TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Ecuador vs. Curaçao: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,463,370
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,515,541

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,463,370 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 965 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc430…1ebfbacked Under40c349,999$140,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209,999.678932.6%29 W · 60 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-22.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf031…c80cbacked Under37c292,019$106,889 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185,130.4733538.2%128 W · 207 L+9.7wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+14.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Under38c205,451$78,438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127,013.1177152.8%407 W · 364 L+17.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5966…f804backed Over64c195,287$124,078 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124,077.812669.2%18 W · 8 L+3.5wins+0.13per pick56cpaid+26.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3dfb…abafbacked Over61c178,889$109,333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109,333.4542345.6%193 W · 230 L+10.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over60c110,982$66,595 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66,594.882,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x408f…b2f4backed Under77c100,882$77,491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,390.924151.2%21 W · 20 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under56c95,849$53,695 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42,153.884,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6c8c…6b71backed Over64c75,000$48,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48,0001225%3 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-44.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed Under36c64,707$23,464 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41,243.5632031.6%101 W · 219 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-17.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under68c61,665$41,961 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,703.652,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over38c56,103$21,299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,299.451,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f65…2036backed Over60c53,333$32,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32,00014248.6%69 W · 73 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4ba…dababacked Under47c50,000$23,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26,500771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.17per pick55cpaid+27.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over38c40,494$15,307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,307.233,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe653…c4a7backed Over63c40,000$25,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,2009451.1%48 W · 46 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd202…8973backed Over60c38,722$23,233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,233.29345.2%42 W · 51 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over35c36,816$12,852 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,852.341,22443.4%531 W · 693 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb58…43c2backed Over50c35,727$17,794 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,793.644040%16 W · 24 L-7.3wins-0.18per pick58cpaid-33.6%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked Under46c35,080$16,172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,908.8342541.6%177 W · 248 L+1.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x91d8…9e8dbacked Over0c34,251$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4550146.1%231 W · 270 L+14.2wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa7a4…e371backed Over44c31,708$13,952 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,951.694235.7%15 W · 27 L+0.1wins0.00per pick35cpaid-13.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x040d…1a5ebacked Over19c28,822$5,335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,335.2612432.3%40 W · 84 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+16.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa080…234fbacked Under38c27,081$10,361 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,719.1215950.3%80 W · 79 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d7b…e2cebacked Over61c25,712$15,684 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,684.158440.5%34 W · 50 L-6.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-11.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Over23c25,535$5,873 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,872.9974752.2%390 W · 357 L+2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Over61c25,333$15,569 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,569.011,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked Over63c18,802$11,853 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,853.2723942.3%101 W · 138 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2114…84c5backed Over60c18,333$11,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,0008348.2%40 W · 43 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid+55.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x07d8…294abacked Over62c18,329$11,306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,305.925841.4%24 W · 34 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdf80…3259backed Over57c15,742$8,916 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,915.659742.3%41 W · 56 L-0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid+94.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x02af…aaa9backed Over60c15,723$9,396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,396.1913448.5%65 W · 69 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x82a1…569cbacked Over62c13,000$8,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,04011245.5%51 W · 61 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+12.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb272…5030backed Under37c12,500$4,625 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,874.9921937%81 W · 138 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x01e6…e7e0backed Over63c12,320$7,762 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,761.7813259.1%78 W · 54 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1569…bf0cbacked Under70c12,143$8,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,642.86933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.11per pick44cpaid+101.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over59c11,157$6,632 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,632.368,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2dd1…8cadbacked Over61c10,891$6,644 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,643.541540%6 W · 9 L-2.8wins-0.19per pick59cpaid-31.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3da8…80c3backed Under47c10,691$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,690.635959.3%35 W · 24 L+5.6wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+21.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Over60c10,485$6,291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,291.21,39046.3%644 W · 746 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1bdc…f776backed Under39c10,000$3,860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,139.986538.5%25 W · 40 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf83…3385backed Over32c9,303$2,959 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,959.1531545.4%143 W · 172 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under38c9,047$3,457 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,590.072,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Under79c8,633$6,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,833.3765948.6%320 W · 339 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Over44c7,998$3,540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,539.6819038.9%74 W · 116 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4154…e7a8backed Over60c7,650$4,590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,59029633.4%99 W · 197 L-9.9wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-21.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa700…102bbacked Over4c7,336$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.7551514.2%73 W · 442 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick13cpaid+9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc40…89cfbacked Over29c7,000$2,030 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,03012536.8%46 W · 79 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over33c6,932$2,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,320.3374034.1%252 W · 488 L-36.1wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-33.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x055d…245dbacked Over60c6,667$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,0001625%4 W · 12 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-30.