TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will France vs. England end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$7,991,336
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$6,887,316

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,991,336 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,809 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x86d2…731dbacked No76c599,595$453,293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146,302.287343.8%32 W · 41 L-0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed Yes23c331,476$74,911 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74,910.5432031.6%101 W · 219 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-17.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe221…06f6backed Yes20c237,777$47,555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47,555.48246.3%38 W · 44 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x447d…5eeabacked No77c209,496$161,312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48,184.027447.3%35 W · 39 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-16.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1610…ae49backed Yes26c187,225$48,679 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48,678.563941%16 W · 23 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x87b9…2084backed Yes3c180,268$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0002218.2%4 W · 18 L-2.9wins-0.13per pick32cpaid-73.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7ddd…c933backed No74c167,962$124,292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43,670.222176.2%16 W · 5 L+3.3wins+0.16per pick60cpaid+28.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2787…e0c4backed No76c150,218$114,295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35,922.221190.9%10 W · 1 L+2.7wins+0.24per pick67cpaid+38%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7c1e…bab3backed No78c150,000$117,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33,00022348.4%108 W · 115 L+11.4wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5fd8…ce32backed Yes25c150,000$37,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37,499.8913330.1%40 W · 93 L-4.7wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-35.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8944…da4bbacked Yes16c147,299$24,197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,196.92544%11 W · 14 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick38cpaid-12.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6a26…7b7bbacked Yes13c128,508$16,510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,510728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-33.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8325…19ccbacked No76c117,726$89,455 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28,271.1566846.7%312 W · 356 L+45.9wins+0.07per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed Yes18c108,180$18,980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,98024441.8%102 W · 142 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes10c103,014$9,851 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,850.898,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes23c94,347$21,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,399.821,26247.5%600 W · 662 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x62ca…1760backed Yes25c86,419$21,191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,190.5625844.6%115 W · 143 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcbba…dbffbacked Yes24c82,222$20,033 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,033.273718.9%7 W · 30 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick25cpaid-16.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6501…1220backed Yes24c71,450$17,148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,1484667.4%31 W · 15 L+9.3wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+41.3%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x9f41…8f27backed No76c68,178$52,132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,045.5140239.8%160 W · 242 L-13.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-19.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Yes5c67,064$3,313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,313.1175729.3%222 W · 535 L-23.2wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-27.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes18c52,327$9,242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,241.522,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x599a…7aa9backed Yes19c50,101$9,485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,485.3630%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x60e4…c771backed Yes25c50,000$12,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,5005939%23 W · 36 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick35cpaid-4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9854…6bf2backed Yes8c50,000$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,00017840.4%72 W · 106 L-0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c10…8977backed No74c49,999$37,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,999.866159%36 W · 25 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No77c48,062$37,058 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,004.733,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x91fe…c1c6backed Yes15c46,591$6,995 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,995.2317747.5%84 W · 93 L+11.7wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+12.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x119b…ac3ebacked Yes23c43,478$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,0008944.9%40 W · 49 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+1.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes16c43,161$6,704 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,703.593,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked No76c40,000$30,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,60038734.4%133 W · 254 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-29.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed No76c39,732$30,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,532.1456541.1%232 W · 333 L-9.4wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x361b…74febacked Yes7c39,115$2,797 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,797.451032.5%166 W · 344 L-9.1wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0eb3…97cfbacked Yes8c39,013$2,972 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,971.5834122.3%76 W · 265 L+8.2wins+0.02per pick20cpaid+27.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed Yes24c38,816$9,164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,163.775322.6%12 W · 41 L-5.0wins-0.10per pick32cpaid-51.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No77c38,631$29,715 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,916.13,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc974…b33bbacked Yes25c37,500$9,375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,37521333.3%71 W · 142 L-6.2wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed Yes25c36,066$9,017 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,016.529740.1%119 W · 178 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed No78c33,631$26,284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,346.42,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c78…77f1backed No69c33,597$23,211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,385.846048.3%29 W · 31 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-2.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c23…d48fbacked No77c32,200$24,794 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,405.97988.9%8 W · 1 L+2.4wins+0.27per pick62cpaid+60.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1bc8…2f68backed Yes24c30,000$7,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,2008938.2%34 W · 55 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes24c30,000$7,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,20027039.6%107 W · 163 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb37…ba6bbacked Yes24c29,733$7,136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,135.972240.9%9 W · 13 L+2.4wins+0.11per pick30cpaid+3.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf736…9c97backed Yes24c27,754$6,661 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,660.9310%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29cc…3c29backed Yes24c26,300$6,186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,1868139.5%32 W · 49 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick43cpaid+3.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x28c2…bfe3backed Yes3c26,074$689 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$689.58710.3%9 W · 78 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick13cpaid-58.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked No78c25,000$19,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,50017842.7%76 W · 102 L-0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe689…d745backed Yes3c24,915$677 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$677.45742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.13per pick29cpaid+49.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5ad5…37b9backed Yes18c24,492$4,409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,408.5313059.2%77 W · 53 L+31.0wins+0.24per pick35cpaid+118.1%equal weight72+0.20 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Yes15c23,655$3,653 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,652.6942043.1%181 W · 239 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-32.