Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Bitcoin reach $92,000 December 15-21?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3949157d6a0aecd6a64724c9293616fdf314038141a130ec37a9589f6cb5b730
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $404,130
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $354,417
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $404,130 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 120 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc086…b1afbacked Yes | 16c | 20,000$3,102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,102 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8909…11a2backed Yes | 13c | 15,366$2,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,009.82 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb63a…4064backed Yes | 11c | 14,534$1,622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,621.98 | 172 | 31.4%54 W · 118 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…604ebacked Yes | 6c | 13,142$781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780.6 | 172 | 29.7%51 W · 121 L | -13.0wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea7…bcd9backed Yes | 15c | 8,190$1,219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,219.14 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfede…70c1backed Yes | 17c | 7,953$1,365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,365.32 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x465e…40c9backed Yes | 7c | 7,662$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x707e…1960backed Yes | 20c | 6,851$1,342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,341.69 | 225 | 50.2%113 W · 112 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x48ff…9f1cbacked Yes | 9c | 5,596$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.6 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeee9…7ecbbacked Yes | 22c | 5,499$1,196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,195.67 | 878 | 28.4%249 W · 629 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0995…620dbacked Yes | 13c | 5,000$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc50…4c82backed Yes | 19c | 4,259$818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$817.92 | 581 | 26.9%156 W · 425 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 2c | 3,711$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.34 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x615e…5295backed Yes | 1c | 3,237$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.7 | 227 | 0.9%2 W · 225 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -94.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6408…c7aebacked Yes | 23c | 3,100$711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$711 | 50 | 24%12 W · 38 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce8f…4400backed No | 35c | 3,000$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,950 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6294…33f3backed No | 37c | 2,888$1,062 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,826.16 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | +6.9wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf0d9…94c6backed Yes | 12c | 2,616$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.62 | 70 | 20%14 W · 56 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3301…4dd8backed Yes | 9c | 2,524$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.89 | 102 | 4.9%5 W · 97 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -76.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50a5…bafebacked Yes | 3c | 2,491$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.24 | 234 | 11.1%26 W · 208 L | +9.2wins | +0.04per pick | 7cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9888…9804backed Yes | 3c | 2,210$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6919…d27bbacked Yes | 21c | 2,200$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.2 | 37 | 24.3%9 W · 28 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 18cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70a4…eff2backed Yes | 14c | 2,124$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.14 | 87 | 13.8%12 W · 75 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 7c | 1,911$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.09 | 678 | 5.9%40 W · 638 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Yes | 5c | 1,847$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.92 | 299 | 9.4%28 W · 271 L | +12.5wins | +0.04per pick | 5cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf61f…3ce1backed Yes | 6c | 1,750$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 137 | 9.5%13 W · 124 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa229…0b73backed Yes | 11c | 1,590$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -76.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1258…0c15backed Yes | 7c | 1,429$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd493…7f04backed Yes | 8c | 1,394$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.6 | 146 | 3.4%5 W · 141 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6916…2fd4backed Yes | 3c | 1,304$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.1 | 638 | 35.4%226 W · 412 L | +18.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9197…08d4backed Yes | 21c | 1,300$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b7b…09d8backed Yes | 23c | 1,285$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcef…7388backed Yes | 7c | 1,129$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.44 | 78 | 1.3%1 W · 77 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 6cpaid | -86.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09c5…0e04backed No | 80c | 1,125$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec3c…d68ebacked Yes | 7c | 1,109$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.64 | 120 | 3.3%4 W · 116 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -61.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ef9…afacbacked Yes | 17c | 1,100$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 86 | 19.8%17 W · 69 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed Yes | 8c | 1,070$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.09 | 212 | 5.7%12 W · 200 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed No | 77c | 1,056$813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.88 | 77 | 67.5%52 W · 25 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x37a9…73e8backed No | 67c | 999.99$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffed…e122backed Yes | 4c | 959.48$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.55 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8a…b16abacked Yes | 3c | 954.44$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe7…40ddbacked Yes | 8c | 954.33$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.54 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a46…be88backed Yes | 21c | 952.38$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf632…02aabacked Yes | 11c | 844.99$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.1 | 73 | 21.9%16 W · 57 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 15cpaid | +51.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Yes | 16c | 841.89$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.97 | 24 | 0%0 W · 24 L | -4.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1556…81a1backed Yes | 2c | 784.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d90…f272backed Yes | 11c | 780$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.8 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a2b…b404backed Yes | 8c | 751.67$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 42 | 7.1%3 W · 39 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 12cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee2…46e1backed No | 64c | 662.5$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.72 | 406 | 43.3%176 W · 230 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa38…45debacked Yes | 8c | 588.