$30,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19,499.92	31	51.6%16 W · 15 L	+2.7wins	+0.09per pick	43cpaid	+38.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6754…e3bcbacked Curaçao	62c	49,207$30,389 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18,818.54	154	56.5%87 W · 67 L	+5.6wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	+9.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Ecuador	40c	47,614$18,899 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18,899.33	3,992	24.9%994 W · 2,998 L	-47.0wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Ecuador	22c	43,834$9,554 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,553.67	1,144	39.2%448 W · 696 L	-8.4wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e47…34a2backed Ecuador	38c	42,534$16,163 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16,162.79	73	42.5%31 W · 42 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	+7.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa080…234fbacked Curaçao	60c	40,000$23,800 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16,199.93	159	50.3%80 W · 79 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Ecuador	39c	32,918$12,983 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12,983.13	2,603	37.8%984 W · 1,619 L	-40.7wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Ecuador	38c	32,831$12,565 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12,564.82	1,390	46.3%644 W · 746 L	+20.9wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Curaçao	54c	27,503$14,727 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12,776.14	2,271	39.5%896 W · 1,375 L	+10.1wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Ecuador	27c	23,785$6,452 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,451.63	2,407	37.7%908 W · 1,499 L	-48.7wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x83b4…23febacked Ecuador	38c	23,720$9,014 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,013.6	57	45.6%26 W · 31 L	-1.4wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0294…138cbacked Ecuador	44c	22,418$9,864 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,864	30	50%15 W · 15 L	+3.7wins	+0.12per pick	38cpaid	+17.4%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xb0a2…353abacked Ecuador	38c	21,000$7,980 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,980	48	41.7%20 W · 28 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x94d7…bef5backed Ecuador	30c	20,157$6,145 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,144.52	263	20.5%54 W · 209 L	-5.9wins	-0.02per pick	23cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc15b…38afbacked Curaçao	56c	19,999$11,200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,799.76	30	63.3%19 W · 11 L	+1.2wins	+0.04per pick	59cpaid	+7.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xee0b…e6d4backed Ecuador	17c	18,812$3,198 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,198.11	66	34.8%23 W · 43 L	-1.9wins	-0.03per pick	38cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x70ef…e6ddbacked Curaçao	58c	17,500$10,150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,350	108	40.7%44 W · 64 L	+5.0wins	+0.05per pick	36cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa6d1…286abacked Ecuador	38c	15,126$5,748 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,747.88	174	47.1%82 W · 92 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Ecuador	39c	15,000$5,850 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,850	114	43%49 W · 65 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x09dd…7e13backed Ecuador	37c	14,086$5,271 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,271.25	379	44.1%167 W · 212 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-12.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb797…e779backed Ecuador	43c	14,000$6,020 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,019.87	123	43.1%53 W · 70 L	-4.5wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d16…212ebacked Ecuador	39c	13,540$5,281 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,280.57	122	48.4%59 W · 63 L	+5.4wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	+12.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Ecuador	39c	13,460$5,249 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,249.4	1,044	43.7%456 W · 588 L	+20.7wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+14.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x06f2…1269backed Ecuador	24c	12,627$3,001 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,001.16	383	33.9%130 W · 253 L	+3.3wins	+0.01per pick	33cpaid	-34.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb272…5030backed Curaçao	58c	12,500$7,250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,250	219	37%81 W · 138 L	+5.7wins	+0.03per pick	34cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x82ba…afeabacked Ecuador	42c	11,905$5,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,000	153	37.3%57 W · 96 L	+2.4wins	+0.02per pick	36cpaid	+9.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xceed…f8eebacked Ecuador	45c	11,900$5,336 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,335.96	81	58%47 W · 34 L	+4.5wins	+0.06per pick	52cpaid	+4.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb10b…0b04backed Ecuador	38c	11,111$4,222 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,222.18	320	29.4%94 W · 226 L	-2.6wins	-0.01per pick	30cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b75…433bbacked Ecuador	42c	10,790$4,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,500	135	44.4%60 W · 75 L	+2.1wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+9.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x73bc…46cebacked Ecuador	40c	10,328$4,131 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,131.2	178	52.2%93 W · 85 L	+6.5wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+8.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf93f…f94bbacked Ecuador	42c	10,000$4,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,200	250	19.6%49 W · 201 L	-5.6wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	-38.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb15…8393backed Ecuador	38c	10,000$3,800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,800	148	29.7%44 W · 104 L	-3.1wins	-0.02per pick	32cpaid	-19.