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f00…73cebacked Yes25c23,623$5,950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,9505728.1%16 W · 41 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick29cpaid+14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x95f5…779fbacked Yes17c21,981$3,791 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,791.2337223.4%87 W · 285 L-25.7wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-58.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf787…3c4ebacked Yes24c21,265$5,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,2001926.3%5 W · 14 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-18.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x69d0…6732backed Yes9c21,101$1,977 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,976.581338.5%5 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-16.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x10a6…4d8bbacked Yes18c20,900$3,809 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,809.2764446.4%299 W · 345 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc6b1…78fdbacked Yes23c20,000$4,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,6002934.5%10 W · 19 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-30.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Yes14c19,643$2,765 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,764.9233337.8%126 W · 207 L-12.7wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-40.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4059…23dabacked Yes5c19,514$1,030 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,029.68494.1%2 W · 47 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick5cpaid-60.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes12c19,283$2,314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,313.7879231.1%246 W · 546 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-34.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf69…f191backed Yes2c19,246$473 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$473.17333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick29cpaid-27.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x77fe…a351backed Yes14c19,167$2,766 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,765.9415127.8%42 W · 109 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-17%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd10…416fbacked Yes18c17,855$3,290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,290.048237.8%31 W · 51 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Yes23c17,193$3,954 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,954.41,04443.7%456 W · 588 L+20.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x896e…53f2backed Yes25c17,101$4,275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,275.1417443.1%75 W · 99 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d46…3e2dbacked Yes6c17,000$1,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0408231.7%26 W · 56 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+122.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x254b…7df6backed Yes3c16,900$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$539.987755.8%43 W · 34 L+8.8wins+0.11per pick44cpaid+53.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x3f0f…0e48backed Yes3c16,366$509 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508.6239933.1%132 W · 267 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-20.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f34…7684backed Yes21c16,363$3,481 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,480.6565835%230 W · 428 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-21.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaf48…36c2backed No75c16,095$12,071 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,023.755349.1%26 W · 27 L-4.7wins-0.09per pick58cpaid-27.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked Yes21c15,532$3,203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,202.5375335.6%268 W · 485 L+0.3wins0.00per pick36cpaid-30.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd277…73febacked No78c15,000$11,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,3004454.5%24 W · 20 L+4.2wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+31%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xeb73…53b0backed Yes5c14,521$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70015930.8%49 W · 110 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick30cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed No76c14,310$10,875 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,434.3329952.5%157 W · 142 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Yes19c14,308$2,699 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,698.9626841.8%112 W · 156 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-24.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked Yes15c14,224$2,174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,173.5331945.5%145 W · 174 L-0.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-28.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb29…947abacked Yes23c14,075$3,221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,220.6518843.1%81 W · 107 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes19c14,043$2,666 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,665.911,25239.2%491 W · 761 L+6.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-20.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xb31e…c120backed No77c14,000$10,720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,2807269.4%50 W · 22 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick65cpaid+12.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes12c13,581$1,617 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,617.313,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3b6…fa47backed Yes23c13,290$3,098 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,097.61933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-20.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Yes23c13,032$2,995 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,995.191,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b36…0d4bbacked Yes3c13,028$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$390.4573626.5%195 W · 541 L-0.7wins0.00per pick27cpaid-19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf659…64c5backed Yes4c13,003$479 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47940%0 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6999…ae54backed Yes9c12,548$1,097 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,097.1724540.8%100 W · 145 L+13.1wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+2.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcb58…d5b0backed Yes14c12,424$1,789 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,788.88812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick17cpaid-50%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x459b…f771backed Yes24c12,110$2,906 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,906.49243.5%40 W · 52 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd479…239bbacked Yes25c12,000$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,000742.9%3 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.16per pick26cpaid+53.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb184…b6c6backed Yes16c11,608$1,807 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,806.636728.4%19 W · 48 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-24.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd744…526fbacked Yes4c11,000$425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4253844.7%17 W · 21 L+2.6wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+32.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x20e5…118dbacked No76c10,992$8,361 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,630.6633549%164 W · 171 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa5ed…9e4abacked Yes25c10,902$2,726 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,725.61616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick25cpaid-53.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa45e…e704backed Yes24c10,417$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5002626.9%7 W · 19 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick23cpaid-33.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6fcd…fbfcbacked Yes25c10,062$2,515 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,515.491060%6 W · 4 L+2.6wins+0.26per pick34cpaid+94.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb187…0ab8backed Yes23c10,043$2,310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,3107940.5%32 W · 47 L+5.2wins+0.07per pick34cpaid+6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8f88…ca10backed Yes14c10,035$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4005232.7%17 W · 35 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes21c10,030$2,098 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,098.054,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b9a…5f69backed Yes0c10,016$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.021468.2%12 W · 134 L+8.4wins+0.06per pick2cpaid+90.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x10b3…40d4backed Yes18c10,000$1,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,8003036.7%11 W · 19 L+0.1wins0.00per pick36cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd362…b180backed Yes0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick35cpaid+19.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.