TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Ecuador vs. Curaçao: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$727,554
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$727,219

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $727,554 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 497 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x224a…a3d5backed Under62c152,154$94,743 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57,411.4977152.8%407 W · 364 L+17.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3dfb…abafbacked Over38c59,301$22,787 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,787.1342345.6%193 W · 230 L+10.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Over37c56,212$20,955 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,955.31,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over33c46,126$15,438 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,437.74,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked Under62c27,299$17,047 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,252.5442541.6%177 W · 248 L+1.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b1d…1a19backed Over37c26,427$9,778 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,777.956021.7%13 W · 47 L-6.0wins-0.10per pick32cpaid-52.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1d1a…0df6backed Under60c23,589$14,087 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,501.599839.8%39 W · 59 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf031…c80cbacked Under60c22,653$13,613 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,039.7533538.2%128 W · 207 L+9.7wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+14.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over17c21,106$3,662 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,661.821,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa080…234fbacked Under63c20,000$12,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,40015950.3%80 W · 79 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa18c…d792backed Over39c15,000$5,850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,849.9824058.8%141 W · 99 L+19.8wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+15.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over29c13,509$3,935 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,935.121,22443.4%531 W · 693 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc40…89cfbacked Over40c10,000$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,999.9912536.8%46 W · 79 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under61c8,358$5,092 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,266.492,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x24f0…7ad4backed Under63c8,095$5,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,995.245442.6%23 W · 31 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-20.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x69b2…5f6bbacked Under63c7,921$4,990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,930.592556%14 W · 11 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick64cpaid-12.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over32c7,466$2,393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,392.973,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3561…f1b7backed Over39c6,046$2,356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,355.7595037.5%356 W · 594 L-1.3wins0.00per pick38cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under59c6,000$3,540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,46074447.8%356 W · 388 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf29a…3122backed Over38c5,304$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00016637.3%62 W · 104 L+7.6wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+6.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over40c5,250$2,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,10045428%127 W · 327 L-2.0wins0.00per pick28cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d8a…5201backed Over38c5,000$1,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,90034125.8%88 W · 253 L-10.4wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-1.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x462d…ce9bbacked Under61c4,918$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,918.034854.2%26 W · 22 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick49cpaid-1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc1da…fefabacked Over39c4,861$1,896 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,895.754143.9%18 W · 23 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b8f…cca7backed Over40c4,500$1,815 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,8158337.3%31 W · 52 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over31c4,087$1,255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,254.581,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Over38c4,039$1,535 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,534.821,04443.7%456 W · 588 L+20.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe214…c5cebacked Over37c4,000$1,480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,479.9922437.1%83 W · 141 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x60eb…1df1backed Under62c4,000$2,480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,519.96666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.25per pick41cpaid+17.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9ac8…5518backed Over40c3,750$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5004450%22 W · 22 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Over31c3,545$1,101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,100.532,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Over38c3,313$1,246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,245.721,39046.3%644 W · 746 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed Over31c3,250$1,007 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,007.538526.8%103 W · 282 L-9.1wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0249…5b4bbacked Over36c3,000$1,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,08035424%85 W · 269 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf531…121cbacked Under63c2,857$1,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,057.1417944.1%79 W · 100 L-5.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over10c2,788$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271.333,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56c8…7cc8backed Under61c2,720$1,659 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,060.6712241%50 W · 72 L-8.3wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-17.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x06f2…1269backed Over33c2,711$896 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$896.2838333.9%130 W · 253 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-34.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1eba…ff9cbacked Over29c2,700$774 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77443826.3%115 W · 323 L+12.6wins+0.03per pick23cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b6e…f544backed Over40c2,500$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00013811.6%16 W · 122 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick13cpaid-28.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x998f…75d1backed Under78c2,420$1,888 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$532.36475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Over44c2,304$1,011 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,011.242,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2193…e6cabacked Under59c2,203$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$903.399929.3%29 W · 70 L-4.5wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-13.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under61c2,100$1,274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$825.991,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5d3…e1dfbacked Under60c2,083$1,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$833.338354.2%45 W · 38 L+0.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ab8…1b4abacked Over33c2,046$683 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$683.139644.7%177 W · 219 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-22.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5672…7312backed Over40c2,000$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80035446%163 W · 191 L+7.8wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e39…352cbacked Under60c2,000$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80064443.3%279 W · 365 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Under77c1,947$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$447.2965948.6%320 W · 339 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf79c…cb96backed Under62c1,800$1,113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$687.392038.5%354 W · 566 L-21.8wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Over37c1,743$646 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$645.71,56339.8%622 W · 941 L-51.