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked Ecuador	39c	10,000$3,850 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,850	778	45%350 W · 428 L	+10.1wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Curaçao	58c	10,000$5,800 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,200	744	47.8%356 W · 388 L	+11.3wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Ecuador	40c	9,059$3,635 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,634.67	1,985	32.5%645 W · 1,340 L	-47.7wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6c12…748fbacked Ecuador	37c	9,023$3,301 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,300.57	324	22.5%73 W · 251 L	-8.5wins	-0.03per pick	25cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Ecuador	36c	8,888$3,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,199.68	190	38.9%74 W · 116 L	-5.6wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc33a…3da3backed Ecuador	43c	8,858$3,809 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,809.11	77	44.2%34 W · 43 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93eb…c387backed Ecuador	38c	8,712$3,311 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,310.56	83	49.4%41 W · 42 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed Ecuador	37c	8,000$2,960 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,960	362	50.8%184 W · 178 L	-6.7wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x62ca…1760backed Ecuador	13c	7,360$957 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$956.83	258	44.6%115 W · 143 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Ecuador	32c	7,316$2,356 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,355.74	2,819	44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L	-36.2wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86e9…4cdfbacked Ecuador	38c	7,133$2,710 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,710.41	362	47.2%171 W · 191 L	+6.3wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc40…89cfbacked Curaçao	57c	7,000$3,990 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,010	125	36.8%46 W · 79 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-12%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x119b…ac3ebacked Ecuador	43c	6,977$3,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,000	89	44.9%40 W · 49 L	+3.3wins	+0.04per pick	41cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e77…8c33backed Curaçao	58c	6,738$3,908 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,830.11	39	43.6%17 W · 22 L	-4.0wins	-0.10per pick	54cpaid	-20.7%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5672…7312backed Ecuador	40c	6,000$2,400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,400	354	46%163 W · 191 L	+7.8wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa80e…6aa1backed Curaçao	53c	5,706$3,024 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,681.71	273	45.8%125 W · 148 L	+14.2wins	+0.05per pick	41cpaid	+17.2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa698…db5ebacked Ecuador	14c	5,704$799 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$798.53	79	62%49 W · 30 L	+7.7wins	+0.10per pick	52cpaid	+13.2%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x37ae…1002backed Ecuador	41c	5,649$2,316 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,316	249	17.7%44 W · 205 L	+4.9wins	+0.02per pick	16cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3bae…885abacked Ecuador	39c	5,000$1,950 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,950	24	41.7%10 W · 14 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	+33.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xecb1…5da3backed Ecuador	36c	5,000$1,800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,800	26	53.8%14 W · 12 L	+1.5wins	+0.06per pick	48cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdaef…54e9backed Ecuador	5c	5,000$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	188	37.2%70 W · 118 L	-6.6wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Ecuador	41c	4,691$1,920 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,919.84	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5bd3…394cbacked Ecuador	38c	4,674$1,776 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,776	138	57.2%79 W · 59 L	+9.0wins	+0.07per pick	51cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Curaçao	57c	4,631$2,640 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,991.36	218	49.5%108 W · 110 L	+2.5wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf57e…bbd6backed Ecuador	44c	4,499$1,980 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,979.76	73	49.3%36 W · 37 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x944e…8c94backed Ecuador	44c	4,444$1,955 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,955.36	143	48.3%69 W · 74 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x62e0…32dfbacked Ecuador	25c	4,060$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	173	45.1%78 W · 95 L	+11.1wins	+0.06per pick	39cpaid	+20.2%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x40d0…4415backed Ecuador	37c	3,788$1,402 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,401.56	188	50%94 W · 94 L	-6.9wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd0c3…0230backed Ecuador	42c	3,623$1,521 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,521.45	29	37.9%11 W · 18 L	-2.0wins	-0.07per pick	45cpaid	-17%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x361b…74febacked Ecuador	25c	3,496$875 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$875.28	510	32.5%166 W · 344 L	-9.1wins	-0.02per pick	34cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21e8…b85ebacked Curaçao	62c	3,226$2,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,225.81	65	50.8%33 W · 32 L	-3.4wins	-0.05per pick	56cpaid	-13%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xca89…7bc4backed Ecuador	37c	3,200$1,184 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,184	378	50.5%191 W · 187 L	-7.5wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e59…2a66backed Ecuador	37c	3,163$1,168 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,167.67	1,063	31.7%337 W · 726 L	-33.7wins	-0.03per pick	35cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b45…362bbacked Ecuador	37c	3,143$1,163 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,162.9	981	34.8%341 W · 640 L	-7.8wins	-0.01per pick	36cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xddc3…029cbacked Ecuador	40c	3,084$1,246 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,245.94	