TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x77fe…a351

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
220
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: South American Leagues, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category South American Leagues at 58 out of 100; worst Premier League at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT15127.8%42 W · 109 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-17%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 151 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,202Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$647.03
Will France vs. England end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$2,766Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,765.94
Will England win on 2026-07-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$2,630Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,630
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,520Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,520
Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$198Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$81.03
Will France win on 2026-07-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.85
Will France vs. Spain end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$5,629Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+40.5%+$2,281.52
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$600.05
Will Norway vs. England end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$680Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$320
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$240
Will England win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$564Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$564.42
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$134Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$133.96
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$4,110Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+46%+$1,890
Exact Score: France 2 - 0 Morocco?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$1,600Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+25%+$400
Will France vs. Morocco end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$1,668Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,667.68
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$545Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$544.82
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advancebacked Colombia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$464Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$464.32
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$990Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$990
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$3,362Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+256.9%+$8,638
Will Argentina vs. Egypt end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$11,839Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+36%+$4,259.43
Will United States win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$802Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$801.72
Will Mexico vs. England end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$1,860Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,859.64
Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$809Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$809.17
Will Colombia vs. Ghana end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$2,152Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,152.48
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Advancebacked Cabo Verde · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$1,100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,100
Showing 25 of 151 picks, newest first.
South American Leagueslast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT4346.5%20 W · 23 L+5.1wins+0.12per pick35cpaid+46.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 43 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CA Mineiro win on 2026-08-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Club Cerro Porteño vs. SE Palmeiras end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$570Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$570
Will Fluminense FC win on 2026-08-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$72.84
Will SC Corinthians Paulista win on 2026-08-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$640Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$640
Will Mirassol FC win on 2026-08-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$280Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$280
Will Associação Chapecoense de Futebol win on 2026-08-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$117Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+37%+$43.36
Will CS Cienciano vs. Botafogo FR end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.9
Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-08-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$1,360Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,360
Will SE Palmeiras vs. Club Cerro Porteño end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$240.5
Will CA Platense vs. CD Coquimbo Unido end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$570Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2026, EDT+426.3%+$2,430.43
Will Club Cerro Porteño win on 2026-08-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$645Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2026, EDT+72.3%+$466.28
Will Club Bolívar win on 2026-07-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+300%+$121.9
Will Grêmio FBPA vs. Club Bolívar end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$4.48
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-07-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,860Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$1,140
Will SC Internacional vs. CR Flamengo end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$1,126Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+257.4%+$2,896.95
Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-07-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$594Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$594.41
Will SE Palmeiras vs. CA Mineiro end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$147.78
Will Grêmio FBPA vs. Fluminense FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$121.75
Will CR Flamengo vs. São Paulo FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$109Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+334.8%+$365.05
Will Fluminense FC win on 2026-07-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$920Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$920.5
Will EC Bahia vs. SC Corinthians Paulista end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$520Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$519.78
Will SC Corinthians Paulista win on 2026-07-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.37
Will Cruzeiro EC win on 2026-07-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$2,040Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,040
Will Cruzeiro EC vs. Botafogo FR end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$776Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$776.47
Will Cruzeiro EC win on 2026-07-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$32.45
Showing 25 of 43 picks, newest first.
La Ligalast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.17per pick26cpaid+72.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions Leaguelast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.20per pick40cpaid+34.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Aug 8, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.42per pick33cpaid+95.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved Jul 22, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick14cpaid-26.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier Leaguelast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-08-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-08-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$543Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$543.01
All 2 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+89.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Justin Gaethje · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+89.8%+$47.3
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference Leaguelast resolved Aug 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain vs. Aston Villa end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$291Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$291
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1last resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Toulouse FC vs. Olympique Lyonnais end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: 2007 vs ex-Zero Tenacity (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship European Series #1 Group Cbacked ex-Zero Tenacity · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.9
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.