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff5…50eabacked No | 51c | 565.38$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.38 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 15cpaid | -29%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507a…be1fbacked Yes | 4c | 564.33$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.32 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -48%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe997…131fbacked Yes | 9c | 550$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d0e…96ddbacked Yes | 8c | 527.21$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.17 | 43 | 2.3%1 W · 42 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -92.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b53…0d24backed Yes | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d3…52b9backed Yes | 17c | 500$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2a…de7dbacked Yes | 19c | 500$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 120 | 12.5%15 W · 105 L | -8.9wins | -0.07per pick | 20cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x60cc…96f8backed No | 73c | 500$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 16c | 499.22$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.55 | 648 | 12%78 W · 570 L | -61.6wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x62f5…eaaebacked Yes | 21c | 467.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -2.6wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72c4…ee6cbacked Yes | 5c | 420$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 15cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9250…2251backed Yes | 6c | 390.41$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeadd…0215backed Yes | 6c | 312.67$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.3 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -47%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f36…89cabacked Yes | 15c | 300$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.25 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd859…38c5backed Yes | 18c | 300$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 143 | 7.7%11 W · 132 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5029…bdb4backed No | 44c | 284.09$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.09 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadaf…aefdbacked Yes | 31c | 279.8$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.74 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe18b…f37bbacked Yes | 19c | 275.95$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.43 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fbb…1e8abacked No | 48c | 260.42$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.42 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa9…cac0backed Yes | 22c | 241$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.02 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe585…91b5backed No | 65c | 239.99$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 68cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9084…d70fbacked Yes | 20c | 237.17$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.05 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xebf0…e275backed No | 61c | 223.67$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.23 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d25…6e45backed Yes | 13c | 210$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7532…c6fcbacked No | 76c | 200$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.5 | 112 | 65.2%73 W · 39 L | +8.3wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9196…c311backed No | 40c | 200$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 127 | 36.2%46 W · 81 L | +9.1wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda79…9875backed Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf371…9812backed Yes | 36c | 200$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb01…76a5backed Yes | 13c | 200$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf1f…3537backed Yes | 19c | 200$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7461…251fbacked No | 71c | 176.06$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.06 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacb3…bef5backed Yes | 12c | 169.1$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb157…0120backed Yes | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf10…799ebacked Yes | 7c | 157.14$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb1c…963ebacked No | 66c | 153.5$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.19 | 550 | 32.5%179 W · 371 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf13a…a600backed Yes | 21c | 148.43$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.12 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 15cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15c4…75cebacked No | 67c | 148.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.31 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30a5…ab5abacked Yes | 10c | 120$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x697a…b9f9backed Yes | 16c | 103.89$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.08 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65e7…89ffbacked Yes | 20c | 100.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 59 | 8.5%5 W · 54 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 14cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0970…5ae4backed Yes | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 280 | 21.1%59 W · 221 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa073…9616backed No | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedad…17b2backed No | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1f…6f8dbacked Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae05…f5d1backed Yes | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 41 | 26.8%11 W · 30 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc83f…d705backed No | 41c | 97.56$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.56 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93d7…7423backed Yes | 42c | 97.36$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.41 | 348 | 48.6%169 W · 179 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5bf…6b9dbacked Yes | 16c | 93.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Yes | 28c | 93.5$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.18 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -54.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf11d…e509backed Yes | 15c | 93.33$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bitcoin reach $92,000 December 15-21?this page
- Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 December 15-21?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 December 15-21?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 December 15-21?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 December 15-21?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $82,000 December 15-21?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $84,000 December 15-21?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $86,000 December 15-21?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 December 15-21?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $102,000 December 15-21?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 December 15-21?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $94,000 December 15-21?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $96,000 December 15-21?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $98,000 December 15-21?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.