229	43.7%100 W · 129 L	+5.5wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Curaçao	59c	3,054$1,803 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,250.94	2,805	55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L	+70.4wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Ecuador	38c	3,000$1,140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,140.02	484	41.9%203 W · 281 L	-16.8wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x60ba…3c6cbacked Ecuador	38c	3,000$1,140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,140.01	471	44.8%211 W · 260 L	-4.7wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x54c4…caaebacked Ecuador	40c	3,000$1,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,200	78	59%46 W · 32 L	+8.6wins	+0.11per pick	48cpaid	+27.3%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed Ecuador	37c	3,000$1,110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,110	232	55.2%128 W · 104 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	55cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1fd8…7749backed Ecuador	23c	3,000$690 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$690	160	41.3%66 W · 94 L	+4.8wins	+0.03per pick	38cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked Ecuador	38c	3,000$1,140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,139.99	476	43.3%206 W · 270 L	-10.9wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-11%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x89e6…5501backed Ecuador	17c	2,990$508 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$508.3	230	36.1%83 W · 147 L	+3.5wins	+0.02per pick	35cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x47c7…cac7backed Ecuador	37c	2,944$1,089 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,089.28	264	54.5%144 W · 120 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Ecuador	38c	2,924$1,111 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,111.03	502	43.4%218 W · 284 L	-9.0wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b44…be52backed Ecuador	41c	2,900$1,199 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,199.25	30	40%12 W · 18 L	+4.2wins	+0.14per pick	26cpaid	+188.4%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed Ecuador	37c	2,800$1,036 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,036	383	51.4%197 W · 186 L	-1.7wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9f15…bdb3backed Ecuador	37c	2,703$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	465	50.3%234 W · 231 L	+5.1wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xab1c…aaddbacked Ecuador	38c	2,609$992 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$991.55	56	28.6%16 W · 40 L	-1.7wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc23d…82c8backed Curaçao	71c	2,594$1,839 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$754.42	326	56.1%183 W · 143 L	+29.5wins	+0.09per pick	47cpaid	+29.1%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8857…4b5bbacked Ecuador	38c	2,579$980 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$980	200	53%106 W · 94 L	+4.1wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x93fb…3e4abacked Ecuador	40c	2,546$1,018 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,018.33	72	41.7%30 W · 42 L	+4.9wins	+0.07per pick	35cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8d06…f79dbacked Ecuador	40c	2,500$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	125	36.8%46 W · 79 L	+3.1wins	+0.02per pick	34cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed Ecuador	40c	2,500$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	385	26.8%103 W · 282 L	-9.1wins	-0.02per pick	29cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x42b5…b5b6backed Curaçao	51c	2,500$1,275 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,224.98	350	33.7%118 W · 232 L	-6.7wins	-0.02per pick	36cpaid	-28.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc3df…9945backed Curaçao	62c	2,437$1,510 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$926.9	205	47.3%97 W · 108 L	-0.8wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4133…e7a9backed Ecuador	38c	2,400$912 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$912	441	44%194 W · 247 L	-6.1wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed Ecuador	37c	2,400$888 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$888	352	51.7%182 W · 170 L	-3.9wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 34 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: Ecuador (-2.5)this page
Ecuador vs. Curaçao: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
Ecuador vs. Curaçao: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Ecuador vs. Curaçao: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
Ecuador vs. Curaçao: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
Ecuador vs. Curaçao: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
Ecuador vs. Curaçao: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
Ecuador vs. Curaçao: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
Ecuador vs. Curaçao: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
Ecuador vs. Curaçao: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
Ecuador vs. Curaçao: Curaçao 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
Ecuador vs. Curaçao: Curaçao 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Ecuador vs. Curaçao: Curaçao O/U 0.5Under won
Ecuador vs. Curaçao: Curaçao O/U 1.5Under won
Ecuador vs. Curaçao: Curaçao O/U 2.5Under won
Ecuador vs. Curaçao: Ecuador 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
Ecuador vs. Curaçao: Ecuador 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Ecuador vs. Curaçao: Ecuador O/U 0.5Under won
Ecuador vs. Curaçao: Ecuador O/U 1.5Under won
Ecuador vs. Curaçao: Ecuador O/U 2.5Under won
Ecuador vs. Curaçao: O/U 0.5Under won
Ecuador vs. Curaçao: O/U 1.5Under won
Ecuador vs. Curaçao: O/U 2.5Under won
Ecuador vs. Curaçao: O/U 3.5Under won
Ecuador vs. Curaçao: O/U 4.5Under won
Ecuador vs. Curaçao: O/U 5.5Under won
Ecuador vs. Curaçao: O/U 6.5Under won
Ecuador vs. Curaçao: O/U 7.5Under won
Ecuador vs. Curaçao: O/U 8.5Under won
Spread: Curaçao (-1.5)Ecuador won
Spread: Ecuador (-1.5)Curaçao won
Spread: Ecuador (-3.5)Curaçao won
Spread: Ecuador (-4.5)Curaçao won
Spread: Ecuador (-5.5)Curaçao won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Ecuador (-2.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event