TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will England win on 2026-07-18?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$12,360,629
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$12,538,634

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,360,629 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 2,454 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf031…c80cbacked Yes23c902,484$207,402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$695,082.2333538.2%128 W · 207 L+9.7wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+14.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed No75c746,968$559,789 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$559,789.4774752.2%390 W · 357 L+2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6754…e3bcbacked No77c729,000$563,492 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$563,49215456.5%87 W · 67 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x87b9…2084backed No5c382,408$20,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,0002218.2%4 W · 18 L-2.9wins-0.13per pick32cpaid-73.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc31d…4ebebacked Yes24c249,999$60,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189,999.393151.6%16 W · 15 L+2.7wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+38.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x18f0…3d5ebacked No6c235,871$13,258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,258.476622.7%15 W · 51 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick20cpaid-17.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3dfb…abafbacked Yes25c192,221$48,696 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143,524.6842345.6%193 W · 230 L+10.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No23c189,097$42,981 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42,981.351,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed Yes39c169,378$66,494 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102,884.325322.6%12 W · 41 L-5.0wins-0.10per pick32cpaid-51.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6c3d…d5e4backed Yes21c167,255$35,124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132,131.56366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.39per pick28cpaid+168.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes54c161,780$87,697 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74,083.424,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x10ff…5088backed No30c152,342$45,352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45,351.9736939.6%146 W · 223 L-12.0wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-24.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6501…1220backed No20c144,375$28,938 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28,9384667.4%31 W · 15 L+9.3wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+41.3%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No5c144,373$7,313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,313.213,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed No41c134,176$54,878 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54,877.6356541.1%232 W · 333 L-9.4wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No76c110,675$83,597 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83,597.251,26247.5%600 W · 662 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x73c5…2f80backed No23c109,054$25,276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,275.7215844.3%70 W · 88 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-22.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a05…0dc0backed No8c106,692$8,414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,413.533537.1%13 W · 22 L+3.8wins+0.11per pick26cpaid-17.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9854…6bf2backed Yes22c100,000$22,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78,00017840.4%72 W · 106 L-0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x60e4…c771backed Yes57c99,689$57,249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42,440.555939%23 W · 36 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick35cpaid-4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Yes61c88,687$54,458 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34,229.5275729.3%222 W · 535 L-23.2wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-27.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed No35c88,418$31,331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31,331.372,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x59f4…c1f1backed Yes23c86,500$19,860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66,639.958135.8%29 W · 52 L+4.9wins+0.06per pick30cpaid+33.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5257…3e2abacked No14c83,380$11,488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,488.269948.5%48 W · 51 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No4c82,122$3,164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,163.614,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3e7…ea94backed Yes25c80,000$20,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60,00013725.5%35 W · 102 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-32.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f34…7684backed Yes28c79,610$22,436 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57,173.965835%230 W · 428 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-21.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd23f…94a1backed No4c62,376$2,302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,302.433953.8%21 W · 18 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x04ff…fe11backed Yes47c61,900$29,267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32,633.05366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+37.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed Yes34c61,588$20,859 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40,728.7224441.8%102 W · 142 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa52b…9480backed Yes79c59,081$46,578 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,502.751533.3%5 W · 10 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick27cpaid-27%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No37c57,833$21,521 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,520.7942541.6%177 W · 248 L+1.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes38c55,399$20,827 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34,572.088,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f0f…0e48backed No21c54,184$11,473 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,473.2839933.1%132 W · 267 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-20.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No77c51,742$39,810 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39,810.123,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed No79c50,000$39,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39,499.9421836.2%79 W · 139 L-19.0wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-14.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x225b…9a83backed Yes25c49,167$12,292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36,875.0929333.8%99 W · 194 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-11.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x119b…ac3ebacked Yes21c47,619$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37,619.058944.9%40 W · 49 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+1.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No77c46,164$35,497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35,497.433,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x62ca…1760backed Yes40c45,874$18,437 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27,436.9125844.6%115 W · 143 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4572…5e86backed No33c45,480$14,897 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,896.7911642.2%49 W · 67 L+4.6wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+37.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked No30c45,092$13,568 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,567.921,22443.4%531 W · 693 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9db8…2effbacked No10c42,000$4,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,20020731.4%65 W · 142 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-1.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x072f…ffddbacked No78c41,000$31,980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31,9808450%42 W · 42 L-6.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-22.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc6b1…78fdbacked No8c40,000$3,328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,328.442934.5%10 W · 19 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-30.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf787…3c4ebacked Yes25c40,000$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30,0001926.3%5 W · 14 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-18.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe4b1…a75ebacked Yes25c40,000$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30,0001931.6%6 W · 13 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick24cpaid+26.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4e56…d55ebacked No22c39,950$8,733 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,733.3615846.2%73 W · 85 L-6.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-29.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x122c…fbedbacked No21c38,811$8,252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,252.131232.4%101 W · 211 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-25.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x169d…fb3dbacked No6c34,925$2,210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,210.05254%1 W · 24 L+0.1wins0.00per pick4cpaid+33.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca97…49f6backed Yes63c34,046$21,397 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,648.7813036.2%47 W · 83 L+5.3wins+0.04per pick32cpaid-14.