TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Ecuador vs. Curaçao: Ecuador O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$139,751
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$132,845

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $139,751 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 163 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under41c35,147$14,301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,845.494,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdf80…3259backed Over50c19,998$9,999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,9999742.3%41 W · 56 L-0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid+94.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd51…1041backed Under24c13,004$3,173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,831.4211963.9%76 W · 43 L+8.8wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+13.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under28c6,306$1,742 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,563.612,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5672…7312backed Over76c6,000$4,560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,560.0835446%163 W · 191 L+7.8wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Over76c3,815$2,885 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,884.682,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over50c3,242$1,617 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,617.424,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9a3f…914abacked Over74c3,000$2,215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,214.9921850%109 W · 109 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f66…bda0backed Over76c2,947$2,229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,228.86837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.19per pick56cpaid-25.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over49c2,828$1,384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,384.121,25239.2%491 W · 761 L+6.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-20.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xeb77…ef9ebacked Over76c2,632$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00030465.1%198 W · 106 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick66cpaid+0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b7c…4cbfbacked Over34c2,500$850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$849.9911042.7%47 W · 63 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x875f…aaddbacked Over42c2,381$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0003432.4%11 W · 23 L-6.9wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-39.7%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over57c2,318$1,328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,327.532,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed Under50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,00014433.3%48 W · 96 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over72c1,991$1,441 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,441.278,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over75c1,991$1,502 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,502.342,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over45c1,724$774 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$774.354,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under24c1,708$404 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,303.872,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed Under24c1,555$373 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,182.6258029.5%171 W · 409 L-19.9wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1510…fe91backed Over73c1,422$1,038 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,037.748367.5%56 W · 27 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick68cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d76…11aebacked Over76c1,318$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0008252.4%43 W · 39 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x12a2…0e71backed Over76c1,316$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00019158.1%111 W · 80 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-0.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd5a2…58fdbacked Over77c1,101$848 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$847.761450%7 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-23%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over42c1,084$459 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$458.532,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1d49…7cc0backed Over77c1,000$770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77012862.5%80 W · 48 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Over76c995.72$754 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$754.193,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over49c899.21$442 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$442.011,66941.6%694 W · 975 L+15.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67d3…cbb9backed Over74c829.47$614 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$613.812661.5%16 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick63cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under24c751.5$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$571.143,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e39…352cbacked Under24c664.1$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$506.164443.3%279 W · 365 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x54f6…b0f2backed Over76c658.97$501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.8214463.2%91 W · 53 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe834…a88ebacked Over76c657.89$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001275%9 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.13per pick62cpaid+22.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd360…2eabbacked Over76c652.63$496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49622355.6%124 W · 99 L+6.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Over76c638.23$483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$483.123,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under28c621.6$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$448.173,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5248…0a8ebacked Over51c588.24$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001662.5%10 W · 6 L+2.0wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+21.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x354b…4744backed Under52c576.92$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.9211443.9%50 W · 64 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc4b…c865backed Over77c544.16$419 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41910042%42 W · 58 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-15.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9a51…ce14backed Over77c514.29$396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3966940.6%28 W · 41 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf79c…cb96backed Over76c509.28$387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$387.0592038.5%354 W · 566 L-21.8wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e26…8991backed Over77c440.27$338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$337.6216136%58 W · 103 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x48ed…33bebacked Over61c393.44$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2404452.3%23 W · 21 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over56c382.41$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.131,71135.2%603 W · 1,108 L-68.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over75c351.67$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.621,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b9e…db57backed Over77c331.17$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25540%0 W · 4 L-2.4wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xaec0…9430backed Over63c331.02$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.541040%4 W · 6 L-2.1wins-0.21per pick61cpaid-41.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb147…beedbacked Over61c329.87$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20026343%113 W · 150 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under23c328.5$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.463,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xea4c…9f3bbacked Over77c320$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.42045%9 W · 11 L-2.1wins-0.10per pick55cpaid-28.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcb14…bd17backed Over77c300$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2311822.2%4 W · 14 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick30cpaid-21.