TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6f36…89ca

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
117
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Middle East, grading 62 out of 100 (+0.10 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 62 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT5541.8%23 W · 32 L+8.4wins+0.15per pick27cpaid+27.5%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
Middle East — the 55 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.12
Will Marco Rubio sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.37
Will Abbas Araghchi sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$114.45
Will Mojtaba Khamenei sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.04
Will Sheikh Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.2
Will Steve Witkoff sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Mohamed bin Zayed Al Nahyan sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+69.4%+$63.5
Will Jared Kushner attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.4
Will Abbas Araghchi attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.35
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$343Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$96.8
Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$111.52
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Will Donald Trump attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.73
Will Iran close its airspace by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+115.8%+$16.1
Will Jared Kushner attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$169Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+143.1%+$241.38
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+101.9%+$100.95
Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$196Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+91.1%+$178.72
Will Jared Kushner have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+203%+$43.4
Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$280Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+62.6%+$175.25
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$261Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+1,338.2%+$3,487.71
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another European country?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.6
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Austria?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.91
Will Vance shake hands with an Iranian official by June 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$131Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$130.6
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$33.33
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 17, 2026? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Showing 25 of 55 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT2035%7 W · 13 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-16%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+100%+$12.5
England vs. Argentina: Draw at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$12.75
Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.63
Spread: Egypt (-1.5)backed Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+98.4%+$19.84
Will Neymar Jr. score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+337.4%+$55.67
Spread: Belgium (-2.5)backed New Zealand · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.85
Ecuador vs. Germany: Germany O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.3
Curaçao vs. Côte d'Ivoire: Côte d'Ivoire 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.3
South Africa vs. Korea Republic: Korea Republic O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.8
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Ecuador vs. Curaçao: Ecuador O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.2
Ecuador vs. Curaçao: Ecuador O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.9
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$40.8
Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: Germany O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+102%+$30.29
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Türkiye vs. Paraguay end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.05
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.2
Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+25%+$4
Spread: Spain (-4.5)backed Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.6
All 20 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 21, 2026, EDT1338.5%5 W · 8 L+1.1wins+0.09per pick30cpaid-4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Commodities — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$276Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+81.2%+$224
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$56
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.17
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$108.93
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+64.2%+$15.64
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+89.8%+$19.81
Will 8–9 ships be successfully targeted by Iran by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+461.7%+$123.29
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.55
Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 3?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.94
Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.95
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.75
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $180 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.3
All 13 picks, newest first.
Ukrainelast resolved Aug 17, 2026, EDT1216.7%2 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick20cpaid-54.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Yabloko Effectively Banned From 2026 Russian Elections by September 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$458Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$458.21
Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.53
Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.43
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$284
Putin meets with Iranian officials by May 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$147.48
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by March 31? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.13
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.38
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$52.54
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$77.03
Will Donald Trump say "Donbas" or "Crimea" during Ukraine President events on December 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$34.23
Odds of Russia x Ukraine ceasefire on Friday over 10%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$125.11
Odds of Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025 Under 5% by December 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+99.7%+$29.98
All 12 picks, newest first.
CS2last resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT1040%4 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid-37.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
EWC CS2 2026: Any map to go 13-0backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$6.2
Will Group B be the group of the EWC CS2 2026 Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.43
Will Group D be the group of the EWC CS2 2026 Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.81
Will FURIA Win the CS2 EWC 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+37%+$27
Will There be 4-6 Knife Kills at CS2 EWC 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.28
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FURIA (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.9
Will Natus Vincere Win the CS2 EWC 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.77
EWC CS2 2026: IGL to Win a 1v3+ Clutch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.5
Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs ex-RUBY (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffsbacked 1WIN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$7.36
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+100%+$14
All 10 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 19, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick25cpaid-19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Aug 3, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+53.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Game Handicap: BB (-1.5) vs Team Falcons (+1.5)backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$3.9
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs 1win - Game 1 Winnerbacked 1win · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$19.32
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 19, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump admin release any Epstein files on December 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+104.1%+$33.66
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.