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa2a0…7e90backed Yes77c33,336$25,796 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,539.738037.5%30 W · 50 L+5.2wins+0.06per pick31cpaid-7.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes57c31,580$17,888 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,691.879231.1%246 W · 546 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-34.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x772d…45bbbacked Yes25c29,954$7,489 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,465.746819.1%13 W · 55 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick17cpaid-52.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0eb3…97cfbacked No4c29,909$1,308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,307.634122.3%76 W · 265 L+8.2wins+0.02per pick20cpaid+27.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked No15c29,726$4,523 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,523.11,25239.2%491 W · 761 L+6.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-20.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x3ea2…e8e5backed Yes21c28,571$6,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,571.432119%4 W · 17 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick12cpaid-26.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No6c28,035$1,736 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,736.1346047.2%217 W · 243 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x91fe…c1c6backed No27c25,402$6,801 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,800.6417747.5%84 W · 93 L+11.7wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+12.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd776…ffebbacked No3c25,401$848 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$848.59943.4%43 W · 56 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe301…8654backed No16c24,657$3,984 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,984.4344130.8%136 W · 305 L-11.6wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-29.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c10…8977backed No75c24,102$18,064 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,064.446159%36 W · 25 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb17e…22bebacked Yes59c23,894$14,186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,707.3918543.8%81 W · 104 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-22.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2b59…9db6backed No3c22,453$694 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$694.3648438.2%185 W · 299 L-6.0wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-26.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa19d…3909backed No3c22,000$662 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$662.492040%8 W · 12 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-16.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x275c…349cbacked No14c21,655$2,952 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,951.5612528%35 W · 90 L+0.5wins0.00per pick28cpaid+43.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8944…da4bbacked No6c21,190$1,188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,187.962544%11 W · 14 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick38cpaid-12.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd362…b180backed Yes25c20,000$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,000633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick35cpaid+19.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe613…540ebacked Yes24c20,000$4,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,200850%4 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.21per pick29cpaid+165.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x30ec…21a0backed No41c20,000$8,208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,208.144445.5%20 W · 24 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc1e0…206dbacked Yes66c19,973$13,182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,790.848826.1%23 W · 65 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick24cpaid+36.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4433…9d34backed Yes40c19,443$7,758 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,685.4578835.3%278 W · 510 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-16.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe462…1a2abacked Yes25c19,095$4,774 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,321.617133.8%24 W · 47 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-12%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x59e5…7a2bbacked Yes67c18,862$12,715 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,146.648258.5%48 W · 34 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x87fc…e4c4backed Yes50c18,787$9,427 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,360.551844.4%8 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid+9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Yes50c18,331$9,248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,083.4426841.8%112 W · 156 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-24.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5fd8…ce32backed No5c18,000$867 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$866.7713330.1%40 W · 93 L-4.7wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-35.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7acc…c5b9backed No7c17,555$1,267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,267.1523857.6%137 W · 101 L+22.5wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+18.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc3ed…9f79backed No57c17,483$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,0006939.1%27 W · 42 L-6.7wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x37e2…4b92backed Yes25c17,419$4,340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,079.134528.9%13 W · 32 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick27cpaid-17%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa20a…b7b3backed Yes59c17,415$10,193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,221.591421.4%3 W · 11 L-1.5wins-0.11per pick32cpaid-45%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x60ba…3c6cbacked Yes25c17,229$4,267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,961.7947144.8%211 W · 260 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x00c8…9ccdbacked Yes80c16,439$13,126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,312.821,01931.6%322 W · 697 L-10.2wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb41…edaabacked Yes27c16,299$4,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,899.036743.3%29 W · 38 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+22.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked Yes66c16,019$10,587 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,432.1775335.6%268 W · 485 L+0.3wins0.00per pick36cpaid-30.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x43e3…43f7backed Yes25c16,000$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,00023230.2%70 W · 162 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick29cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x62a4…c680backed Yes65c15,385$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,384.6218321.3%39 W · 144 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-31.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa61e…0abdbacked No75c15,000$11,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,2504252.4%22 W · 20 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-10%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d46…3e2dbacked No6c14,756$943 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$942.678231.7%26 W · 56 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+122.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x633e…d305backed Yes28c14,376$3,970 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,406.8338329.8%114 W · 269 L-9.5wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-23.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Yes65c14,313$9,236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,077.0633337.8%126 W · 207 L-12.7wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-40.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3ad1…b4c5backed No76c14,010$10,588 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,587.6742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.15per pick58cpaid-38.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Yes26c13,891$3,612 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,279.1350243.4%218 W · 284 L-9.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes79c13,886$10,972 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,913.794,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd479…239bbacked Yes22c13,656$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,656.23742.9%3 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.16per pick26cpaid+53.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x613b…823abacked No28c13,300$3,671 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,670.914250%71 W · 71 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7414…72a3backed No78c13,000$10,140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,1401070%7 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick59cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xebc0…5806backed Yes77c12,923$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,922.7610166.3%67 W · 34 L+8.6wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+15.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x81f0…cbb1backed No76c12,876$9,818 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,8181471.4%10 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick76cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d5c…d8f2backed No15c12,734$1,935 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,934.722360.9%14 W · 9 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick59cpaid-5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.