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Under24c288.64$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.481,39046.3%644 W · 746 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5833…4893backed Over75c280$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2108170.4%57 W · 24 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick67cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xadf4…069ebacked Over47c274.68$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.114323.1%33 W · 110 L-6.0wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Under24c266.58$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.61,31348.9%642 W · 671 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd2c0…a68dbacked Over76c263.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2006648.5%32 W · 34 L-4.3wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-13.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8baa…51bdbacked Over77c259.74$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002250%11 W · 11 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-29.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb93f…4160backed Over78c256.82$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2009662.5%60 W · 36 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over45c250$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.51,49241%612 W · 880 L-1.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a14…c927backed Over50c242$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1214450%22 W · 22 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under23c226.83$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.411,94542.7%831 W · 1,114 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6ab…178dbacked Over36c220$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.219823.7%47 W · 151 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick22cpaid+14.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Under50c206$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.021,35438.9%527 W · 827 L-55.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-25.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb1a1…dd34backed Over75c200$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1505267.3%35 W · 17 L+3.6wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xaef0…b68abacked Over50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007441.9%31 W · 43 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+16.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x62bc…5053backed Over47c200$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9420149.3%99 W · 102 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe2db…31cabacked Over51c196.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006936.2%25 W · 44 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick37cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa09b…9b09backed Over51c192.17$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.014757.4%27 W · 20 L+4.7wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+23.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Under47c174$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.041,43840.1%576 W · 862 L-40.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-24.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Over63c173.49$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.32,80446.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L-27.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe3ea…3f04backed Under61c163.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.934415.9%7 W · 37 L-4.5wins-0.10per pick26cpaid-67.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xeb2e…7821backed Under24c160$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.071,42147.8%679 W · 742 L-0.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x561e…c991backed Under47c148.69$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.6910938.5%42 W · 67 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-3.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf15b…000fbacked Under24c136.36$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.6311642.2%49 W · 67 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf9e4…24c2backed Over57c133.88$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.34042.5%17 W · 23 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Over43c132$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.0643145.2%195 W · 236 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x574f…6849backed Over76c131.58$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10018047.2%85 W · 95 L-10.6wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-20.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa313…e124backed Over76c131.58$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10016160.9%98 W · 63 L+7.6wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+7.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1b44…be52backed Under74c131.08$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.083040%12 W · 18 L+4.2wins+0.14per pick26cpaid+188.4%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x9c4f…0b9ebacked Over77c129.87$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10016750.9%85 W · 82 L+5.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4010…eacfbacked Over77c128.57$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999459.6%56 W · 38 L+7.0wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+10.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4035…5e54backed Over73c120$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.69467%63 W · 31 L+4.8wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+5.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Under24c119.98$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.421,61651.2%827 W · 789 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over29c119.98$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.312,32718.1%422 W · 1,905 L-363.0wins-0.16per pick34cpaid-63.5%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x08be…bea8backed Over77c110.81$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$858655.8%48 W · 38 L-6.6wins-0.08per pick64cpaid-12.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1025…7e11backed Under50c110$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5527939.8%111 W · 168 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4be6…b010backed Over76c105.26$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8035848.6%174 W · 184 L-8.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a0b…d29dbacked Over76c105$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.834844.3%154 W · 194 L+1.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under35c103.74$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.482,79346.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L-10.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd052…fe59backed Over51c101.96$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$524334.9%15 W · 28 L-3.4wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-31%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Over45c101$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.341,60147.8%765 W · 836 L+51.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x12c4…ff8cbacked Over47c100$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4714655.5%81 W · 65 L+8.3wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbc7e…06a2backed Over48c100$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4814946.3%69 W · 80 L+5.7wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x97b3…4a85backed Over75c100$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7531046.5%144 W · 166 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc169…cb6abacked Over50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5017047.1%80 W · 90 L+10.2wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+12.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3af5…caebbacked Over76c97.78$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.4815667.9%106 W · 50 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick71cpaid-3.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x21ff…1d41backed Over73c90.38$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.987350.7%37 W · 36 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f36…89cabacked Over50c90$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.92035%7 W · 13 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-16%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8b9d…51d4backed Over77c89.87$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.21050%5 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-24.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x64a3…b5eebacked Over60c83$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.83154.8%17 W · 14 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 34 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.