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c1a…5cb0backed Under60c1,670$1,002 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66825537.6%96 W · 159 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over20c1,522$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307.961,71135.2%603 W · 1,108 L-68.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8dee…412bbacked Over34c1,500$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51089443.4%388 W · 506 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x793c…1b9ebacked Over33c1,500$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$494.995330.2%16 W · 37 L+4.1wins+0.08per pick22cpaid+25.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9e9a…a9a8backed Under62c1,476$920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$556.187055.7%39 W · 31 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-8.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x68e3…109bbacked Over41c1,463$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6002623.1%6 W · 20 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick20cpaid+11.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed Over39c1,407$545 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$544.8258029.5%171 W · 409 L-19.9wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcba5…cd88backed Under60c1,400$840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5609456.4%53 W · 41 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc670…b781backed Under61c1,334$819 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$515.0952744.4%234 W · 293 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x09a3…2349backed Over40c1,323$529 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$529.264440.9%18 W · 26 L-3.3wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-19.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1603…913bbacked Over38c1,316$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50013453%71 W · 63 L+5.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Under62c1,273$790 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$483.352,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over29c1,267$371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$370.522,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Under61c1,245$756 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$489.251,31348.9%642 W · 671 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x94f8…e851backed Over41c1,090$447 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$446.72560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7e8…7953backed Over38c1,053$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40030142.5%128 W · 173 L-1.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadf4…069ebacked Over40c1,025$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41014323.1%33 W · 110 L-6.0wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4f1d…8de2backed Over38c1,015$386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$385.851,13540.2%456 W · 679 L+5.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Over43c1,015$432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$432.471,70236.7%625 W · 1,077 L-31.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b7a…bc22backed Over36c1,005$362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$361.7328025%70 W · 210 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick28cpaid+0.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x23f9…3c2dbacked Over38c1,000$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38017030%51 W · 119 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over39c1,000$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39059230.1%178 W · 414 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7493…fe92backed Under60c1,000$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40024626%64 W · 182 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick25cpaid+10.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc42e…edbdbacked Under60c1,000$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4004429.5%13 W · 31 L-5.1wins-0.12per pick41cpaid-23.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x96a3…d944backed Under59c1,000$590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41026445.1%119 W · 145 L+17.5wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+15.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa07d…9871backed Over37c1,000$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37020234.2%69 W · 133 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda4a…1c05backed Under60c1,000$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4006662.1%41 W · 25 L+8.0wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+28.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x08cc…67babacked Over5c1,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50529.6%5 W · 47 L-0.1wins0.00per pick10cpaid-19.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01b8…82c1backed Over37c989.3$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3709145.1%41 W · 50 L+6.1wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+24.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc769…8316backed Under61c947.7$578 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.67751.9%40 W · 37 L+7.1wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+19.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Under60c942.94$561 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$381.641,06749.1%524 W · 543 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5038…6236backed Under60c901$541 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$360.48247.6%39 W · 43 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbf83…3385backed Over44c892.86$393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$392.6531545.4%143 W · 172 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under61c860.62$522 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338.872,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e52…00f5backed Over38c855$327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$327.4521640.7%88 W · 128 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9efc…cce5backed Under59c847.46$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$347.4610458.7%61 W · 43 L+7.7wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+13%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Under59c847$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$347.2771638.4%275 W · 441 L+8.7wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbca…ca8dbacked Under62c806.45$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.4521522.8%49 W · 166 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3b…c850backed Over38c789.47$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30030140.5%122 W · 179 L+1.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid+4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x274b…d408backed Over39c785.64$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303.9929138.8%113 W · 178 L+8.7wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+40.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb013…6c47backed Under62c782.26$485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297.262470.8%17 W · 7 L+4.5wins+0.19per pick52cpaid+35.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x58c9…52adbacked Over40c750.19$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3009142.9%39 W · 52 L-4.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-19%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x46d4…30fcbacked Over40c750$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30022032.3%71 W · 149 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-7.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9a50…e934backed Under73c741.33$541 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.19580%4 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.20per pick60cpaid+52.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2805…76edbacked Under63c735.16$463 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272.0120448%98 W · 106 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x45d1…83dabacked Over41c731.71$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30014637.7%55 W · 91 L-6.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0684…d1fabacked Over41c731.71$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30010832.4%35 W · 73 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4658…4131backed Under61c717.66$438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.8914564.1%93 W · 52 L+10.1wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+9.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcd6f…1765backed Over40c700$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28011946.2%55 W · 64 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 34 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.