TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x48ff…9f1c

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
94
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 57 out of 100; worst NHL at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT3658.3%21 W · 15 L+3.6wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+24.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 36 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+502.4%+$502.41
Will Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$212.5
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$800Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+68.1%+$544.54
Will France vs. England end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will France vs. Spain end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Norway vs. England end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$270.37
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$127.87
Will France win on 2026-07-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$117.46
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$105.41
Will United States win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Portugal vs. Spain end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will England win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$301Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$491.11
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$409.09
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$150.88
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$53.85
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$56.25
Will England win on 2026-06-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$61.29
Will Norway vs. Senegal end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$58.73
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$63.93
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Showing 25 of 36 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT1656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.4wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+39.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$625.64
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+111.6%+$557.83
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$170.27
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$662.79
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$276Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$614.77
Bucks vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$97.99
Pistons vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+194.1%+$116.47
Spread: Raptors (-4.5)backed Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Knicks vs. Pacersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+69.5%+$41
Grizzlies vs. Timberwolves: O/U 232.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Grizzlies vs. Timberwolvesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+170.3%+$170.27
Cavaliers vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+100%+$100
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$100
All 16 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST1030%3 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.17per pick47cpaid-39.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
NHL — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kings vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+117.4%+$108.75
Sharks vs. Kingsbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+163.2%+$62
Wild vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$98
Blackhawks vs. Canadiens: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$129
Penguins vs. Senatorsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$82
Devils vs. Golden Knights: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$300
Jets vs. Bluesbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Hurricanes vs. Predatorsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+28.2%+$56.41
Utah vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Flames vs. Sharksbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 10 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 26, 2026, EST966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+14.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
NFL — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT70%0 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST40%0 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Boxing — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-53.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Aug 2, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-57.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 18, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Grass Court Championships: Linda Noskova vs Diane Parrybacked Linda Noskova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$40.85
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
D4vd arrested by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 18, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Louisiana-Lafayette vs. Delaware Fightin' Blue Hensbacked Louisiana-Lafayette · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jun 18, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs T1 Academy (BO5) - Asia Masters Playoffsbacked T1 Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.