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4550…f741backed Over45c6,548$2,947 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,946.83125.8%8 W · 23 L+0.1wins0.00per pick26cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8228…b2fbbacked Over60c6,194$3,716 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,716.238251.2%42 W · 40 L+0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x23b0…13a3backed Under38c6,040$2,323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,716.6715128.5%43 W · 108 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-20.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over24c6,035$1,428 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,427.74,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd966…8136backed Over8c5,760$452 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451.8134924.4%85 W · 264 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick23cpaid-13.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x158d…9c64backed Over54c5,556$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,00013454.5%73 W · 61 L+6.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf93f…f94bbacked Over64c5,000$3,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,20025019.6%49 W · 201 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-38.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over54c5,000$2,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,70022342.6%95 W · 128 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+53.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x06f2…1269backed Over36c4,543$1,625 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,625.4938333.9%130 W · 253 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-34.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x944e…8c94backed Over64c4,444$2,844 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,844.1614348.3%69 W · 74 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc6e…fa6fbacked Over60c4,150$2,490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,4903240.6%13 W · 19 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-23.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa608…1b35backed Over63c4,127$2,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,6003336.4%12 W · 21 L+2.5wins+0.07per pick29cpaid+22%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5672…7312backed Over58c4,000$2,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,299.9935446%163 W · 191 L+7.8wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x41a8…ff67backed Over40c3,752$1,501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5017448.6%36 W · 38 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1841…87efbacked Over61c3,637$2,219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,218.864238.1%16 W · 26 L-2.9wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-39.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1ab8…1b4abacked Over39c3,550$1,392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,392.4339644.7%177 W · 219 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-22.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd04a…d7ecbacked Over62c3,519$2,181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,181.329145.1%41 W · 50 L-8.0wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-16.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xcc32…92d2backed Over64c3,417$2,187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,186.8210355.3%57 W · 46 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x033f…618ebacked Under63c3,413$2,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,262.8165737.4%246 W · 411 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda5f…2e9bbacked Over60c3,333$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0004143.9%18 W · 23 L-2.8wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-19.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8d06…7910backed Over60c3,333$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00014343.4%62 W · 81 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe738…df65backed Under38c3,000$1,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,8607733.8%26 W · 51 L-7.0wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-28.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe214…c5cebacked Over52c3,000$1,560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,56022437.1%83 W · 141 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x13b8…d1afbacked Over54c3,000$1,620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,62012655.6%70 W · 56 L+9.9wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+13.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x780f…5f16backed Over50c3,000$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5004751.1%24 W · 23 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+9.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b9c…8620backed Under62c2,880$1,775 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,104.7133740.4%136 W · 201 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-24.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x502e…5442backed Over58c2,838$1,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,65016746.7%78 W · 89 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde45…8597backed Over61c2,793$1,704 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,703.929538.9%37 W · 58 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf29a…3122backed Over54c2,596$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,40016637.3%62 W · 104 L+7.6wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+6.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under38c2,462$931 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,531.172,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbefe…2d45backed Over62c2,401$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5007443.2%32 W · 42 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-17.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Over23c2,300$538 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$537.998748.3%42 W · 45 L+6.0wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+18.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4c86…6993backed Over47c2,251$1,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,049.5321542.8%92 W · 123 L+10.4wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+18.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf03b…3ba1backed Over61c2,247$1,371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,370.727135.2%25 W · 46 L-5.8wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-16.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc670…b781backed Under39c2,146$830 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,316.1452744.4%234 W · 293 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Over10c2,143$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.3446223.2%107 W · 355 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick22cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6bf…8380backed Under47c2,128$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,127.668041.3%33 W · 47 L-4.6wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-9.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe51f…473dbacked Under38c2,079$790 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,288.952142.9%9 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-19%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3561…f1b7backed Over61c2,037$1,251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,251.2695037.5%356 W · 594 L-1.3wins0.00per pick38cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x510c…6a61backed Under65c2,036$1,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$716.0622029.5%65 W · 155 L+10.8wins+0.05per pick25cpaid-14%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x506b…b0febacked Over60c2,015$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2006111.5%7 W · 54 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick16cpaid-54.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8716…57c8backed Under39c2,011$774 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,236.4432647.9%156 W · 170 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0189…cab8backed Over60c2,000$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,20010261.8%63 W · 39 L-4.7wins-0.05per pick66cpaid-10.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4d29…0206backed Over63c2,000$1,260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2602572%18 W · 7 L+4.5wins+0.18per pick54cpaid+67.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x0561…51c7backed Under39c2,000$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,219.984250%21 W · 21 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e39…352cbacked Under39c2,000$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,219.9564443.3%279 W · 365 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under38c1,979$758 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,221.181,56043.8%684 W · 876 L-4.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed Under39c1,819$706 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,113.3458029.5%171 W · 409 L-19.9wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0459…437fbacked Over55c1,818$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0007627.6%21 W · 55 L-4.1wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-24.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfbf3…70e3backed Over61c1,795$1,101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,100.8213952.5%73 W · 66 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 34 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.